EURUSD rises to the highest level in five weeks, up for the third consecutive day, as traders await the second reading of the Eurozone Q1 GDP and the US headline inflation number, namely the Consumer Price Index (CPI). In doing so, the Euro pair justifies the previous day’s successful clearance of the 200-SMA hurdle, backed by the upside RSI (14) line and the...
USDJPY jostles with a fortnight-old horizontal resistance as buyers turn cautious ahead of this week’s US inflation and the first readings of Japan’s Q1 2024 GDP. In doing so, the Yen pair struggles to extend the previous week’s recovery from the 50-SMA. That said, the near-50 RSI levels join the receding strength of the bearish MACD signals to suggest a...
EURUSD remains pressured at the lowest level in a week, extending the late April’s retreat from 20-SMA and a six-month-old support-turned-resistance, as traders await the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy announcements. The Euro pair’s weakness also takes clues from an impending bear cross on the MACD and an absence of oversold RSI conditions. With this,...
Gold price portrays a four-day losing streak as market players brace for the first readings of the US first quarter (Q1) 2024 Gross Domestic Product (GDP). In doing so, the XAUUSD justifies the previous day’s downside break of a $2,324 support confluence, now resistance, comprising the 21-SMA and a two-month-old upward-sloping trend line. It’s worth noting that...
GBPUSD bears take a breather after a two-week downtrend as the quote bounces off the lowest level since mid-November 2023. In doing so, the Pound Sterling takes a U-turn from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its run-up from October 2023 to February 2024, also known as the “Golden Fibonacci Ratio”, while justifying the traders’ consolidation ahead of this week’s...
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
The line we drew yesterday was more or less right. Banknifty respected the trend line and moved ahead when Nifty was trading flat. RBI MPC outcome expectations were not the reason we had the fall yesterday. I can say that with a high level of certainty because today we went past yesterday’s high. And as soon as we cut through...
GBPUSD prints mild losses around 1.2630 while paring the first weekly gains in three, so far, as traders await Thursday’s final prints of the UK and US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2024. In doing so, the Pound Sterling struggles to defend the previous week’s rebound from the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) amid downbeat RSI...
USDJPY seesaws at the lowest level in five weeks as bulls and bears jostle after the biggest weekly loss in eight months. In doing so, the Yen pair fails to justify better-than-previous Japanese GDP while challenging the four-day losing streak. That said, the oversold RSI (14) conditions and the 200-SMA support of near 146.30-25 also challenge the quote’s further...
EURUSD stays pressured within a three-week-old falling wedge bullish chart formation as the pair traders await the first readings of German and the Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q4 2024 early Tuesday. In doing so, the quote fades the previous day’s corrective bounce off the stated pattern’s bottom line while portraying a third consecutive weekly loss...
Nifty Today Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “The price action on the 63mts TF does not look bearish per se. But notice the weight of the RED candles — we retraced right up to the ascending channel top envelope.”
4mts chart link - click here
Nifty started the day on a negative note fell to 20976 and then started recovering. The recovery was so strong and...
India has managed to keep its public finance in control and focus on capex led growth. That has ensured that India managed to stay afloat during the storm and now that the storm has subsided, India is on its way to race at higher knots.
This video is an update on the latest global macro developments
India's FY24 Q2 GVA/ GDP Data has just been published and it is higher than estimates.
This video analyses the data and in an update to the earlier idea of impact of bond yields on equities.
BankNifty Analysis
I had a bearish view for today, but it played out as a bad day for the bears. The RBI MPC meeting at 10 am did not move the needle that much. Usually, the RBI Governor’s speech drives up the volatility and we have some adverse moves.
There was one strong move of 250pt from 10.50 to 11.20 where we pulled back from 44500 levels. Even then the...
EURUSD dropped in the last two consecutive weeks as it fades bounce off a two-month-old rising support line. The recovery previously gained support from the RSI’s rebound from the overbought territory, as well as the looming bull cross on the MACD. However, a convergence of the 50-SMA and a fortnight-long falling resistance line, close to 1.1100-1105 at the...
Despite the Fed-inflicted volatility, the Gold price remains bullish as markets brace for the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy meeting. That said, successful trading beyond the 50-EMA and 200-EMA, respectively near $1,950 and $1,904, keeps the buyers hopeful. Also acting as short-term support is the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s February-May...
Gold stays on the way to post the third consecutive weekly loss even as the one-month-old falling trend line prod XAUUSD sellers around $1,900 of late. Also challenging the quote’s further downside is the nearly oversold RSI (14) line. However, the bullion’s sustained trading beneath the fortnight-long falling trend line and the 200-SMA, respectively near $1,918...
USDCHF fades upside momentum, after witnessing a three-week uptrend. With this, the Swiss currency pair portrays a rising wedge bearish chart formation on the four-hour chart. That said, RSI (14) line appears steady near the 50.0 level, suggesting no harm to the latest consolidation in prices. However, the bearish MACD signals suggest that the bears are gradually...
A gradual shrinking of EURUSD upside moves prints a six-month-old rising wedge bearish chart pattern, currently between 1.1120 and 1.0690. Recently luring the Euro bears is the downside break of the 100-DMA, around 1.0810 by the press time. With this, the pair is likely to challenge the stated wedge’s bottom line, around 1.0690, a break of which will confirm the...
