Analyse ARB/USDT

✅ 1. NO-TRADE ZONE (Do Not Trade Inside)

The blue shaded region between ~0.2335 and ~0.2020 is clearly a consolidation box.

📌 Why NO TRADE here?

Price is moving sideways → no clear trend

Inside a mid-range of a falling channel → low R:R

Whipsaws → both long/short entries get trapped

Best to wait for a breakout or breakdown

🚫 Stay out until price leaves this zone with a candle close.

🟢 2. BUY SIDE ANALYSIS (Bullish Setup)

You BUY only after price breaks above the upper box (0.2335).

Buy Entry #1 (Breakout Retest Buy)

🔹 Entry: Above 0.2335 after successful retest
🔹 TP1: 0.2839
🔹 TP2: 0.3139
🔹 TP3: 0.3511
🔹 SL: Below 0.2330 (box low retest failure)

📌 Why buy here?

Breakout above structure = shift in market character

Leaves the falling channel → trend reversal

Demand zone sits under 0.2335 → strong support

Buy Entry #2 (Aggressive Channel Break Buy)

If price breaks the red descending trendline,
you can buy on the retest of that trendline.

🔴 3. SELL SIDE ANALYSIS (Bearish Setup)

You SELL only after price breaks below the lower box (0.2020).

Sell Entry #1 – Breakdown Sell

🔹 Entry: Below 0.2020
🔹 TP1: 0.1857
🔹 TP2: 0.1578
🔹 TP3: 0.1344
🔹 TP4: 0.1048
🔹 SL: Above 0.2020 (breakout failure)

📌 Why sell here?

Break below demand = continuation of main downtrend

Price returns to lower portion of falling channel (red)

Liquidity sweep under mid-range often gives strong sell continuation

Sell Entry #2 – Channel Retest Sell

If price rises to retest the red descending trendline from below → short.

📌 Price-Action Explanation (Simple Formula)

Why BUY above 0.2335?

Break of structure (BOS)

Transition from lower-highs to higher-highs

Mid-range breakout → moves toward upper liquidity

Retest confirmation → clean R:R

Why SELL below 0.2020?

Loss of demand

Lower low creation → continuation trend

Channel breakdown → next liquidity zone below

Retest rejection = strong continuation signal