Sentiment toward the Australian dollar suffered a double blow due to the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) loss of domestic hawkish bias and the release of a very disappointing Chinese economic data package.
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✅ RBA Holds 4.35%: A Dry Oasis Without Hawkish Fuel
The RBA's monetary policy meeting on Tuesday failed to surprise the market:
- Official Cash Rate (OCR) Remains at 4.35%: As widely expected, the RBA kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged. However, the lack of rhetoric or commitment to further tightening in the policy statement disappointed investors.
- External Sensitivity: The RBA's passive stance has deprived the Aussie of its internal monetary defense, making it a highly vulnerable and sensitive antipodean currency to deteriorating external economic data.
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✅ AUD/USD Technical Analysis (Intraday H4)
Technically, AUD/USD failed to maintain its breakout momentum above the short-term trendline, confirming the return of a daily downside bias:
- Fading Rally Pattern: The sharp rejection from the 0.7090 area demonstrates that every attempt at recovery in the Aussie pair was immediately exploited by institutions to open new short positions, capitalizing on the weakening momentum of Chinese Retail Sellers.
- Least Resistance Line: Downward (Downside Dominance). As long as AUD/USD trades below the psychological level of 0.7100, the short-term bias remains tilted to the downside.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
