akashbothra

BLS international breakout

Long
akashbothra Updated   
NSE:BLS   BLS INTERNATIONAL
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4. Sell on initial stop loss hit or daily RSI closing below 40
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Weekly tailing tops with high volume
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop

After a long consolidation since September 2017, BLS has given a high volume breakout yesterday. The breakout came after a rating update by CRISIL which has reaffirmed its ‘CRISIL A-/Stable/CRISIL A2+’ ratings on the bank facilities of BLS International Services Ltd (BLS; a part of the BLS International group). During the 3rd quarter 2021-22 quarterly sales went up by 51%, quarterly profit went up by 102%, TTM sales went up by 52% and TTM profit went up by 178%. BLS is a buy with a stop just below Rs.291.

Other fundamentals:

1. BLS International Services Limited (BLS), a part of the four-decades-old BLS Group with a global presence and diversified range of services, counts amongst the top three global players in visa application outsourcing, with its presence in visa/ passport/ consular/ citizen services with 62 countries and 36 government clients and provides services through 2,325 offices worldwide.

2. BLS international expects a pickup in VISA demand with India deciding to resume international flight services and decline in COVID-19 cases.

3. Business risk profile continues to be driven by the strong market position with a presence in over 60 countries and presence in diversified revenue segment. Accordingly, an operating income growth is estimated in fiscal 2022 to over Rs 800 crore supported by addition of new orders and customers after experiencing a sharp decline of around 40% during FY21 on account of pandemic induced challenges on business demand. Improving scale is expected to support growth in operating margins to around 13% in FY22 (against 11.1% a year ago).

4. Overall, liquidity profile continues to remain supported by absence of debt obligations and healthy unencumbered cash and bank balances of over Rs 300 Cr as on 31st Dec, 2021.

5. CRISIL Ratings had upgraded its long-term rating on the bank facilities of BLS to ‘CRISIL A-/Stable’ from ‘CRISIL BBB+/Stable’ and reaffirmed the short-term rating at ‘CRISIL A2+’ on November 03, 2021.

6. The group offers services in visa processing, e-governance and banking correspondence. Apart from diversification into new business segments, addition of new clients in these segments has further strengthened the market position of the group. The group now covers over 46 missions, compared to only seven a few years back. In e-governance services, the group has three clients presently, compared to only one client two years ago; in the banking correspondent segment, Bank of Baroda has been added alongside the existing client - State Bank of India.

7. The financial risk profile remains robust supported by strong net worth of over Rs 500 Cr expected as on 31st Mar, 2022 and absence of debt in the capital structure resulting in expected nil gearing ratio. Debt protection metrics remained robust owing to low reliance on external debt, leading to expected interest coverage at over 60 times in fiscal 2022. In the absence of any debt funded capex plan, the financial risk profile is expected to remain robust over the medium term.

8. In the absence of any repayment obligation over the medium term, the entire cash accrual – projected at Rs 75-80 crore per annum – will aid financial flexibility. The fund-based bank limit was unutilised and the small limit is kept only for backup. Current ratio is estimated at around 11 times as on March 31, 2022, with healthy unencumbered cash balance at over Rs 300 crore as on December 31, 2021.

9. FII stake increased since September 2021 from 0.72% to 1.47%.
Comment:
BLS announced Bonus today in 1:1 ratio. Congratulations to all the shareholders.

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