BSE Ltd.

BSE - Technical Analysis

494
BSE 30-Min Chart Analysis

Current Situation:

Price: 2738 (down 0.15%)
Adaptive MA (20): 2753.57 — price is below the MA, bearish bias
Price is sitting at/near the lower support zone (~2725–2740)

Key Levels

Level - Type
2808.20 - Resistance
2782.30 - Resistance
2754.90 - Resistance
2753.57 - Adaptive MA
2738.00 - Current Price
2712.80 - Support
2594.50 - Major Support / Bearish Target

Chart Annotation Reading
The chart has two drawn scenarios:
🔵 Bullish Arrow (lower probability): A bounce from the lower support zone toward ~2800–2808, if price holds the purple demand zone.
🔻 Bearish Arrow (higher probability): A breakdown below the lower purple support zone (~2725) leading to a sharp drop toward 2594.50 — roughly ~140 points downside.

Maximum Probability Prediction
📉 Bearish — ~65–70% probability

Reasons:
* Price is in a clear downtrend (lower highs, lower lows since Feb 18)
* Trading below Adaptive MA — no bullish momentum
* The lower support zone (~2725–2733) has been tested multiple times — repeated tests weaken support
* Volume spike on Feb 16 was bearish (red), suggesting distribution
* The descending trendline from Feb 18–23 is acting as dynamic resistance

Bearish target: 2594.50
Invalidation (bullish flip): Clean break and close above 2782–2808

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