Some things to consider right now:
* It's sitting above an ascending that started in mid September
* Currently finding support on the 23% fib
* We recently saw a weak TK cross on the system
* In addition to the , it's also finding support on the cloud itself
I personally don't expect it to blow below the without at least crawling up it for a bit. If we break below it, look for support along the fib levels. 50%, for example, would be near ~$4590. If we bounce up from the , expect some more resistance near 6k and $6200.