BTCUSD - HEADED LOWER?

Feb 1

Symbol - BTCUSD

BTCUSD is currently encountering substantial resistance, with the price being significantly repelled from the 105-107K zone, establishing a strong resistance area. However, this resistance does not yet negate the broader bullish outlook in the market. A complex market structure is unfolding, characterized by both a descending channel and a symmetrical triangle pattern. The interpretation of these formations will depend largely on how market participants perceive them. A potential reaction to the support of the symmetrical triangle could result in a brief rebound; however, considering the prevailing resistance levels, it is anticipated that this rebound will be shallow, with the price likely attempting to move lower.

Looking at the descending channel, the price is currently supported by a key level at 1,01,600 which is crucial in preventing further declines. This level will play a decisive role in determining the near-term price action. The primary uncertainty lies in whether this support will hold or be breached.

On a fundamental level, the situation remains uncertain and largely dependent on developments in the United States, particularly regarding how political figures, including former President Trump, address cryptocurrencies. This could manifest in various ways: as a bubble, a strategy to influence elections, or simply as rhetorical posturing. Alternatively, it could reflect a genuine, coherent policy direction.

Resistance levels: 1,03,500 - 1,05,800
Support levels: 1,01,600 - 99,600

The 1,01,600 level remains the focal point. In the short term, a potential breakdown below this level followed by price consolidation could lead to a decline to the 100-97K range. However, given the presence of the symmetrical triangle, a false breakdown of 101.6K could trigger a brief upward bounce before a subsequent decline towards the 100K level.

Feb 3

Trade closed: target reached

CMP 94000

BTCUSD made low of 91108 & all targets has been achieved. However, Bitcoin continues to exhibit downward momentum and appears poised for further declines. A breakdown and sustained consolidation may trigger additional selling pressure.