BTC started the week of July 19th to 25th with the bearish movement, falling to the low of $29,300 on July 0th, however, a strong pullback rally followed and helped BTC to close the week in the green territory and formed a big bullish engulfing candle to close the week with 11% gain at $35,428. At the time of writing, BTC is trading slightly above $38,200.
This strong upward rally is most likely triggered by the massive short liquidation streak, in fact, it spiked to about 48K on Binance futures as over $100 Million of short positions were wiped off. However, BTC is still trading in its horizontal channel and it has to sustain above 41K that will act as a confirmation of trend reversal. Even after this 17% gain, the major trend of BTC is still bearish.
BTC is currently above 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level which is placed around 35K and also its 50-DEMA is also present in this range, therefore, the range of 34.5k to 35k will act as the nearest support level followed by the next support at 32.5K and 30K.
On the higher side, BTC is facing selling pressure from the upper band of the channel which is placed at 39.7K to 41K, also, its 100-DEMA which is placed at 38.6K is also acting as an immediate resistance, once we get a decisive breakout from this range and BTC starts sustaining above 41K, this will act as a confirmation to go long for the next wave.
On the plus side, Daily RSI has given a fresh breakout from its trendline resistance which it was respecting from past January 2021. Weekly MACD is also suggesting a trend reversal as it is trying to enter the positive territory. This depicts that the trend reversal can be expected in the coming days but a confirmation would be required to conclusively suggest that trend has reversed.