The_Cannalyst

Short again?

Short
The_Cannalyst Updated   
NYMEX:CL1!   Light Crude Oil Futures
21
Is this a new "3?"? Short scalp-time? Trading above 43,78 will destroy the short-szenario and will turn the Chart temporarily weak bullish
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Former views:
Long-Scalp?
Simple 1-2-3 Short Scalp?

We have reached the min correction Level 38,2 @ 45,12. Here the sellers waited again. Let`s see if the consolidation will go further up to the max correction Level @45.5$

-Breaking through the illustrated last valid "2" will activate the shown example-shortposition (SL near above the possible "3?", TP= "2?"

Update Main View:

Today we have reached the 61.8 fibo of the downswing 51,6-39,3 (yellow fibos). The open position is comfortable in the win (+7.25$).
At this fibo level a corrective downmove is possible (BBs are stressed out) - perhaps down to the "traders dream" - the 38,2 fibo from the movement ( 39,3-47,04) at 44,82$ - the former breakout level!
At latest here the present midterm uptrend in this tf should be resumed.

My Main view is still active!


Main View:
Can this be true? Dez 2016: 75$ ???
What do my tired eyes see?? Isn`t it a big bottom pattern in form of an exemplary H&S?
The RSI signs, that there is still a bit air on the downside. A dip back to the 38,2 fibo @ 41,92$ would be great. A dip to the 0,5 fibo normal and a dip to the 61,8 maximal.
If this level would be bought, a H&S is being formed. Prices above the neckline could interpreted as a BIG LONG SIGNAL.
I have illustrated the possible TPs in my chart

Comment:
i always would prefer the cyclical BO - in this Chart : entry below the last red "2"
Comment:
breaking through the falling ultrashortterm trendline ("3?") could initiate a shortterm upmove to the 61,8 @ 44.27
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Comment:
traying a Long-scalp - very narrow sl
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fightin with the downtrend..
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SL adjustment
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ok - let`s make the trade riskless!!! SL Adjustment
Comment:
If we can trade longer above 43.7 , the double bottom with TP 44.25 is would be activated!!
Comment:
sl adjustment
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top-building?
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hitted sl... :( shi.....
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