Physik

May 17 Market Update | Technical, Fundamental, News

CME_MINI:ES1!   S&P 500 E-mini Futures
Description:

A simplified analysis for the week ahead.

Points of Interest:

Monday High; Tuesday Spike, Wednesday LVNode; Thursday Low; Friday Value; Composite Profile; Balance.

Technical:

There is no clear direction in the market. Nasdaq relatively strong. Russell, Dow, and NYSE are weaker.

On Monday, we made it into the $2950 zone of resting liquidity, prior to putting in a weak double top.

Tuesday left value behind, liquidating and closing on the lows, which pointed to a continuation lower.

Wednesday and Thursday accepted the spike and built a base above the $2760 resting liquidity.

Thursday and Friday’s up-action was weak, relative to the earlier selling, and left value overlapping, in balance.

With these past developments in mind, the market has been coming into balance over the past few weeks, digesting information, building value, shaking out weak hands. Aside from remaining in balance, the market could extend directionally, or extend and return to balance quickly. Taking out Thursday’s low of $2760.25, my immediate targets on the downside include $2730 and $2630. Upside targets include $2910 and $2950.

Scroll to bottom of document for non-profile charts.

Fundamental:

Key Events: Earnings; Housing Starts; Existing-Home Sales, Housing Market Index, FOMC Minutes; Initial Claims.

Detailed look at April job losses. bit.ly/2Z9XUUl

Georgia’s early reopen has not resulted in a surge of hospitalizations or death. bloom.bg/2WALzXQ

NYSE to reopen trading floor, dampen intraday volatility. on.wsj.com/2zH5zyU

Demand shock to take the upper hand over supply shock, depressing inflation pressures. bit.ly/36a94tN

May to join March and April as best months for investment-grade bond issuance. bit.ly/36a94tN

Telemedicine popularity means growth for prescription delivery. bit.ly/365p2FD

Money managers expect Trump to retake White House in November. bit.ly/3dRAG9F

Slump in aviation hit $GE harder than other suppliers. bloom.bg/3dStHNK

Canada to extend wage subsidies. reut.rs/3cDxkHp

High-growth companies target America’s heartland. bit.ly/36a8cW3

Puerto Rico’s economy to benefit if pharma returns. bit.ly/2Tsw8PB

High technology North America’s biggest corporate borrower. bit.ly/3bHXV4t

Auto sales are resilient despite coronavirus. bit.ly/2TsygXB

Low cost, laid-back lifestyle has tech flocking to Texas. bit.ly/3cH8eHm

$FCAU in talks over $6.8B state-guaranteed loan. reut.rs/2y9s6UL

$UBER, $GRUB eye merger. bit.ly/2TeeoHn

Consumer confidence signals cognitive dissonance. bit.ly/2Lynevn

Fitch expects record downgrades in 2020. bit.ly/2X21uxf

More than one-third of the workforce was damaged by the crisis. bit.ly/3cCmcdC

Oil market pricing in tighter supplies due to production cuts, rising demand. reut.rs/3fXqNJq

Recovering oil demand could drive the market into deficit by July. reut.rs/2X79AVi

$FDX CEO more optimistic than most on industrial rebound. bloom.bg/3dPrPFB

Full Saudi Arabian tankers steam towards the oversupplied United States. bloom.bg/3dTmqgQ

Though overall economic well-being improved, financial well-being widened. bit.ly/2zLtVHE

$ABBV closes Allergan acquisition, increasing leverage. bit.ly/367DP2M

Columbia’s higher fiscal deficit limit points to fiscal deterioration. bit.ly/367DP2M

Sentiment: 23.3% Bullish, 26.1% Neutral, 50.6% Bearish as of 5/16/2020. bit.ly/330VhEp

Gamma Exposure: (Trending Lower) 951, 835, 268 as of 5/16/2020. bit.ly/2UpgtRE

Dark Pool Index: (Trending Higher) 48.4% as of 5/16/2020. bit.ly/2UpgtRE

Product Analysis:

ES: SPX , SPY
NQ: NDQ , QQQ
RTY: RUT , IWM
YM: DJI , DIA
NYA: NYA

GC: GLD
CL: USO , DBO , USL
NG: UNG
ZB: TLT

Disclaimer:

This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve, especially me.

In no way should this post be construed as investment advice.

This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve (myself especially), so if you see something wrong, speak up.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.