Is EUR/USD Setting Up for a Massive Bullish Move?

460
My EUR/USD analysis is a multi-timeframe forecast focusing on key institutional levels. The daily chart provides a long-term perspective, showing the pair in a consolidation phase after a significant downtrend. I've identified a very powerful sell zone from 2020 that represents a major historical resistance level. I expect sellers to enter the market if the price re-approaches this area.

On the 4-hour chart, the focus shifts to the immediate price action. The pair is currently in a tight consolidating range. My strategy is to wait patiently for a clear breakout from this range. I have identified a Green Order Block (OB) and a Buyer Liquidity zone below the current price. My primary thesis is that the price may drop to these levels to grab liquidity before a larger move upwards.

I've outlined two potential bullish scenarios, both of which target the major sell zone. The first (blue arrow) involves a drop to the buyer liquidity zone before the rally, while the second (white arrow) predicts a more direct breakout. A key part of my plan is to look for confirmation on a lower timeframe, such as a change of character, before entering a long position.

In essence, my analysis is a road map for a potential long trade, but it emphasizes patience, confirmation, and a rule-based approach. The core idea is to follow institutional footprints by targeting liquidity zones and trading with the expected direction of smart money. I will not enter a trade until my specific breakout criteria are met, ensuring a high-probability setup.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.