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UnknownUnicorn139194
Jan 29, 2016 8:43 PM

EURUSD Long

Euro Fx/U.S. DollarFXCM

Description

Majority of retail traders are short.
Majority of Trading view chat room is short.

Better long this beast.

Trade active

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50% profit booked.

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Closing short for +5 pips.

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Adding to my winners, NO RISK.

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- 75% of longs closed.

Only shorts will be considered now.

Comments
PipPirate
DXY is looking pretty weak. Stocks looking weak. Bullish EURUSD
IvanLabrie
Great so far, looks like heading lower, I'll long near 1.08+-
PipPirate
"Majority of retail traders are short.
Majority of Trading view chat room is short. "
That's been true for the last year dailyfx.com/sentiment
Are there any other reasons it should go up? On Thursday, I would have agreed, but the last time japan tried pulling rabbits out of its hat the USD went up and everything else went to hell. The Euro doesn't appear to be much of a funding currency anymore since the latest stock market tanking resulted in no Euro strength like it did in august. I'd be more comfortable with a Euro long if the stock market would resume its crash, but with japan pushing up off the lows and bad econ data being ignored, that doesn't seem likely. I'm wondering if your arrows are backwards... maybe we get a clearing of stops below 1.05 and then a rally about the time Yellen finally sees the obvious (around december after the elections).
UnknownUnicorn139194
That would be a great move and I can see that happening easily!

I have taken my longs and my stops are now in profit. I am still running multiple shorts from the months before so either way... win or win, best risk:reward in the game.

Other then this i really have nothing else to say for EU its just boring right now, I will come back once we break out this temporary range.
PipPirate
Yeah that would be a great move, but like you said, maybe there are too many people betting on that.

The bullish case could be the Swiss supporting the EURCHF above 1.10 and traders not making much of the BOJ's move from 0.10 to -0.10 (and so far they don't seem to be). If there is capital flight from Japan, it may go just as much to the Euro as the USD, especially since the USD is expensive. It should be increasingly clear as time moves on that the fed is not going to hike, but the wild card is kamikaze Japan and what lengths they will go to hold up the stock market. If someone would put Japan on a leash, I would be mega-bullish EURUSD.
stingray
Fourier Transform based cycles are pointing up but I am watching for now.
IvanLabrie
Agreed.
I think it's lagging gold and oil severely and today's action was a shakeout. I don't buy this was pure dollar strength.
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