GBPUSD · 15M · SMC Outlook

687
Price is trading deep into premium, pressing against a well-defined HTF supply zone.

HTF Framework

Clear bullish leg already completed.

Buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs.

Premium zone aligns with prior distribution and weak highs.

LTF Structure

Momentum is slowing near the highs.

Price is consolidating under resistance, hinting at distribution.

Minor pullbacks are being absorbed, classic liquidity buildup behavior.

Expectation

A final push higher to sweep buy-side liquidity.

Reaction from supply after the sweep.

Strong bearish displacement targeting:

Internal range low

Prior demand imbalance

HTF discount zone below

Execution Plan

Avoid longs in premium.

Wait for:

Liquidity sweep above highs

Bearish displacement

LTF MSS for confirmation

Shorts favored post-confirmation.

Partial profits at range low, runners into discount.

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