AbhishekHSinghCMT
Long

Hindalco- Bang on Target (170 to 180+) & What Next?

NSE:HINDALCO   HINDALCO INDS
331 8 8
Hindalco             moved up as expected once crossed 170-172 zone & kissed the target of 180+ -making a new high@184.80..

Daily Chart
It's a dark cloud cover candlestick pattern in last trading session as on 25th Nov2016.

What is Dark Cloud Cover Candlestick Pattern
It is a candlestick pattern where a redcandle forms after long green candle. On 24th Nov 2016- It was a big green candle having low@172.15 & high@181.15 which was followed by a red candle on 25th Nov2016 having high@184. 80 & low@178. 85-
On 25th Nov2016- It opened at 182.90 which is higher than high of 24th Nov2016 i.e. 181.15 & closed at 180.50 which was similar to close on 24th Nov2016. Closing rate on 24th Nov2016- 180.45
Since wick or shadow of the 25th Nov2016 candle has gone into the body of 24th Nov2016- I am still open for upside, but only if it sustains above 182-183 zone else I will wait outside to see market reaction.

Strong Dark Cloud Cover Patterns ( Bearish Candlestick Setup)-
Only happens if red candlestick in the current case 25th Nov2016 candlestick body could have dipped more than 50% of candlestick body range of previous day i.e. 24th Nov2016 - let me explain - 24th Nov2016 High-181.15 & low-172.15 - 50% of that range comes at 176.65 - if 25th Nov2016 candlestick could have closed at 176.65 or below 176.65 then likely this pattern could have turned into strong dark cloud cover pattern or bearish candle whereas 25th closing was almost similar to 24th closing at 180.45- so partial profit booking has happened in the last session.

Trading Strategy
Bulls likely will come back if it sustains above 182-183 zone- making a new high above 184.80 or we shall wait on the sidelines to see further market action & come back later.
Trade active: 10:56 Hrs 28th Nov2016

Last Price@178.40

Wow, it did not sustain between 182-183 & had a fall from day's high@182.35
Trade active: 08:30 Hrs 1st Dec2016

Last Price@175.75

Sustaining above 173 is crucial for an immediate up & look for prices to cross falling trendline

Best Regards,
Abhishek H. Singh, CMT
India Regional Manager
http://in.tradingview.com
| LinkedIn
India Markets-BSE, NSE chat room- https://in.tradingview.com/chat/#b4sFOMIVqPkq8gfQ
that means there will be correction
down trend will start
Reply
@anupminj7, That is not clear -we will wait to get some more clues, but if it sustains above 182-183 likely It will move & make a new high above 184.80.
Reply
Hi Abhishek, I have a doubt in elliot wave. Is it a rule that the wave 5 of impulse and wave C of corrective pattern ABC to be always an ending diagonal ? Thanks.
Reply
@bbhalaji, Who said 5th wave & C-wave has to be ending diagonal- it can be a simple impulsive. E.D is also a type of impulse, but usually they never occur easily & specially not after every 5 waves. Likely E.D occurs if the waves get extended.
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bbhalaji AbhishekHSinghCMT
@AbhishekHSinghCMT, thanks a lot ji :-)
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anupminj7 bbhalaji
@bbhalaji, i agree waiting for down side
Reply
Thanks for the explanations Abhishek.
Reply
@nirav5, Welcome Nirav
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