NIFTY index on a weekly timeframe, a notable diamond top formation seems to be developing. Historically, diamond patterns have often signaled significant price reversals. Based on this observation, a potential 1000 pts move could be on the horizon.
Analysis:
Diamond Top Formation: The diamond pattern, often considered a reversal formation, has manifested after NIFTY's bullish run. This pattern encapsulates a period of market indecision, with the price oscillating within converging trendlines. A decisive breach of these trendlines can indicate the future price direction.
Bearish Scenario: If NIFTY breaks below the lower trendline of the diamond formation, a swift downward move can be expected. The depth of the diamond provides a hint at the potential move, which, in this case, suggests a 1000 pts drop.
Supporting Indicators: The recent retest of the wedge and subsequent rally shows a strong bullish momentum. However, with the emergence of the diamond top, this momentum may be waning. A confirmation of the bearish view would be a decisive breakdown below the diamond's lower trendline, preferably with a spike in trading volume.
Conclusion: While the diamond top formation suggests a potential bearish reversal, it's crucial to await a clear breakdown for confirmation. A 1000 pts move is significant, so traders are advised to be vigilant, employ risk management techniques, and consider other technical and fundamental factors influencing the market.
Disclaimer: Technical analysis is based on historical price action and patterns. While patterns can give insights into potential future movements, they don't guarantee outcomes. Always trade with caution and employ proper risk management strategies.
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NIFTY 200 DMA is at 18624 , so it may provide some support.