Pressure Builds: Turbulent Week Ahead for Dalal Street

Indian markets stayed under stress last week, with BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 ending nearly 1% lower on Friday. Escalating geopolitical tensions and a sharp surge in crude oil prices weighed heavily on sentiment.

Volatility cooled slightly, with India VIX down 4.6% to 13.70 — but price action remains weak.

◉ Technical Setup
Nifty has decisively broken below 25,500 — a negative signal.

Immediate downside: 25,000–24,900
If this breaks: 24,500 could come into play

Momentum clearly favours the bears for now.

◉ Key Triggers This Week
1. Israel–Iran Conflict
Escalating tensions are lifting global risk and could keep sentiment fragile.

2. Crude Oil Spike
Any disruption in oil supply could send prices soaring — a direct negative for India’s import-heavy economy.

◉ Outlook
The market is likely to remain negative to neutral this week. If geopolitical risks intensify, a deeper correction cannot be ruled out.

◉ Trading View
Stay cautious. Avoid aggressive fresh longs unless Nifty reclaims 25,800 with strength. Selective trades and strict risk management are key.