This is our Nifty 14-May-2020 expiry strategy view
Data analysis
FIIs net bought 1626 Contracts amounting -48.87 Cr
Futures Data FIIS squared off 11.47 K Long contracts & also exited 13.09 K Contracts from Short positions. In doing so, their over all Open Interest in Index futures has come down to just 78K contracts (40.1K Long & 38.1K Shorts).
Retail participants booked profits in 131 contracts & added 3.3K Short contracts.
Pro / Brokers booked profits in 1096 Long contracts & added 568 Short contracts
Call Option data
Retail participants bought 92.08 K Call options & created 71.08 Short contracts
FIIs booked profits in 2054 Long Call options & created 17.8K Short contracts
Pro / Brokers bought 39.5 K Call options & created 40.65 Short contracts
Put Option data
Retail participants bought 48.1 K Put options & created 36.1K Put Short contracts
FIIs booked profits in 6786 Put Long options & created 3.58K Put Short contracts
Pro / Brokers bought 10.4 K Put options & created 17.07 Put Short contracts
Looking at the Futures Open Interest data, I must say, just 78 K; this is the least Open Interest number of FIIs that I could remember I have seen.
Retail participants have been more active on the Call buy side & may likely be disappointed tomorrow.
Nifty staying below 9240 -9260 levels may likely increase probability of falling up to 9145 odd levels
Trade closed: target reached
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As suggested below 9240-9260 NIfty is likely to test 9145 & that is what we have seen...
Comment
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What a week this has been. We were able to capture the bottom @ 9087 then were able to sell at the highs and today got the expiry closing price to the point.
Nifty closes @9142.75 & our calculation was 9145 odd levels.
Couldn't have asked more from Chart & data analysis...
Thank you very much for the awesome week...!!! :-)
9200 PE High 75+