The Perfect Bullish Bat Below 10094

NSE:NIFTY   Nifty 50 Index
Hi fellows, hope you are doing great with your trading. I wish you all the best for the coming week.

In my previous post I shared my observations with the expectations that the index will achieve higher levels in the coming days. Unfortunately, I had to take trades in the reverse direction, later in the week, in order to mitigate my losses. It is all part of trading and I need to be flexible in this profession. The stubborn will be blown away by the winds, but only the flexible will survive the storms.

Current observations: Below the level 10094, I would assume that it is a bullish BAT pattern which is under formation. I called it a PERFECT BAT because the B leg retraced exactly 0.5 of A leg; also the B-C projection at D comes out to be exactly 2 times; and the A-B-C extension at D is exactly 1.618 as a complemetary confluence. These are all traits of a perfect BATpattern.

For me the BAT would be in action below 10094. A conservative approach would be to wait till 10013 where AB=CD completes and also 10000 could also act as a psychological support. But break of 10K would trigger stops for long traders and may attract new shorts. So I would call 10000-10094 as the key level to watch out for the next week.

The PRZ for the BAT falls at 9780, I would call 9780-9687 as a strong support zone below the 10K mark. If this support zone holds, a bounce of the order of 38.2% to 61.8% can be seen ( which would be 10020 to 100169 resp.) The question of complete reversal from this zone should be left unanswered as of now.

Other Possibilities: It is possible that the 10094 holds and market rebounds from there. In that case, I would like to see the index above the red downtrend line in order to be bullish . It is also possible that the market consolidated between the red trendline and 10094 before giving any decisive move.

Cycle study: Market reacted before its 25 day uptrend cycle, so I expect some sort of reversal at the end of this cycle. But this time it could be an upward reversal. I ll have reassess the situation at the cycle completion.

So, my post has short term bearish undertones, with the expectations of intermittent bounces in the market. For long term I am still bullish but I need specific levels for that.
With a regret that I am not able to update during the week, I hope you guys will find this post useful and take your trading decisions with care.

Do hit the like button for better posts ahead.
Trade safe, stay healthy.


Comment: I am happy that many traders now understand and trade beautifully the harmonic patterns. Many fellow traders have commented and pm me about their doubts on harmonic patterns and I thank them for their kind appreciations on my series on these patterns.
One thing that I would like to share with all my fellows is that no pattern works hundred percent BUT they are high probability when PRZ is at or near important s/r levels.
One can either trade it both ways or for reversals only BUT reversal trade is what these patterns convey us.
Enjoy the last few ours of this weekend :)
support at9850-65 for nifty spot is my view.
@dinehot, thanks for sharing.
past patterns suggest B can shave off 80% of A... and that way ur levels are ok...
am no expert! But just wanna hear from you..A leg consumed 25 days.. B has consumed 19 days thus far.. ( you have already marked C here) .. B normally consumes more time than A... May be B has not ended.. C will go and make new highs.....
Bravetotrade Parasuram
@Parasuram, The situation you have pointed out is ideal. But as you know that ideal situations are rare.

For confirmation I suggested to wait for price to breach the B level. That would signal that the C is done.

These patterns may work well in consonance with time cycles but many a time I have seen that some legs are faster timewise, that way they end up much earlier.

But it's good to study price action with time cycles to find high probability trade setups.
+1 Reply
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