Please note that this analysis only addresses Price and not Time. I don't know when these levels will happen but I do think they will happen. Nifty could drop to about 100000 before rising to 12000+
The fact is that fundamentally our economy is getting into deep trouble with crude rising, the Iran issue (India is the biggest crude importer in the world), the falling Rupee , FII money flowing out, balance of payments issues, pre election handouts leading to greater , plus other socio-economic problems and potential socio-political instability.
There could be interim opportunities for Long positions but the major trend is down till about 10000.
As I said, I could be wrong but that's how I think right now. Thought I'd share my opinion.