📌 Pair: NZDUSD
📅 Timeframes Used: Daily + 1H
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🔹 Higher Timeframe Context
Daily Trend: Bearish → Market is aligned with sellers, giving us downside bias.
1H Trend: Currently bullish → This looks like a retracement against the bigger bearish move.
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🔹 Key Liquidity & Supply Zone
Price recently swept liquidity around 0.59425.
Above this sweep, we also have a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and an Order Block (OB) → strong confluence for potential sell pressure.
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🔹 Entry Plan & Fractal Confirmation
Since intraday is bullish while the higher timeframe is bearish, we don’t enter blindly.
Wait for fractal structure shift below 0.59200 → this confirms buyers are losing strength.
Once structure confirms, a sell setup becomes valid.
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🔹 Trade Management
Entry Trigger: After fractal break below 0.59200
50% Enter when breakdown occurs and rest sell on Retest
Stop Loss (SL): 0.60007 (above liquidity + OB zone)
Target: Trail towards lower liquidity pools (dynamic, can update as price develops).
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🔹 Concept
This setup follows Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
HTF bias = bearish
Liquidity sweep + OB + FVG confluence
Lower timeframe confirmation with fractal structure shift
This ensures we don’t sell too early and only enter when market structure agrees.
---
💡 Takeaway:
Don’t chase the move. Wait for the fractal break confirmation — it separates professional entries from random guesses.
📅 Timeframes Used: Daily + 1H
---
🔹 Higher Timeframe Context
Daily Trend: Bearish → Market is aligned with sellers, giving us downside bias.
1H Trend: Currently bullish → This looks like a retracement against the bigger bearish move.
---
🔹 Key Liquidity & Supply Zone
Price recently swept liquidity around 0.59425.
Above this sweep, we also have a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and an Order Block (OB) → strong confluence for potential sell pressure.
---
🔹 Entry Plan & Fractal Confirmation
Since intraday is bullish while the higher timeframe is bearish, we don’t enter blindly.
Wait for fractal structure shift below 0.59200 → this confirms buyers are losing strength.
Once structure confirms, a sell setup becomes valid.
---
🔹 Trade Management
Entry Trigger: After fractal break below 0.59200
50% Enter when breakdown occurs and rest sell on Retest
Stop Loss (SL): 0.60007 (above liquidity + OB zone)
Target: Trail towards lower liquidity pools (dynamic, can update as price develops).
---
🔹 Concept
This setup follows Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
HTF bias = bearish
Liquidity sweep + OB + FVG confluence
Lower timeframe confirmation with fractal structure shift
This ensures we don’t sell too early and only enter when market structure agrees.
---
💡 Takeaway:
Don’t chase the move. Wait for the fractal break confirmation — it separates professional entries from random guesses.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.