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Bravetotrade
Aug 19, 2017 11:58 AM

The Butterfly: Perched On Thin Lines Short

PUNJAB NATL BANKNSE

Description

'If' the stock breaks the bullish trend line, it would not be a good sign for bulls. In that case, bears can put the butterfly in action below 132, and the stock might taste 115 and 97 in near future. A potential reversal can be expected at 92-97 zone.


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Comment

Stock is weak and below the trigger price.

Comment

Comments
DSKF16
Can we See Bearish GARTLEY already formed or "Ideal setup Bearish GARTLEY" to be formed if made a low @ 136.25 ?

Bravetotrade
@DSKF16, thanks for sharing ur chart.

Although B & C legs of the harmonic patterns give clues about the D leg completion level or the PRZ, yet the pattern is not considered confirmed unless it is complete. That's why it is suggested to trade them after reversal confirmations at the PRZ.

We both are trying to follow the clues but confirmations are not there yet.

If you see my post carefuly, I do have given importance to 132. And said that bears might activate the butterfly below that level. That break would fail the gartley too, if it happens at all, and add further bearishness. So for me, the downside is active below 132.

On the upside, I might change my stance above the down trend line and watch for the gartley :)
DSKF16
@Bravetotrade, Agreed, just mention who comes first. Also another pattern.

Bravetotrade
@DSKF16, As mentioned bearishness wud activate below 132, till then gartley traders might work on it.

What is the neckline breakdown level for this H&S ?
DSKF16
@Bravetotrade, PINK coloured Box arena is crucial, Last hope for Bulls @ 128.5.

Neckline as H&S it is far Away. Neckline means Connected between LS & RS, it is @ 166+
Bravetotrade
@DSKF16, yes , in simple terms support is the last hope.

I think neckline is not that high, I ll have to check it as soon as I get to my lappy.
Bravetotrade
@DSKF16, Just grabbed my lappy, I have noticed two things:

1) In the Harmonic pattern you just made, B leg didn't retraced exactly 0.618 (as in behaves in a Gartley) but lesser. So its b/w
0.382 to 0.618 which qualifies for a bearish Crab not Gartley. In that case it could go as high as 218. But I ll look for
bullish confirmation above the downtrend line or preferably above 165.

2) The neckline for the H&S shown on your chart comes at around 130/131.



So the area of 130-132 is crucial for the downside trades.
caam
And if closes above 142 in next session as well? Till what time we need to wait for fall below 132?
Bravetotrade
@caam, Bullish stance can be made over the breakout of downtrend line.
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