AniketKabir

High Probability but Poor Risk to Reward Ratio

Long
AniketKabir Updated   
NSE:RELIANCE   RELIANCE INDS
This is my trading journal, not a trade recommendation. Idea presented only for educational purposes for me and others who want to benefit from my experience.

Risk to reward ratio is poor, but probability is very high.


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This is one person’s experience, your experience may differ. Past performance is not guarantee of future gains.
Comment:
On Daily looks good time to take long positional trade
Comment:
On weekly scale
Comment:
Range breakout looks difficult as of now, will see future outlook as market progress
Comment:
Trade not activated, Idea invalidated. Need to find new trade location
Comment:
Compression going on, big move coming.
Comment:
Will look at price action at 2330
Trade active:
Long @ 2330
Comment:
Reaction to Action awaited in next few sessions, may see it at supply zone
Trade closed: stop reached
Comment:
Looks like breakdown of structure, but need confirmation or more information prior to deciding further. on inclined lines, still it is higher high and close to double bottom formation. Possibility of spring formation can not be ruled out.
Comment:
As of now in oversold zone, looks like action reaction set is over and market should react from white line. if white downward inclined line is broken down, may go till red downward inclined, but for that extreme oversold level from present level need extreme bad new from world market. Otherwise in normal course of time market should react from here.
Comment:
No change
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ignore Banknifty update given here
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On weekly
Comment:
On weekly it is test of breakdown
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Failure of breakdown on weekly can turn into exponential rise. As of now no sign of failure on weekly; on daily it is test only, but clear sign of demand shifting upwards, on 75 min breakout from green channel is visible. breakdown on 75 can lead to vigorous down move in green channel, at the same time failure of breakdown on weekly can lead to comparatively more vigorous up move. Can a trade plan be formulated on shorter time frame?
Comment:
Magenta line and cyan lie are entry and stop loss level if breakout upwards sustains on 75 min otherwise vice versa if breakout fails in green channel.
Trade closed manually
Trade active:
long initiated
Comment:
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On weekly scale closed inside the upward moving green channel.
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upward push visible.
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One wide range bar marks the beginning of a new trend?
Comment:
good risk to reward ratio 1:4.2; position long
Trade active:
created credit spread put side 2300-2400 of May 2023 series. Net credit received is 49 points.
Comment:
Bull run starting with spring. 3135 coming, time to take positional bet
Comment:
Future targets and movement in rectangular boxes, if magenta is breached.
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Target 3 done, now towards fourth
Comment:
Target 4 done with double top, temporarily market is short or sideways in yellow bounded channel.
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Higher targets are open now
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train nikalne wali hai..
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Measured move H&S
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On daily picture is different
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Train has left the station.! is it true?
Comment:
To every action there is equal and opposite reaction. It may give another opportunity to board the train.
Trade closed manually

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