3 584
SAIL Technical Breakout Setup 📈
Current Price: ₹125.74 (+2.66%)
Date: May 23, 2025

Key Technical Levels
Entry Zone: Above yellow support zone (₹125-130 range)
Stop Loss: Red line at ₹96.33
Target 1: Green dotted line at ₹173.76 (+38% upside)
Target 2: Green dotted line at ₹259.10 (+106% upside)

Technical Analysis
Pattern Recognition:

SAIL is forming a long-term triangular consolidation pattern

Stock is approaching the apex of a multi-year triangle

Blue diagonal trendline acts as major resistance since 2008 highs

Yellow horizontal zone provides strong support

Current Market Structure:

Price is holding above the critical yellow support zone

Recent bounce shows buying interest at these levels

Volume appears to be picking up on the recent move

Probability Assessment
Target 1 (₹173.76) Probability: Moderate to High

This level represents the previous resistance zone

If breakout sustains above ₹130, this becomes achievable

Risk-reward ratio: Approximately 1:1.6

Target 2 (₹259.10) Probability: Lower

This is an ambitious target requiring significant momentum

Would need broader market support and sector rotation

Risk-reward ratio: Approximately 1:5.5

Trading Strategy
For Aggressive Traders:

Enter on sustained close above ₹130

Partial booking at Target 1

Trail stop loss for Target 2

For Conservative Traders:

Wait for weekly close above ₹135

Smaller position size given the risk

Risk Management:

Strict stop loss at ₹96.33 (23% downside risk)

Position sizing should reflect the volatility

⚠️ Important Notes:

Steel sector performance depends on infrastructure spending

Global commodity prices impact fundamentals

This is a technical setup - fundamental analysis required separately

This analysis is for educational purposes. Trade at your own risk.

Disclaimer

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