1. Bullish Flag with Pole (June–July 2024)
Bullish Flag with Pole: A continuation pattern formed after a strong upward price move (the pole), followed by a short-term consolidation (the flag), signaling the potential for another breakout upward.
Price Action: Strong impulsive rally formed the flagpole, followed by a tight consolidation forming the flag 🚩.
Breakout: Confirmed with a high-volume breakout to the upside.
Target: Achieved a massive 40% gain in under a month.
Analysis: A textbook bullish continuation pattern; traders capitalized on early entry post-breakout.
2. Distribution Phase (August–October 2024)
Distribution Phase: A sideways trading range after an uptrend where smart money or institutions start offloading their holdings. Typically a precursor to a market reversal or downtrend.
Market Structure: After the sharp uptrend, price entered into a horizontal range.
Phase Characteristics: Low volatility, repeated rejections at resistance, high volume on down days—signs of distribution.
Interpretation: Institutions likely booking profits, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Trader Sentiment: Shifted from bullish to neutral/bearish.
3. Triple Top Formation (Within Distribution Phase)
Triple Top Pattern: A bearish reversal pattern marked by three failed attempts to break above a resistance level, indicating weakening momentum and a potential downtrend.
4. Bearish Flag with Pole (During Triple Top Breakdown)
Bearish Flag with Pole: A continuation pattern during a downtrend. It starts with a sharp decline (pole), followed by a minor upward consolidation (flag), suggesting further downside.
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5. Accumulation Phase + Triple Bottom (December 2024–April 2025)
Accumulation Phase: A market phase where a stock trades in a range after a downtrend, as buyers (often smart money) gradually build positions, typically leading to a bullish reversal.
A Triple Bottom is a bullish reversal chart pattern that forms after a downtrend, marked by three equal lows indicating strong support and a potential trend reversal to the upside.
6. Rounding Bottom in Progress (May 2025)
Pattern: Rounding Bottom (Still Forming)
Current Price Action: Gradual curve formation with decreasing volume on the left and increasing volume near the neckline— a bullish sign.
Expectation: Anticipated upside breakout in the coming days.
Outlook: If confirmed, this could mark the start of a new bullish cycle.
📌 Summary:
SMS Pharmaceuticals Ltd. has shown a textbook series of technical patterns—from trend continuations to reversals, distribution to accumulation, and now a potential new uptrend. Each phase was actionable, with clear breakout/breakdown points and well-achieved targets.
Bullish Flag with Pole: A continuation pattern formed after a strong upward price move (the pole), followed by a short-term consolidation (the flag), signaling the potential for another breakout upward.
Price Action: Strong impulsive rally formed the flagpole, followed by a tight consolidation forming the flag 🚩.
Breakout: Confirmed with a high-volume breakout to the upside.
Target: Achieved a massive 40% gain in under a month.
Analysis: A textbook bullish continuation pattern; traders capitalized on early entry post-breakout.
2. Distribution Phase (August–October 2024)
Distribution Phase: A sideways trading range after an uptrend where smart money or institutions start offloading their holdings. Typically a precursor to a market reversal or downtrend.
Market Structure: After the sharp uptrend, price entered into a horizontal range.
Phase Characteristics: Low volatility, repeated rejections at resistance, high volume on down days—signs of distribution.
Interpretation: Institutions likely booking profits, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Trader Sentiment: Shifted from bullish to neutral/bearish.
3. Triple Top Formation (Within Distribution Phase)
Triple Top Pattern: A bearish reversal pattern marked by three failed attempts to break above a resistance level, indicating weakening momentum and a potential downtrend.
- Resistance Level: Same peak tested three times without breaking.
- Breakdown: Confirmed after the third top with a decisive drop.
- Target: Achieved a "30% downside" move via "short selling", all within a month.
- Insight: Classic reversal pattern, effectively timed with distribution.
4. Bearish Flag with Pole (During Triple Top Breakdown)
Bearish Flag with Pole: A continuation pattern during a downtrend. It starts with a sharp decline (pole), followed by a minor upward consolidation (flag), suggesting further downside.
- Formation: Sharp decline (pole) followed by a brief upward consolidation (flag).
- Breakdown: Continuation to the downside, achieving projected target.
- Target: Fully achieved within the same downtrend cycle.
- Conclusion: Reinforced the bearish sentiment and amplified the down move.
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5. Accumulation Phase + Triple Bottom (December 2024–April 2025)
Accumulation Phase: A market phase where a stock trades in a range after a downtrend, as buyers (often smart money) gradually build positions, typically leading to a bullish reversal.
A Triple Bottom is a bullish reversal chart pattern that forms after a downtrend, marked by three equal lows indicating strong support and a potential trend reversal to the upside.
- Phase: 5-month Accumulation Phase
- Pattern: Triple Bottom during this period indicated strong support and buyer presence.
- Breakout: Occurred with a bullish breakout post third bottom.
- Target: 20% upside achieved within a month post-breakout.
- Observation: Long-term investors and smart money potentially entering positions.
6. Rounding Bottom in Progress (May 2025)
Pattern: Rounding Bottom (Still Forming)
Current Price Action: Gradual curve formation with decreasing volume on the left and increasing volume near the neckline— a bullish sign.
Expectation: Anticipated upside breakout in the coming days.
Outlook: If confirmed, this could mark the start of a new bullish cycle.
📌 Summary:
SMS Pharmaceuticals Ltd. has shown a textbook series of technical patterns—from trend continuations to reversals, distribution to accumulation, and now a potential new uptrend. Each phase was actionable, with clear breakout/breakdown points and well-achieved targets.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.