TVS Motor | 52-Week Breakout Case Study

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🏍️ TVS MOTOR (NSE: TVSMOTOR) | CMP 3,658.00
Sector: Auto & 2-Wheeler | Date: 19 Oct 2025
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📊 Chart Summary
TVS Motor has delivered a 52-week breakout with a strong bullish Marubozu candle, signalling aggressive buying momentum.
The stock closed firmly near day’s high, reinforcing confidence among participants.
This move comes after a sustained consolidation phase, with volumes spiking well above the short-term average — confirming institutional and HNI participation around the 3,650 zone.
Structurally, the stock is transitioning from a Consolidation Phase into an Expansion Phase, marking the possible beginning of a fresh markup leg.
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🟡 Technical Indicators Summary
The chart highlights Bullish Momentum supported by a Strong Bullish Marubozu, indicating conviction among buyers.
A clear RSI breakout (76) confirms strengthening momentum, while the Bollinger Band breakout and BBSqueeze-Off suggest volatility expansion — often preceding strong directional moves.
MACD at 5.54 shows a positive crossover, CCI 205.96 signals extended strength, and Stochastic 98.62 confirms short-term over-extension yet strong momentum.
VWAP support at 3,639.46 keeps intraday trend structure intact.
This confluence reflects multi-indicator alignment — the kind of structure often seen in sustained breakout phases.
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📈 Price Action & Key Levels
Resistance: 3683 / 3712 / 3765
Support: 3600 / 3547 / 3518
VWAP: 3639.46
The breakout occurred above 3,658, which now acts as a pivot zone.
Sustaining above this level could keep momentum active, whereas any dip toward VWAP or ₹3,600 may offer short-term retest potential.
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🧭 STWP Trade Analysis
Bias: Bullish
Breakout Level: Above 3658
Intraday Support: 3626
Swing Support: 3501
Intermediate Support: 3274
Momentum: Moderate
Trend: Neutral (Turning Bullish)
Risk: Low
Volume: High
📌 Observation: The strong candle structure backed by volume and RSI expansion suggests continued bullish sentiment.
A possible HNI setup was visible near 3654–3658 with support at 3518, while a lower build-up setup is also seen near 3647 with support at 3493 — confirming tiered accumulation.
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🧭 STWP Note – Gap-Up Retest Zone
If TVS Motor opens gap-up above ₹3,658, key pullback levels to watch are ₹3,639 (VWAP), ₹3,547 (EMA support), and ₹3,443 (0.786 Fibonacci level). A mild, low-volume pullback toward these zones would represent a healthy retest within the ongoing expansion phase. The breakout remains valid and momentum bullish as long as price holds above ₹3,443.
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📘 Learning Perspective (Educational Insight)
TVS Motor’s setup illustrates how multiple bullish confirmations (RSI breakout, MACD crossover, BB expansion, and VWAP strength) can align during a 52-week breakout phase.
The pattern teaches traders to spot volume-backed momentum near higher-timeframe resistance zones — a sign that larger players may be entering.
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🧩 Final Outlook
TVS Motor currently displays:
Momentum: Moderate
Trend: Neutral turning Bullish
Risk: Low
Volume: High
While KST remains mildly bearish (34.45), the overall setup hints at a momentum continuation phase, provided the stock sustains above 3626–3600 levels.
Traders should watch price action around 3,683–3,712 for confirmation of follow-through strength.
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💬 STWP Mentor Note
When multiple indicators speak in one direction — price, volume, and structure often follow. Watch how VWAP and RSI behave in the next few sessions; that’s where breakout traders can learn the art of patience and precision.
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⚠️ Disclosure & Disclaimer (SEBI-Compliant)
This content is created solely for educational and informational purposes to help readers understand technical analysis and market structure.
It does not constitute investment advice, research recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security.
The author is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst.
All charts, patterns, and levels are based on personal study and historical data available from public sources such as TradingView and NSE India.
Position Status: No active position in TVSMOTOR at the time of publication.
Trading and investing involve risk. Market movements can be unpredictable, and losses may exceed invested capital.
Readers are strongly advised to consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser before making any trading or investment decisions.
By engaging with this post, you acknowledge that you take full responsibility for your own trades, decisions, and outcomes.
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