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ridethepig
Feb 1, 2020 9:45 AM

ridethepig | US 10Y Yields At 1.50 Support  Long

United States 10 Year Government Bonds YieldTVC

Description

A deliberate soft closing down at the 1.50 lows (instead of breaking through allows for an underestimation in the bounce); here, the systematic approach of buying the dip deserves victory. We can cast some light together on playing through the flank:



In the extraordinarily traditional sense an inversion which we are looking at always leads to a recession and volatile positioning. This change of cycle that I have mentioned usually crops up in Vol first:



But what is typical of the big leagues, and this of course is no exception in US10Y, is and will remain advanced playing fields for advanced swing traders only. Retail making use of this soft close and betting on the continuation will provide the fuel for a spike as they cover and become trapped in a squeeze. Even when smart money appears to have a gun pointed at the head, it always finds the time to mass his troops in defence (now you see why this weekend was vital!!!!)... If you are keen to learn, you should model yourself around these premises.

All the best and thanks for keeping your support coming with likes, comments, charts, questions and etc!!



Comment

An interesting bounce here from the lows as expected

Trade closed: target reached

First targets cleared here! Eyes on the NY session today we are aligning for a very important prelude to NFP.

Trade closed: target reached

All targets cleared in a very simple bounce. Well done those repositioning.
Comments
losingallmymoney
Sorry I had a quick question and I havent been able to find the answer. why are these bonds down while interest rates are low as well? As opposed to TLT which seems to trade inversely with interest rates? Thank you
losingallmymoney
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