USD CHF Weekly analysis (10-05-25 to - 17-05-25)

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๐Ÿ“Š Technical Analysis โ€“ USD/CHF (4H Chart)
Current price: 0.8308

Chart Outlook:

Strong bullish breakout above 0.8290โ€“0.8300 zone

Green arrow shows a projected move toward 0.8400โ€“0.8450

A clean higher low structure forming, supporting further upside

Key Technical Notes:

If price holds above 0.8290, bulls stay in control

Next major resistance lies near 0.8380โ€“0.8450 (April highs)

๐ŸŒ Fundamental View โ€“ USD/CHF
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. Dollar
Eyes on U.S. CPI (May 15) and Retail Sales (May 16)

A hot CPI could trigger stronger USD, lifting USD/CHF

Fed pause still expected, but inflation surprises could delay rate cuts

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Swiss Franc
SNB is unlikely to hike in 2025; focus is on preventing excessive CHF strength

CHF typically acts as a risk-off hedge โ€” if risk sentiment improves, CHF weakens

โœ… Conclusion
USD/CHF has triggered a bullish breakout, targeting the 0.8380โ€“0.8450 range. The move will likely be powered by U.S. CPI and Retail Sales. A strong USD backdrop would keep the bullish structure intact, while a weak CPI print could cap the rally.

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