Dual Scenario: Fundamental vs Technical

2 892
Yen on High Alert

Japanese Finance Minister Katayama issued a fresh warning on April 15, 2026, stating she is prepared to take "bold action" to support the YEN.

- The USD/JPY pair is currently hovering around 158–159, a level that has historically triggered direct market intervention by Japanese authorities.
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The 4H chart shows 2 scenarios about the USD/JPY possible price movement

1. BLUE DOWNWARD PROJECTION:
- Based on Japan's recent warning of market intervention
- The prices are expected to fall 1.35% - based on recent price action
- Overall, the prices could fall below the fib level 0.618 (158.65) with crucial support levels at 158.25 & 157.70.

2. PURPLE UPWARD PROJECTION:
- After consolidation between fib levels 0.618 & 0.50, prices steeply moved upward.
- 159.50 could be a crucial resistance - close to 160.00 & the descending Black trendline

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