USDJPY eyes further losses but bulls keep reins

FX:USDJPY   U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen
A clear downside break of 50-SMA, as well as November’s peak, near 115.50 challenges the USDJPY pair’s recent rebound. However, 100-SMA and an upward sloping support line from December 03, respectively around 114.80 and 114. 40 , will restrict the yen pair’s additional losses, backed by nearly oversold RSI conditions. Should bears conquer the stated trend line support, 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of December-January upside, around 114.00 and 113.35, will act as additional supports before directing sellers to December’s low of 112.52.

On the contrary, a daily closing beyond 115.50 will push back the short-term bearish bias, a break of which will highlight the weekly resistance line around 115.90. In a case where USDJPY rises past 115.90, the run-up to the 116.00 threshold and January’s peak of 116.35 can’t be ruled out. In a case where buyers dominate past 116.35, the 117.00 round figure may act as an intermediate halt during the rally aiming December 2016 peak around 118.65-70. To sum up, USDJPY witnesses a pullback and the same is likely to last for now but a reversal of the bullish trend is off the table.