XAUUSD – H2 Technical Analysis

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Liquidity Pullback Within a Strong Bullish Structure | Lana ✨

Gold continues to trade within a well-defined bullish structure on the H2 timeframe. The recent surge was impulsive, followed by a healthy retracement that appears to be rebalancing liquidity rather than signaling a trend reversal.

Price action remains constructive as long as the market respects key structural levels and the ascending trendline.

📈 Market Structure & Trend Context

The overall trend remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows still intact.

Price continues to respect the ascending trendline, which has acted as reliable dynamic support throughout the uptrend.

The recent pullback occurred after an aggressive upside expansion, fitting the classic sequence:

Impulse → Pullback → Continuation

No clear distribution pattern is visible at this stage. As long as structural support holds, the bias remains BUY on pullbacks, not selling strength.

🔍 Key Technical Zones & Value Areas

Primary Buy POC Zone: 4764 – 4770
This area represents a high-volume node (POC) and aligns closely with the rising trendline.
It is a natural zone where price may rebalance before resuming the bullish trend.

Secondary Value Area (VAL–VAH): 4714 – 4718
A deeper liquidity zone that could act as support if sell pressure temporarily increases.

Near-term resistance: 4843
Acceptance above this level strengthens the continuation scenario.

Psychological reaction zone: 4900
Likely to generate short-term hesitation or profit-taking.

Higher-timeframe expansion targets:

5000 (psychological level)

2.618 Fibonacci extension, where major liquidity may be resting.

🎯 Trading Plan – H2 Structure-Based
✅ Primary Scenario: BUY the Pullback

Buy Entry:
👉 4766 – 4770

Lana prefers to engage only if price pulls back into the POC zone and shows bullish confirmation on H1–H2 (trendline hold, strong rejection of lower prices, or bullish follow-through).

Stop Loss:
👉 4756 – 4758
(Placed ~8–10 points below entry, beneath the POC zone and the ascending trendline)

🎯 Take Profit Targets (Scaled Exits)

TP1: 4843
First resistance zone — partial profit-taking recommended.

TP2: 4900
Psychological level with potential short-term reactions.

TP3: 5000
Major psychological milestone and upside expansion target.

TP4 (extension): 5050 – 5080
Area aligned with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension and higher-timeframe liquidity.

The preferred approach is to scale out gradually and protect the position, adjusting risk as price confirms continuation.

🌍 Macro Context (Brief)

According to Goldman Sachs, central banks in emerging markets are expected to continue diversifying reserves away from traditional assets and into gold.
Average annual central bank gold purchases are projected to reach around 60 tons by 2026, reinforcing structural demand for gold.

This ongoing accumulation supports the idea that pullbacks are more likely driven by positioning and profit-taking, rather than a shift in long-term fundamentals.

🧠 Lana’s View

This remains a pullback within a bullish trend, not a bearish reversal.
The focus stays on buying value at key liquidity zones, not chasing price at highs.
Patience, structure, and disciplined execution remain the edge.

✨ Respect the trend, trade the structure, and let price come to your zone.

Disclaimer

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