Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Long

XAU/USD: Buy on BOS, FVG + Fibo retracement!

1 279
◆ Market Context (M30)
Gold has just broken the rising BOS and created a strong push to the short-term peak area of 4,417. After the impulse, the market enters a pullback to rebalance—a common behavior before continuing the main trend.

◆ SMC & Price Action
• The rising structure remains valid (HH–HL).
• The FVG + Fibo zone (0.5–0.618) around 4,374 is the preferred area to look for buying pressure.
• The OB below ~4,339 is a deeper support area if the pullback extends.
• No bearish CHoCH yet → prioritize the bullish continuation scenario.

◆ Key Levels
• Nearest peak/resistance: 4,417
• FVG + Fibo (BUY zone): ~4,374
• Deep OB: ~4,339
• Invalid rise: clear break of 4,339

◆ Trading Scenarios

➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority)
• Wait for price to retrace to 4,374 (FVG + Fibo)
• Condition: rejection candle / maintain HL
• Targets:
▪ 4,397
▪ 4,417 (peak)
▪ extend if peak is broken

➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback
• If 4,374 is breached
• Monitor OB ~4,339 for buying reaction
• Only BUY with structural confirmation

➤ Scenario C – Break & Continue
• If price does not retrace deeply and holds above 4,397
• Follow the trend towards 4,417+
• Avoid FOMO at premium

◆ Summary
• Context: pullback in an uptrend.
• Decision zone: 4,374 → 4,339.
• Upper target: 4,417.
• Prioritize BUY according to structure, manage risk when price is at premium.

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