Gold surged strongly at the start of the week as escalating geopolitical tensions boosted safe-haven demand, while expectations of further Fed rate cuts continued to support the broader bullish narrative. From a technical perspective, price is now reacting around key liquidity and Fibonacci zones rather than trending impulsively.
TECHNICAL OVERVIEW
On H1, gold experienced a sharp sell-off followed by a recovery, forming a V-shaped reaction that suggests aggressive liquidity clearing.
Price is currently trading below prior breakdown zones, indicating that supply remains active at higher levels.
The market structure favors selling on rallies in the short term, while deeper pullbacks may attract fresh buyers.
KEY LEVELS & MARKET BEHAVIOR
Upper sell zones (supply & Fibonacci confluence):
4497 – 4500 (FVG sell zone, premium area)
4431 – 4435 (Fibonacci + former support turned resistance)
These zones represent areas where sellers previously stepped in aggressively, making them important reaction levels if price rebounds.
Lower buy-side liquidity:
4345 – 4350 (Value Low / buy-side liquidity zone)
This area aligns with trendline support and prior accumulation, making it a key level to monitor for a bullish reaction if price rotates lower.
EXPECTED PRICE FLOW
Short term: price may continue to consolidate and rotate between resistance and liquidity below, with choppy price action likely.
A rejection from the upper resistance zones could lead to another leg lower toward buy-side liquidity.
If buy-side liquidity is absorbed and defended, the market may attempt another recovery move.
FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
Gold’s strength is underpinned by two major factors:
Rising geopolitical risk, which increases demand for safe-haven assets.
Dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve, as markets continue to price in additional rate cuts, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
These fundamentals support gold on higher timeframes, even as short-term technical corrections play out.
BIG PICTURE VIEW
Medium-term bias remains constructive due to macro and geopolitical support.
Short-term price action is driven by liquidity and reaction zones rather than trend continuation.
Patience is key—allow price to interact with major levels before committing to the next directional move.
Let the market show its hand at liquidity.
TECHNICAL OVERVIEW
On H1, gold experienced a sharp sell-off followed by a recovery, forming a V-shaped reaction that suggests aggressive liquidity clearing.
Price is currently trading below prior breakdown zones, indicating that supply remains active at higher levels.
The market structure favors selling on rallies in the short term, while deeper pullbacks may attract fresh buyers.
KEY LEVELS & MARKET BEHAVIOR
Upper sell zones (supply & Fibonacci confluence):
4497 – 4500 (FVG sell zone, premium area)
4431 – 4435 (Fibonacci + former support turned resistance)
These zones represent areas where sellers previously stepped in aggressively, making them important reaction levels if price rebounds.
Lower buy-side liquidity:
4345 – 4350 (Value Low / buy-side liquidity zone)
This area aligns with trendline support and prior accumulation, making it a key level to monitor for a bullish reaction if price rotates lower.
EXPECTED PRICE FLOW
Short term: price may continue to consolidate and rotate between resistance and liquidity below, with choppy price action likely.
A rejection from the upper resistance zones could lead to another leg lower toward buy-side liquidity.
If buy-side liquidity is absorbed and defended, the market may attempt another recovery move.
FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
Gold’s strength is underpinned by two major factors:
Rising geopolitical risk, which increases demand for safe-haven assets.
Dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve, as markets continue to price in additional rate cuts, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
These fundamentals support gold on higher timeframes, even as short-term technical corrections play out.
BIG PICTURE VIEW
Medium-term bias remains constructive due to macro and geopolitical support.
Short-term price action is driven by liquidity and reaction zones rather than trend continuation.
Patience is key—allow price to interact with major levels before committing to the next directional move.
Let the market show its hand at liquidity.
Trade active
Update Plan
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✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+PNA9TDWpr_80ZGQ1
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
🔥 BrianLionCapital – Where Top Traders Unite
✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+PNA9TDWpr_80ZGQ1
✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+PNA9TDWpr_80ZGQ1
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.