Gold 1H – Will the Breakout from Range Sustain?

Sep 29, 2025

Gold on the 1H timeframe has broken out of its previous consolidation range and is now testing a premium supply zone near 3828–3826. The structure shows a clear BOS after the range, supported by strong bullish momentum. However, engineered liquidity sweeps remain likely before the market establishes sustained direction.
From the macro side, today’s headlines highlight persistent inflation worries and a stronger U.S. dollar as traders anticipate upcoming remarks from Federal Reserve officials. Geopolitical tensions in energy markets have also underpinned safe-haven flows, adding volatility to gold price action.
This alignment of macro drivers and technical liquidity pools suggests two tactical scenarios: fading rejections at supply while preparing to buy dips into the defined demand zone.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3828–3826 (SL 3835): Premium supply zone with upside liquidity sweep potential, offering downside targets at 3810 → 3790 → 3775.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 3757–3759 (SL 3750, Demand Zone): Discount demand area aligned with BOS, with upside targets at 3765 → 3780 → 3795+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Supply Rejection (3828–3826)
• Entry: 3828–3826
• Stop Loss: 3835
• Take Profits:
 TP1: 3810
 TP2: 3790
 TP3: 3775
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Mitigation (3757–3759)
• Entry: 3757–3759
• Stop Loss: 3750
• Take Profits:
 TP1: 3765
 TP2: 3780
 TP3: 3795+
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🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains volatile after breaking out of consolidation. Expect engineered sweeps into both supply and demand zones before directional clarity develops. With macro headlines keeping the dollar firm and inflation risks alive, traders should watch for sharp intraday reversals:
• Fade supply rejections if momentum stalls at 3828–3826.
• Buy dips into demand if liquidity is swept cleanly around 3757–3759.
The broader narrative supports a two-sided strategy until the Fed provides clearer guidance.

Sep 30, 2025

Trade active

SELL GOLD 3828 +190PIPS HIT TP