Great content. I agree the MA's and EMA's will act as pretty strong resistance to any upwards price movement, which makes a huge unrestrained bull run pretty unlikely in my opinion. I also agree with you that it won't be very clear where the price bottom will be in the up coming weeks.
I don't have any intention to buy XRP at the moment, but as you mentioned the 0.000017ish area has been a key level over time. Moreover, price levels are falling and volume profile is increasing, which to me suggests this is a downward consolidation movement. I would not be surprised if we saw a large price movement within the next 6 months. Here's a pic of the chart I'm using to compare with your chart.