GOLD UPDATE – FAKE NEWS SHOCKS MARKET INVESTORS GO FULL RISK-OFFGOLD UPDATE – FAKE NEWS SHOCKS MARKET, INVESTORS GO FULL RISK-OFF
Plan: Rejection + BIGSHORT scenario still in play
📉 U.S. Session Recap
Gold tanked aggressively during yesterday’s New York session after markets reacted to a “Fake News” headline suggesting a delay in the U.S. tariff policy. While the rumor was quickly denied by the White House, the psychological damage had already been done — triggering a sharp sell-off that sent Gold plunging back into the 295x zone, exactly as forecasted in AD’s earlier plan.
Meanwhile, U.S. equities stayed deep in the red, and the uncertainty continues to weigh on global markets.
🧠 Market Sentiment: “Cash Is King” Reignites
Investor sentiment is now fully fear-driven. Without a major calming headline or shift in macro tone, we’re likely to see more risk-off behavior and capital flight into cash and U.S. Treasuries.
📌 This shift may be strategic: if investors increasingly hoard USD and rotate into government bonds (currently more attractive than risk assets), it may signal a coordinated squeeze — possibly part of Trump’s broader economic maneuvering.
🔮 AD's Strategy
Until sentiment changes, we remain in SELL mode.
→ Look to short rallies until at least Wednesday, then reassess.
🧭 Key Technical Zones
🔺 Resistance: 3005 – 3016 – 3035 – 3056 – 3076
🔻 Support: 2980 – 2969 – 2956 – 2930 – 2912
🎯 TRADE SETUPS
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2930 – 2928
SL: 2924
TP: 2934 – 2938 – 2942 – 2946 – 2950
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3034 – 3036
SL: 3040
TP: 3030 – 3026 – 3022 – 3018 – 3014 – 3010 – ????
📌 DXY Watch
Dollar Index looks to be forming a base and could rally strongly if U.S. equities continue to slide. BIGSHORT across assets remains a real possibility.
⚠️ Final Reminder
We’re in a highly volatile and fragile market phase.
Trade with discipline. Always secure your TP/SL.
Let price come to you — don’t chase.
📌 If you find value in these market insights and real-time trade zones — make sure to follow for more daily updates and clean chart breakdowns.
Let’s navigate this market together — structure, strategy & execution.
💬 Got a similar view or a different angle? Drop a comment — I’m always open to smart discussion!
— AD | Money Market Flow
Bigshort
TRADE WAR STORM BREWING – IS A GLOBAL BIGSHORT COMING?🚨 TRADE WAR STORM BREWING – IS A GLOBAL BIGSHORT COMING?
In the past 24 hours, global financial markets have been rocked by the shock announcement of Trump’s aggressive global tariff policy. This isn’t just a geopolitical maneuver — it’s a potential trigger for massive systemic volatility, affecting everything from U.S. equities to Gold, DXY, crypto, and major global indices in Asia and Europe.
🔍 What Just Happened?
We saw Gold crash over 100 points, a move that caught many traders off guard. Under normal circumstances, a weakening USD would be bullish for Gold. But here’s the twist: the Dollar also dropped sharply, yet Gold was still aggressively sold off.
Why?
👉 A plausible explanation is that major funds and investors liquidated their Gold positions to cover equity losses or to meet margin calls from collapsing positions across other markets.
This is no ordinary move — it may well be the beginning of a “BIGSHORT” phase across global assets.
🧨 This Is Just the Beginning
The market reaction suggests that we are not in a routine correction. Instead, we may be witnessing the early stages of a coordinated risk-off movement — one sparked by fears of a new global trade war with far-reaching implications.
Tariffs on aluminum, steel, manufacturing goods, and industrial inputs have already disrupted entire supply chains. Industry-specific disruptions (e.g. construction, healthcare, utilities, wholesale) are beginning to show — this is not a drill.
📉 U.S. Macro Data Is Getting Worse
The headline inflation data in the U.S. continues to fall, but other economic indicators are flashing red:
ISM Services PMI (Mar): 50.8 (vs. 53.0 expected)
Employment: 46.2 (prev: 53.9) — a sharp drop
New Orders: 50.4
Export Orders & Backlogs: Both declined significantly
👉 The ISM Services sector represents more than 70% of U.S. GDP. A reading this weak suggests that the U.S. economy may be slowing faster than expected.
🧠 Market Sentiment Is Shaky
Fear is back. And worse: FOMO and panic are driving decisions, not logic.
Retail and institutional traders alike are struggling to digest the overlapping risks: tariffs, inflation uncertainty, interest rates, and recession fears.
Tonight brings another major catalyst:
📆 Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) — a key employment report that could reinforce or break the current narrative.
🏦 Will the Fed Cut Rates Earlier Than Expected?
Here’s what markets are now pricing in:
Rate cuts may start as early as May or June 2025
Probabilities have risen for 2–4 rate cuts this year, compared to 2 cuts expected previously
Odds of a summer pivot are now well above 50%
If the Fed sees continued weakness in labor and services, it may have no choice but to cut earlier — regardless of inflation progress.
⚠️ Strategic Takeaway: Watch, Don’t Chase
Before looking for entries, take a breath.
This is a time when doing nothing might be the smartest trade.
“Sometimes, staying on the sidelines is how you survive the storm.”
Let the volatility play out — and prepare for high-probability setups, not emotional trades.
📊 TECHNICAL LEVELS TO WATCH
🔺 Resistance Levels:
3110 – 3119 – 3136 – 3148 – 3167
🔻 Support Levels:
3086 – 3075 – 3055 – 3040 – 3024
BUY ZONE: 3056 – 3054
SL: 3050
TP: 3060 – 3064 – 3068 – 3072 – 3076 – 3080
SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150
SL: 3154
TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120
💬 Final Thoughts
The combination of geopolitical tariffs, recession fears, and Fed policy uncertainty has created a perfect storm across global markets.
We’re entering a phase where any careless trade can wipe out weeks of progress. Be cautious. Stay informed. Wait for clarity before going big.
📌 As for Gold:
Are we seeing just a pullback — or is this the calm before an ATH breakout?
Stay sharp. Set clear SL/TP. Follow the macro, respect the chart — and most importantly, don’t trade scared.
🧠 Patience is profit. Let the market come to you.
NIFTY Breaking 2020 Trendline with Monthly Big Bear CandleNifty Breakdown 2020 Trendline on Monthly Chart with Big Bear Candle - (Currently Now its show almost Full Bear power Candle near at 10:30am)
If You See the Monthly RSI Is also going to break almost Five years Low 53.30
3rd thing if you comapre RSI low 2016-2020 breakdown its Go more 39% Down in just 2 months.
Chart & Indicator both Saw Very bad Sentiments & Pattern on chart.
my prediction as below as per fibo chart shown in chart
Target as per Fibolevel
T1- 21848.50 (23.8%)
T2- 19108.65 (38.3%)
T3- 16894.25 (50%)
T4- 14679.80(61.8%)
Target as per Chart (Zones)
T1 Zone- 22081- 21588
T2 Zone- 18912-18515.50
T3 Zone- 15645-15177
Nifty may Decline 2000-3000 points from Given RangeWave (5) started from 23894 achieved its projection range and its sub wave 5 started from 24753 is also achieved its range and even extended so Nifty may give quick 1000 points fall from given range in chart and eventually it may decline 2000 to 3000 points from given range.
26200 is the Invalidation level for this analysis.....
ABB - Downtrend Possibility The stock is in bullish mode for the last five sessions and ran more than 300 points.
If reverses from cmp or after reaching 3500, may go in a downtrend.
The downward targets maybe 3230/2950/2800.
All levels and points are marked on the charts.
If sustains above 3500, the setup fails.
Only for learning and sharing purposes, not any kind of trading advice in any form.
Anytime we must not feel stuck in a trade. Step out from the trade
as it hits our risk management.
All the best.
Weekly nifty Elliott wave theory its time to ride C wave As i have observed market has been long form the log time after 2008 crisis if we impose the five wave pattern in it as i show in chart Please correct me if my wave count is wrong i just want to discusses weather we have right now a big short or not i feel in before march 2021 market will fall and it been in 2008 Please share your view on it.
Some point which also supporting the fall in the market
Repo rate of RBI is at all time low 4 % for us its .25 % just above the zero as it was in 2008
NIfty PE ratio is above 28 which also indicate not to go long in current circumstances
Conflict Between world and china
Every one is aware of pandemic condition we have right now
This is my first post If i forgot to mention something please forgive me
eurusd short (big short)in eurusd -0.15% I entered the position after we broke first red line (neck line) there was a double (triple) top on hourly chart. Then I looked daily (chart 1), and I see , a Head and shoulders pattern ( not sure but it can be a libra also) which neck line is show by purple line and also target are shown by purple line also. then I looked the chart weekly and I saw a bigger same pattern (chart 2) and which it targets are shown by the blue lines. I don't to make trade in big time frame but this time I want to test my patience. let's see what will happen next days or weeks or maybe month. :)