Weekly Analysis with buy/Sell scenarios in BTC👋👋👋 Friends, What's your view on BTC???
BTC is moving exactly the way we analysed weeks back and still in the range. Kind of taking pause before reaching to our longer term levels of 55K-50k Levels.
Previous week events and price action analysis.
Bitcoin delivered a volatile yet range-bound performance over the past week, attempting an upward move toward the $75,000–$76,000 resistance zone before encountering strong selling pressure and retreating to the $67,000–$68,000 region, eventually closing near the midpoint of latest dealing range, which underscores ongoing market indecision and consolidation following the recent recovery phase.
The price action reflects a clear supply–demand equilibrium, where robust institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs (approximately $500M–$700M during the week) were counterbalanced by profit booking from short-term market participants, limiting directional follow-through. At the same time, macro headwinds, including expectations of prolonged higher interest rates and persistent geopolitical uncertainties, continued to temper overall risk appetite, preventing sustained upside momentum despite supportive flows.
From a structural standpoint, Bitcoin remains confined within a well-defined consolidation band of $65,000–$76,000, characterized by repeated rejection at higher levels but no meaningful breakdown of key supports, suggesting the market is undergoing a healthy pause within a broader uptrend rather than signalling a confirmed reversal.
Next Week Scenarios..
🟢 Bullish Scenario
• Sustained breakout above $75K–$76K
• Supported by continued ETF inflows and improving risk sentiment
👉 Upside targets: $80K → $90K
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🔴 Bearish Scenario
• Failure to hold $67K–$65K support
• Continued profit booking + macro pressure
👉 Downside targets: $62K → $60K
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⚖️ Base Case (Most Likely)
• Range-bound consolidation (65K – 76K)
• Whipsaw moves driven by flows + macro news
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🧠 Professional Insight
• Market is currently in a “flow-driven equilibrium”
o ETF inflows = support
o Profit booking = resistance
• Breakout will only come when one side dominates
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✅ Final Verdict
👉 Bias: Range-bound with slight sell-on-rise
👉 Structure: Consolidation before expansion
👉 Trigger: ETF flows + US macro data
Critical Points
1. Price is ranging between ~$67K-~$76K.
2. Pressure is clear downside and we can expect some moves between the identified range.
3. We should expect any big movement out of this range only.
4. Price may approach POI (~55K zone) identified in previously once lower zone is broken with volume and sustained below it.
5. Price may consolidate at this level and form MSS at this POI and possibly reverse for further highs.
6. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
7. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (4H/1H) at Key Level/FVG zone.
8. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling high probability and high reward trade scenarios.
The complete execution model with entry, exit is explained in my latest breakdown (details in profile).
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
