Market Structure: Bearish (short-term). Market Structure: Bearish (short-term). Price is rejecting the premium supply/liquidity zone and remains below recent highs.
Key Support & Resistance
Resistance: 4108–4118 (Liquidity Pool / Supply)
Minor Resistance: 4070–4080 (Fib retracement zone)
Support: 4025–4030 (Reclaimed liquidity)
Major Demand: 4000–4010
Liquidity Zones
Buy-side liquidity resting above 4108–4118
Sell-side liquidity around 4025–4000
BOS / CHOCH / FVG / Order Blocks
Bullish impulse originated from the visible demand zone.
Price swept into the buy-side liquidity pool and is now rejecting lower.
Current reaction from the Fib retracement / supply area favors a bearish pullback.
No fresh bullish CHOCH is visible yet.
Best Entry
Sell: Retest 4070–4080 with bearish confirmation.
Buy: Only after a bullish CHOCH and strong rejection from 4000–4025 demand.
Stop Loss & Targets
Risk:Reward
1:2 to 1:3
Bullish / Bearish Probability
Bullish: 35%
Bearish: 65%
Retail Trap Areas
Chasing longs directly into the 4108–4118 liquidity/supply zone.
Selling after an extended drop without waiting for a retracement.
Beginner-Friendly Explanation
Price rallied into a major supply and liquidity zone where institutions often take profits or open sell positions. Wait for confirmation at key levels instead of entering in the middle of the move.
Final Verdict: WAIT → SELL ON RETEST
Confidence Score: 78%
If price stays below 4080, my bias remains bearish.
Short