Energy Commodities
Natural Gas (NG) Weekly Breakout Brewing — 80% Upside Potential!Current Price: $3.090
Technical View (Weekly Timeframe):
Natural Gas has formed a classic falling wedge pattern on the weekly chart - a strong bullish reversal setup. Price action is currently on the verge of breakout , with increasing volume and narrowing range suggesting imminent movement.
🟢 Strong Support Zones:
$3.013 – $2.956
$2.692 – $2.643
🔺 Key Resistance / Upside Targets:
Short-term: $5.125 – $5.630 (Pattern target: $5.625 )
Long-term: $9.35 – $10.00
📈 The pattern breakout target of $5.625 aligns closely with the major resistance zone of $5.125 – $5.630, representing a potential ~80% upside from current levels.
Look for confirmed breakout above the wedge resistance with strong volume for trend continuation.
#NaturalGas | #NG | #FallingWedge | #ChartPatterns | #TechnicalAnalysis | #PriceAction
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
USOIL is in a critical zoneHello,
USOIL is currently at a major support level that has held for the past 2 months. There are two possible scenarios: either the support holds and USOIL bounces back toward the resistance at $66, or the support breaks and the price moves down to the next level at $60,
Ibrouri Abdessamad
Natural Gas – Breakdown Retest Could Trigger Fresh FallHello everyone, Let's analyse Natural Gas and it has recently broken down from a key support level, turning it into resistance. The price is now retesting that zone, and unless bulls manage to reclaim it strongly, the downside remains the higher probability.
Current Setup:
Previous support around 254–256 has turned into a resistance zone.
Breakdown already confirmed with strong bearish candles.
RSI is still holding higher, but momentum may fade if resistance rejects.
Fresh downside targets can open toward 249–247 zone if rejection plays out.
Only a strong close above 257 will negate this bearish view.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator) | More analysis & educational content on my profile
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DLF 1D Time frame📉 Current Market Snapshot
Current Price: ₹758.40
Previous Close: ₹756.35
Day's Range: ₹754.20 – ₹764.40
52-Week High: ₹929.00
52-Week Low: ₹601.20
Market Cap: ₹1.87 lakh crore
P/E Ratio: 41.85
Dividend Yield: 0.79%
ROE: 10.76%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.10
Beta: 1.78
EPS (TTM): ₹18.12
Book Value: ₹172.51
Face Value: ₹2.00
Crude oil - Sell around 65.00, target 62.00-60.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil closed with a small positive candlestick yesterday, rebounding for three consecutive trading days. It appears that the 60.00 support level remains very strong and difficult to break in the short term. If it rebounds near 65.00, continue selling. Crude oil remains bearish. Today's strategy remains unchanged. Yesterday's positive close is somewhat related to the EIA crude oil inventory data.
Fundamental Analysis:
The most important data this week, the CPI, will be released today. The recent surge in gold prices is due to increased market expectations of a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This CPI may be the last data the Fed will use as a reference.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude oil - Sell around 65.00, target 62.00-60.00.
Crude oil - Sell around 63.30, target 62.00-60.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
The strategy for crude oil is simple: a rebound is a selling opportunity. Don't dwell on the details. Crude oil has been fluctuating for a long time. If it breaks through, we will adjust our strategy. Today, sell crude oil around 64.30. The key resistance level for crude oil is around 65.60. A break of this level will trigger a strong trend. Sell crude oil in the short term during short-term fluctuations. A break of 60.00 will open up new room for significant declines.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today, focus on the EIA crude oil inventory data. The CPI will be released tomorrow, and this week's major action will also be tomorrow.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil - Sell around 63.30, target 62.00-60.00
WTI(20250910)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
U.S. employment data was significantly revised downward, with jobs for the 12 months ending in March revised down by 911,000.
Technical Analysis:
Today's buy/sell levels:
62.62
Support and resistance levels:
63.88
63.41
63.10
62.14
61.83
61.36
Trading Strategy:
On a breakout above 63.10, consider a buy entry, with the first target at 63.41.
On a breakout below 62.62, consider a sell entry, with the first target at 62.14
Crude oil - Sell near 63.50, target 62.00-60.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has recently been recovering on the daily chart, with the focus of the recovery shifting downward. Weak inventory data is also the primary reason for the continued decline in crude oil prices. Today, we maintain a bearish outlook and focus on sell orders near 63.50. Don't chase crude oil today; wait for a small rebound before selling. It's been volatile, and the buying and selling game has been going on for a long time.
Fundamental Analysis:
The previous sharp drop in non-farm payroll data led to a surge in gold prices. This week, we will monitor CPI data.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil - Sell near 63.50, target 62.00-60.00
Crude oil - Sell around 64.00, with a target range of 62.00-60.0Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has recently begun to move slowly, with the daily chart beginning to decline. This week, we will focus on gains and losses around 60.00. If this level is broken, further downside is possible. We remain bearish on crude oil and continue to sell on rebounds. Every rebound presents an opportunity to sell again. Today, we are focusing on sell opportunities near 64.00. The recently released crude oil inventories are essentially flat, with no significant gap to support buying.
Fundamental Analysis:
Last week's non-farm payroll data showed a figure of 22,000, compared to expectations of 75,000 and a previous estimate of 79,000. This result is quite disappointing. In short, fewer US jobs, a weaker economy, and therefore a stronger gold price. This week, we will monitor the CPI.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil - Sell around 64.00, with a target range of 62.00-60.00.
Crude oil - Sell around 64.00, target 62.00-60.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil is still experiencing a recent correction in daily price action. We should consider continuing to sell on any rebounds. Previous crude oil contracts and inventories haven't changed the trend, and recent data doesn't support it. I predict it will be difficult to reverse the weak selling trend in the short term. Today, we're considering selling around 64.00.
Fundamental Analysis:
Recent fundamentals haven't significantly stimulated the market. Today, we'll focus on the US non-farm payroll data.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil - Sell around 64.00, target 62.00-60.00
Crude oil - Sell around 64.50, target 63.00-60.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
The recent daily chart of crude oil has been a fluctuating pattern of rising and falling prices, making us question our own future. Today, we maintain a bearish outlook. Every rebound presents a selling opportunity. We've been selling crude oil for months, and it's been fluctuating for months now, with no signs of a rebound or upward movement. Unless the weekly hurdle of 75 is broken, a significant rally is unlikely. Consider selling if it rebounds to 64.50 today.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today we will have ADP employment and unemployment benefits data.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude oil - Sell around 64.50, target 63.00-60.00
WTI Crude Oil Descending Triangle Pattern
WTI is forming a Descending Triangle pattern near recent support.
📊 Technicals : Flat base with lower highs compressing price action.
🔎 Key Levels: Breakdown below support 65 Leads To bearish continuation;
bounce above resistance 71 Leads To reversal setup.
⚠ Risk View: Energy fundamentals remain mixed — confirmation with volume is essential.
👉 Tactical takeaway: Wait for a breakout from the triangle before committing directionally.
USOIL Bearish Reversal & Selling OpportunityUSOIL (WTI Crude Oil) – Bearish Setup Analysis
The chart shows a clear bearish structure with multiple confirmations:
Trendline Rejection & Break: Price rejected from the upper rejection line and later broke the rising trendline, confirming bearish momentum.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Selling Zone: Price retested the imbalance zone (63.53–63.94), creating a strong selling opportunity.
EMA Confluence: Both the 70 EMA and 200 EMA are above the price, acting as dynamic resistance, supporting bearish bias.
Market Structure Shift (MSS): Breakdown of higher lows signals shift to bearish structure.
Target: Downside continuation expected towards 61.65, the next liquidity and support zone.
Stop Loss: Above 63.94 (selling zone invalidation).
📉 Strategy: Look for sell entries around 63.53–63.94 zone, with target at 61.65 and stop loss above 63.94.
Natural gas analysis Monthly Time frameNatural gas markets are influenced by a complex interplay of supply, demand, weather, geopolitical events, and technical factors. Below is a concise analysis based on recent trends and data as of August 24, 2025, covering key aspects of the natural gas market
Price Trends and Market Dynamics
Spot and Futures Prices: The Henry Hub spot price recently fell from $2.92/MMBtu to $2.81/MMBtu, and the September 2025 NYMEX futures contract dropped from $2.828/MMBtu to $2.752/MMBtu. The 12-month futures strip (September 2025–August 2026) averaged $3.501/MMBtu, reflecting a bearish near-term outlook but expectations of tighter balances later.
Supply and DemandSupply: U.S. natural gas production has risen, with a 3% increase in marketed production in 2025, particularly from the Permian (2 Bcf/d), Haynesville, and Appalachia (0.9 Bcf/d each). However, production is expected to stabilize in 2026 as associated gas from oil declines.
Storage: U.S. storage inventories are projected to reach 3,927 Bcf by October 31, 2025, 174 Bcf above the five-year average, due to higher-than-average injections (20% above the five-year average). This surplus is pressuring prices downward.
Demand: Cool weather forecasts for August 2025, potentially the coolest in 50 years, have reduced demand, contributing to bearish price sentiment. However, LNG exports are rebounding, with Freeport LNG operations resuming, providing some support.
LNG Exports: Maintenance at U.S. LNG terminals earlier in 2025 reduced exports, but recovery and new contracts (e.g., ConocoPhillips’ 4 Mt/y from Port Arthur LNG Phase 2) signal growing export potential.
Technical AnalysisBearish Signals: Technical indicators suggest a "strong sell" for Natural Gas Futures across multiple timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly), driven by a head-and-shoulders pattern with prices breaking below the $3.050 neckline, targeting $2.220–$2.000.
Indicators: RSI, MACD, and stochastic oscillators indicate oversold conditions, but negative momentum persists below key resistance levels like $3.100–$3.320. Pivot points and moving averages reinforce bearish trends, with potential support at $2.200.
Geopolitical and Structural FactorsEurope: The 2022–2023 Russian supply shock shifted Europe to rely on LNG, increasing price volatility. Market reforms have boosted trading volumes (7,300 bcm in 2024, 15x demand), but derivatives trading by physical players dominates, limiting speculative impacts.
Weather Impact: Cooling in the Midwest and Northeast (highs of 60s–80s°F) contrasts with hotter conditions elsewhere (80s–100s°F), driving regional demand differences. Weather models (ECMWF, GFS) forecast continued impacts on heating and cooling degree days, affecting prices.
Energy Transition: Natural gas is increasingly vital for electricity generation as coal phases out, linking gas and power markets and amplifying price sensitivity to weather and demand.
Forecast and OutlookShort-Term (1–6 Weeks): Bearish due to high storage, weak demand from cool weather, and technical indicators. Prices may test support at $2.220–$2.080,
Long-Term: Growing U.S. electricity demand (31% over 15 years) and constrained global supply (e.g., limited OPEC spare capacity) suggest bullish prospects for natural gas as a reliable fuel.
Trading ConsiderationsRisks: High volatility, weather-driven demand shifts, and geopolitical uncertainties (e.g., Russia-Ukraine tensions) pose risks.
Strategies: Traders may consider short positions targeting $2.80, but oversold conditions suggest caution for potential reversals. Long-term investors might accumulate near support zones ($2.220–$2.080) for 2026 upside.
Data Tools: Monitor EIA storage reports, weather forecasts (NatGasWeather.com), and technical indicators (RSI, MACD) for real-time insights.
Note: Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research.
Resistance Breakout Excepted in NATURAL GASNatural Gas has been consolidating just below a key resistance level around ₹247–₹248, with multiple rejection points in recent sessions (marked by red arrows). The current price action shows renewed buying pressure, with candles testing the resistance zone once again.
Technical View:
The horizontal resistance has acted as a strong supply zone multiple times.
A decisive breakout and close above ₹248 could open the path for further upside momentum.
Immediate support is placed near ₹244.20, which serves as a stop-loss reference for breakout traders.
Trading Perspective:
If price sustains above the resistance level with volume confirmation, the breakout could trigger a short-term bullish move toward higher targets. However, failure to hold above this zone may lead to another pullback within the range.
Natural gas: Chart AnalysisLet’s break down the Natural Gas Futures (INR) Weekly Chart step-by-step.
This will include chart structure, patterns, demand–supply zones, and precise support/resistance levels based on what I can see on the charts :
🔍Chart OverviewTimeframe: Weekly (1W)Current Price: ₹244.7 (down -5.30%)Price is near an important ascending trendline support (green line) after a strong correction from recent highs. Structure shows earlier breakout above descending trendline (blue) followed by a retest and rejection.
🧭 1. Trend AnalysisLong-Term Trend:From 2022 highs (₹900+), Natural Gas was in a sharp downtrend (blue descending trendline).Downtrend broke in late 2023, initiating a mid-term uptrend within an ascending channel.
Short-Term Trend:Since the ₹405.7 high (early 2025), prices are in a correction phase.Price now testing demand zone near ₹244–₹212.
📈 2. Chart Patterns,Ascending Channel: Price has been moving between parallel green lines since late 2023.Breakdown Risk: Price is testing the lower channel line; breakdown could trigger more downside.Head & Shoulders Possibility: The highs around ₹405–₹358 resemble a left shoulder–head–right shoulder formation, with neckline near ₹249–₹244. A confirmed break below could accelerate selling.
Supply Zone Rejection: Strong selling emerged from ₹358–₹405, marking it as a supply zone.📍
3. Key Technical LevelsLevel (₹) nType the:Significance 405.7
🔺 Major Supply 2025 high, strong rejection point 358.7
Secondary Supplying- Recent swing high before sell-off
249.6–244.7
⚠️ Current Zone Channel support & neckline zone
218.0 🛑 Demand Zone Past consolidation & buying interest
212.0 🛑 Strong Support Historical demand zone floor
209.9
🔻 Critical Support
If broken, opens path to ₹180–₹160⚖ 4. Demand & Supply ZonesDemand Zones:₹218–₹212 (weekly accumulation area)₹180–₹160 (last major base before rally)
Supply Zones:₹358–₹405 (heavy selling area)₹280–₹300 (minor supply if bounce occurs)
5. Possible ScenariosScenario
1 Support Holds:If ₹244–₹212 holds, expect a bounce towards ₹280 and ₹300.A close above ₹300 could re-test ₹358.
Scenario
2 – Breakdown:A close below ₹212 could lead to a quick drop towards ₹180–₹160.
⚠ Disclaimer:
This is for educational purposes only, not trading advice. Futures & commodities are highly volatile; manage risk and consult a registered financial advisor.
JSW ENERGY - SwingJSW Energy is transitioning aggressively toward renewables, with investments in solar, wind, energy storage, and green hydrogen.
P/E ratio stands at 46.36, indicating a premium valuation compared to the sector average of 32. While growth is underwhelming, the company maintains good asset quality. Debt levels are manageable, and promoter holding remains strong.
The stock recently showed consolidation between 510 - 530, with support near ₹500 and strong resistance around 540. Technical indicators suggest a bullish bias, with MACD showing early signs of upward momentum. Traders may consider swing opportunities if the stock breaks above ₹542 with volume confirmation.
Trendline Support Pattern in Natural GasNatural Gas is currently respecting a well-established horizontal trendline support zone around the 264–265 level. As seen in the chart, price has tested this area multiple times, indicating strong demand and buyer interest at this zone.
📉 The recent candles show rejection from the support, suggesting a potential bounce. If this level continues to hold, we may see an upward move toward the 267–270 resistance area.
📌 Trade Idea:
Entry: Near 265.3
Stop-loss: Below 262.8 (structure break)
Target: 267.1 and above for short-term move
🧠 Watch for confirmation with volume or bullish candlestick formations before entering the trade.






















