Linear Regression with RSI: A New approach to Trend AnalysisHello Friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Today we are going to learn one Method of analysing the chart, here we are using EURUSD chart, and the method we're using is very simple & interesting, We are using the Linear Regression Trend Channel & Relative Strength Index (RSI), What happens in this method, is that we identify a particular zone where the price is making a one-sided move, like if the price is trending upwards, making higher highs and higher lows. We then apply a regression channel to it, and within that channel, we set internal deviation for the upper and lower sides, like 2 or 2.5 or 3 etc., whatever setting it takes.
In this chart, we can clearly see that the 2.5 setting is forming a complete channel, which we've applied for the last two months, from 12th May 2025, when the uptrend started. We've used the 4-hour time frame chart and the RSI. Every time the price hits the bottom of the channel, we can see that the RSI also enters the same zone, between 30-40, and from there, it bounces back.
Currently, the price has again hit the bottom of the regression channel, and the RSI has also gone below 40, between 30-40. And the good thing is that we're seeing a positive divergence in the RSI. So, there's a high possibility that the price might bounce back from here.
It's worth watching what happens next in the market. Nothing is guaranteed here; everything is a game of probabilities. This is one method that we often use, and its results have given us a very good experience. So, let's see what happens next in this chart. This observation is also a good learning experience, which we often encounter, 7-8 times out of 10, in favor of the market, but sometimes it doesn't work, maybe 2-3 times, when the trend changes. So, let's see what happens next.
This post is shared purely for educational purpose & it’s Not a trading advice.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Eurusdlongsetup
EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Outlook with Key Levels📉 EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Outlook with Key Levels 📊
🔍 Overview:
The EUR/USD pair on the 4-hour chart is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal after testing a strong resistance zone near 1.16000. Price action has rejected this area twice (🔴), confirming it as a significant supply zone. The chart now suggests a descending move toward the strong support zone around 1.12000.
🔑 Key Levels:
🟡 Resistance Zone: 1.15700 – 1.16000
Multiple rejections indicate strong selling pressure.
🟦 Mini Support: Around 1.14550
A minor level where price could react short-term, but not a major barrier.
🔻 Mid-Level Target: 1.13653
Potential bounce zone before continuation downward.
🟥 Strong Support Zone: 1.11500 – 1.12200
Previously held as a launch point for a major rally in May; likely to be tested again.
📈 Scenario Outlook:
Bearish Path Expected:
Price is forming a series of lower highs and appears to be losing bullish momentum.
Target Path (Blue Arrows):
A potential drop toward the 1.13653 level is expected, followed by a deeper drop toward the strong support.
Rebound Possibility:
If the strong support holds, we could see a strong bullish bounce 🔄, potentially creating a longer-term buying opportunity.
💡 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is currently in a correction phase. Traders should watch for a confirmed break below 1.14550 for bearish continuation 📉. A drop to the 1.12000 zone may offer a high-probability reversal setup 📊📍.
🔔 Trading Tip:
Use caution around mini support; aggressive sellers may enter on any weak bounce. Wait for confirmation before entering positions. 🧠📉
EUR/USD Bearish Reversal in Channel EUR/USD Bearish Reversal in Channel 📉🔻
📊 Technical Analysis Overview:
The EUR/USD pair is showing clear bearish pressure after hitting a key resistance zone near 1.16500, which aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel 📐.
🔺 Resistance Area:
Price reacted strongly to the 1.16500–1.16000 resistance zone (marked with red arrows ⬇️).
Double rejection near this level confirms seller dominance.
📉 Bearish Structure:
Price is forming lower highs, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
The current pattern implies a potential head and shoulders or rising wedge breakdown.
🎯 Target Levels:
Primary Target: 1.13560 🔽 (short-term key support marked in purple).
Extended Target: 1.12000–1.12500 zone 🧲 (major support area at the lower boundary of the channel).
📎 Support Zone:
Historical bounce region around 1.12000–1.12500 is a strong demand area.
🔍 Conclusion:
If price breaks below 1.13560, it opens the path for a deeper drop toward the broader support range. Traders should monitor for confirmation signals below that level 📉🚨.
⚠️ Recommendation:
Bearish bias remains valid unless price breaks back above 1.15500. Look for pullbacks for short entries. Tight risk management advised! 💼📉
EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis – May 29, 2025🔍 Market Structure Overview
Current Price: 1.12753
Key Zone: Price is hovering at a critical resistance-turned-support area.
🧱 Key Levels
Resistance Zone: 1.15639 (🔝 Main Target)
Support Zone: 1.10736 (🔻 Main Target)
Intermediate Zones:
Target One (Bullish): 1.14139 📈
Target One (Bearish): 1.11687 📉
🔄 Scenario Outlook
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above the 1.1275 zone, we could see a climb towards:
1.14139 (minor target)
1.15639 (major resistance & final target)
🚀 Breakout above could indicate continuation of higher highs.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold above 1.1275 could push price lower:
First support at 1.11687
Final drop towards 1.10736 support zone
🪓 Breakdown could confirm lower low structure.
🧠 Conclusion
This is a decision point zone. Wait for confirmation before jumping in. A strong bullish or bearish candle at this level will dictate the next move. Risk management is key here! 🎯
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup – Demand Zone to Target 1.15646🔍 Current Price: 1.13414
📉 EMA (70): 1.13334
Price is slightly above the EMA → Bullish hint ✅
Key Zones & Levels
🟦 Demand Zone:
📍 1.12441 ➡️ 1.12985
Strong buying interest here!
Price bounced from this zone → 📈 Possible reversal
🔵 Entry Point: 1.12985
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.12441
🎯 Target: 1.15646
Trendline Watch
📉 Descending trendline is being tested/broken
🟠 If price holds above the trendline + EMA → CONFIRMATION for long entry ✅
Trade Setup
Buy Entry: 1.12985
TP: 1.15646 🎯
SL: 1.12441 🔻
Risk–Reward Ratio: ~ 1:4.8 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
Visual Flow:
🔵 Demand Zone
⬆️
Break EMA & Trendline
⬆️
🎯 Target Zone (1.15646)
Summary:
Looks like a sweet bullish setup from the demand zone!
If price stays above EMA and trendline → Go Long ✅
EUR/USD Bullish Trade Setup – Targeting 1.18089 with Strong RiskEntry Point: 1.13860
Stop Loss Zone: 1.13642 to 1.12578
Resistance Point: 1.14320
Target (TP) Point: 1.18089
🔍 Observations
Support Zone: Marked in purple near the entry and stop-loss area, suggesting a strong demand zone.
Resistance Zone: Around 1.14320, indicating a potential breakout level.
Trend: Short-term uptrend after a consolidation range.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Quite favorable, targeting a move of approximately 470+ pips (4.20% gain) from entry to target.
📊 Technical Indicators
Moving Averages:
Red (likely 20 EMA): Price recently crossed above, showing bullish momentum.
Blue (likely 50 or 200 EMA): Serving as dynamic support.
Price Action: Formation suggests a potential breakout from resistance toward the 1.18 target.
🧠 Conclusion
This is a long (buy) setup expecting a bullish breakout:
Buy entry above the support zone.
Stop-loss placed below major support (1.12578).
Target set significantly higher, aligning with prior structure or resistance at 1.18089
EUR/USD Long Opportunity – Entry at Support ZoneEntry Zone (Buy Area): Between 1.12729 and 1.13101
Stop Loss: 1.12100
Target (TP1): 1.16950
Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R):
Risk: 1.13101 - 1.12100 = 101 pips
Reward: 1.16950 - 1.13101 = ~385 pips
R:R ≈ 1:3.8 — excellent risk-to-reward
📈 Technical Observations
Bullish Momentum: Strong bullish candles leading into the setup suggest buyers are currently in control.
Support Zone (Entry Area):
The purple zone has acted as a previous resistance, now turned support.
Price may retest this zone before moving higher (as indicated by the blue path on the chart).
Moving Averages:
Red (likely 50 EMA) and blue (possibly 200 EMA) are showing a bullish crossover.
Price is above both MAs, reinforcing a bullish trend.
Projected Move:
The setup anticipates a pullback before a continuation to the upside toward 1.16950.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary
This is a buy-the-dip strategy within a bullish trend.
Entering on the pullback allows for:
Tighter stop loss
Better entry price
Higher R:R ratio
⚠️ Risk Considerations
A break below 1.12100 would invalidate the setup.
Monitor for bearish reversal patterns or news around the EUR/USD that might shift sentiment.
EUR /USD) bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart presents a technical analysis of the EUR/USD pair on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's the breakdown and idea behind the analysis:
Chart Analysis Summary:
1. Trend Structure:
The price was in a downtrend, moving within a descending channel.
Recently, the price has rejected the upper boundary of the channel (noted as "down reject").
There's a 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) acting as dynamic support around the 1.09086 level.
Mr SMC Trading point
2. Support Zone:
A strong demand zone (highlighted in yellow) is visible near the 1.08183 area.
This zone aligns with previous structure support and a potential reversal point.
3. RSI Indicator:
RSI is around 49, showing a neutral to slightly bearish momentum.
No overbought/oversold signals yet, suggesting room for further downside before a reversal.
4. Projection Idea:
The analyst expects a possible short-term drop into the yellow support zone (target: 1.08183).
After reaching the target, a bullish reversal is anticipated, aiming for a breakout above the downtrend with a rally towards the 1.10500+ zone.
Trading Idea:
Short-Term Bearish Move: Sell toward 1.08183 if price confirms rejection of the trendline or 200 EMA.
Medium-Term Bullish Reversal: Watch for bullish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candle, RSI divergence) at the 1.08183 zone to go long toward higher highs.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
EUR/USD SET FOR A BREAKOUT? KEY LEVELS TO WATCH!📌 Technical Analysis
The EUR/USD pair is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel on the H4 timeframe, indicating a potential bullish breakout. Here are the key insights from the chart:
Trend Outlook
The pair remains in an uptrend, currently hovering around 1.0896.
Resistance at 1.0931 is crucial—if broken, the price may surge toward the 1.0989 target.
Support & Resistance Levels
Key Support Zones: 1.0853 - 1.0875
Key Resistance Zones: 1.0931 - 1.0989
Possible Scenarios
If EUR/USD holds above 1.0875, a push toward 1.0931 is likely. A breakout above 1.0931 could drive the price to 1.0989.
Conversely, if the pair fails to hold support at 1.0875, it could retrace to 1.0853 before rebounding.
Market Signals
Current Trend: Bullish
Breakout Potential: A confirmed break above 1.0931 could accelerate bullish momentum.
Candle Structure: Price consolidation suggests a strong move is coming—either an upward breakout or a short-term pullback before resuming the uptrend.
📊 Fundamental Analysis
FED & Interest Rate Impact
The upcoming FOMC meeting is a key event this week, as traders expect the Fed to hold interest rates steady.
A dovish stance from the Fed could weaken the USD, pushing EUR/USD higher.
However, if the Fed signals a potential rate hike, the USD may strengthen, pressuring EUR.
Eurozone Economic Factors
The European economy remains fragile, but if upcoming inflation & GDP data show signs of recovery, EUR/USD could continue rising.
Weak economic data, however, might result in downward pressure on the euro.
Geopolitical Influence
Recent geopolitical tensions, including US-Iran relations and global trade risks, could impact market sentiment.
If uncertainty rises, USD may regain strength, potentially limiting EUR/USD gains.
🎯 Trading Strategy & Key Takeaways
✅ Overall Bias: Bullish
✅ Support Levels: 1.0853 - 1.0875
✅ Resistance Levels: 1.0931 - 1.0989
✅ Preferred Setup:
Buy near 1.0875, targeting 1.0931 and possibly 1.0989 if a breakout occurs.
Watch for pullbacks before confirming entry points.
⚠ Risk Management Alert!
A break below 1.0853 may trigger further declines—watch price action closely.
Stick to TP/SL and adapt to market volatility, especially with major economic data releases.
📢 What’s your take on EUR/USD? Will it break out or consolidate further? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
EURUSD - PRE BREAKOUT CONSOLIDATION - ASCENDING TRIANGLESymbol - EURUSD
CMP - 1.0485
The EURUSD pair continues to display bullish signals, suggesting the potential for sustained upward movement. However, significant resistance lies ahead, and the market is currently undergoing a pre-breakout consolidation phase. The U.S. dollar is experiencing a corrective phase, influenced by economic data, domestic political developments, and indications from both President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell regarding the possibility of an imminent interest rate cut.
The euro is benefiting from the weakening dollar, though the duration of this trend remains uncertain, particularly in the context of the ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and Europe.
From a technical perspective, the current chart suggests a bullish outlook. An ascending triangle is forming within the prevailing uptrend, generally indicative of market optimism. Key focus is placed on the pattern’s base, with resistance located at the 1.0530 level.
Support levels: 1.0450, 1.0400
Resistance levels: 1.0530
Should the dollar continue its downward trajectory, the pair is poised for potential growth. A retest of the trend support level, possibly marked by a false breakout, could occur before a decisive breakout. A successful breakout and sustained consolidation above the 1.0530 resistance level may trigger further upward movement.
EURUSD - EXPECTING UPSIDE AFTER BREAKOUT OF RESISTANCESymbol - EURUSD
CMP 1.0360
EURUSD is attempting to capitalize on the recent correction in the U.S. dollar. The price is currently undergoing a retest of consolidation resistance, aiming for a potential breakout and further upward movement. Following an initial attempt to breach the downtrend resistance, the price entered a consolidation phase, establishing a range between 1.0530 and 1.0210. Within this setup, a local consolidation channel has formed, with the price testing the resistance at 1.0380 The market is still in the process of confirming a trend reversal and seeking to strengthen in the context of the dollar's correction.
The fundamental landscape remains complex, influenced by the Trump's ongoing tariff dispute and the broader economic crisis.
Resistance Levels: 1.0380, 1.0530
Support Levels: 1.0330, 1.0210
A breakout above the 1.0380 resistance level, followed by price consolidation above this area, could signal further growth, driven by the distribution of the accumulated potential.
EURUSD - PRICE ACTION CONFIRMS TREND REVERSALSymbol - EURUSD
The EURUSD currency pair has broken its previous trend, emerging from a consolidation phase and reaching new highs, which signals a definitive shift in market direction. The primary focus now shifts to the resistance zones, where significant market struggles are expected. The ongoing correction of the US dollar, largely driven by political and geopolitical factors, presents opportunities within the forex market. The EURUSD has been strengthening for the past month, suggesting promising prospects, particularly if the dollar's correction continues. This week, attention is on the Federal Reserve's rate decision and the inflation meeting, which could provide further support for the current market movement.
From a technical perspective, the key support level to watch is at 1.0445. If the bulls are able to maintain this support, the price may move towards the 1.0600 - 1.0700 range in the short to medium term.
Resistance levels: 1.0530, 1.0610
Support level: 1.0445
The price has already tested the 1.0445 level. A potential false breakdown could occur, aimed at capturing liquidity, after which the pair is likely to resume its upward momentum, driven by renewed interest from buyers in the euro.
EURUSD - TREND CHANGED ?EURUSD is poised for a potential bullish rally, having broken the extended downtrend and entering a phase of consolidation, which could provide an opportunity for further upward momentum. Although the broader global trend remains bearish, it is premature to discuss a trend reversal, as the price is still facing significant resistance at 1.0440. However, a consolidation base is forming in this area, and if the US dollar continues its corrective movement, EURUSD may have the potential to confirm a trend shift. Should the bulls manage to surpass 1.0448 and establish a firm position above this level, a move towards 1.0610 and potentially higher could be in the cards.
Resistance levels: 1.0450, 1.0610
Support levels: 1.0330, 1.0225
From a technical standpoint, attention is on the immediate level of 1.0450. A breakout and sustained trading above this zone could present an ideal entry point for long positions.
EURUSD - SWING TRADE IDEA ON LONG SIDESymbol - EURUSD
EURUSD is currently trading at 1.0645
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying EURUSD pair at CMP 1.0645
I will be adding more if 1.0600 comes & will hold with SL 1.0570
Targets I'm expecting are 1.0750 - 1.0800 - 1.0860 & above
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
EURUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD EURUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
EURUSD - TRADE SETUP ON LONG SIDESymbol - EURUSD
EURUSD is currently trading at 1.0854
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying EURUSD pair at CMP 1.0854
I will be adding more if 1.0825 comes & will hold with SL 1.0790
Targets I'm expecting are 1.0932 - 1.0980
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
EURUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD EURUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Euro Dollar looking Bullish!Recently we saw US dollar getting weak and falling, which made the fundamentals favorable for the dollar crosses like GBP, AUD, EUR , NZD etc. This is an idea to get long on the Euro if the price pulls back a bit to the demand zone and riding the uptrend, which will give a good RR of 1:3.
Note- This is my own trading idea and not a financial advice, trading is highly risky.
EURUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:5 RISK REWARD PERFECT ONEEURUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:5 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
EURUSD 4H ProjectionEURUSD 4H Timeframe Projection.
Daily and Weekly trends are Bullish.
DISCLAIMER: All labeling and wave counts are done by me manually and I will keep changing according to the LIVE MARKET PRICE ACTION. So don't be bias, hope on my trade plans...try to learn, and make your strategy... Following is not that easy...
EURUSD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:5 RISK REWARDEURUSD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:5 RISK REWARD
A good selling setup detected on EURUSD
It's showing a BEAR MOVE due to these reason
1. It's following THE 60 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy BEARISH pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
EURUSD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:5 RISK REWARD
A good selling setup detected on EURUSD
It's showing a BEAR MOVE due to these reason
1. It's following THE 60 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy BEARISH pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram