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Eurusdprediction

11/06/2026 EUR/USD AnalysisFOREXCOM:EURUSD This is my analysis for EUR/USD. A minor sell-side liquidity sweep has already occurred, but a larger pool of sell-side liquidity still remains below. Before that liquidity can be targeted, I believe a buy-side liquidity sweep is needed first. Given today's bullish order flow, EUR/USD could react from its 1H FVG, push higher to sweep the buy-side liquidity, and then reverse to target the remaining sell-side liquidity However, if that 1H FVG becomes an iFVG, the narrative will change. In that case, EUR/USD could use the 1H iFVG as support and still move lower to sweep the remaining sell-side liquidity.
by amarerakesh
Swing trade - EURUSDHi Friends, here is high probability swing scenario in EURUSD. Price has tested RDRB, formed divergence. Now we expect price to displace and retest LTF FVG and RDRB zone. Price must respect this area. Please do follow me if you liked the idea💡... Disclaimer ⚠️:This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions
by HareeyMarketMantraah
The “Almost” Trap in Trading!I genuinely think some of the most painful moments in trading are not the big losses. It is the trades that were almost perfect. The ones where TP gets missed by a few points and then price fully reverses. The entries you hesitated on for a few seconds before the market exploded exactly in your direction. The stop loss that gets tapped first, and then suddenly the trade works without you. Those situations stay in the mind for hours. I noticed this happening to me a lot earlier. A normal losing trade would annoy me for some time, but eventually I could move on. But “almost” trades were different. They kept replaying in my head again and again. You start thinking: “If I entered a little earlier…” “If my stop was slightly wider…” “If I held for 5 more minutes…” And honestly, that is where the real problem starts. 1. Almost Hitting Take Profit What Usually Happens The trade moves perfectly toward the target. Profit is visible. Confidence increases. Mentally, the trade already feels won. Then suddenly, the market reverses completely. Why It Hurts So Much This feels worse than a normal loss because the brain has already emotionally accepted the reward. It feels like something was taken away from you. What Traders Usually Do Afterward * Enter again immediately * Reduce patience * Near future trades too early * Emotionally change targets * Stare at charts for hours I personally noticed that after these trades, objectivity disappears quietly. You stop trading the current market and start reacting emotionally to what almost happened. 2. Almost Catching the Entry What Usually Happens You analyze the setup correctly, but hesitate for a few seconds. Then the market moves exactly as expected without you. Why It Becomes Dangerous Missing money hurts, but missing a correct idea hurts differently. It creates regret. And regret is dangerous in trading because the brain immediately wants another opportunity. What Traders Usually Do Afterward + Chase price late + Enter impulsively + Force random setups + Increase risk emotionally + Stop waiting patiently This is where emotional trading quietly begins. The missed trade stays mentally active, and every candle starts looking like another chance. 3. Almost Being Right What Usually Happens The stop loss gets hit first, but later the market moves perfectly toward the original target. Why Traders Become Emotionally Attached At that point, traders stop focusing on execution and start protecting their ego emotionally. The mind keeps repeating: “My analysis was right.” But trading is not only about direction. Timing and risk management matter too. What Traders Usually Do Afterward: 1. Widen stop losses 2. Avoid accepting losses 3. Hold trades emotionally 4. Become stubborn with bias 5. Stop respecting invalidation This slowly damages discipline because traders begin prioritizing being right over trading properly. 4. Why “Almost” Is Psychologically Dangerous The brain struggles with unfinished outcomes. A clean loss has closure. A clean win has closure. But “almost” creates emotional tension because the situation feels incomplete. The mind keeps replaying: A. almost profit B. almost entry C. almost perfect analysis And the longer traders stay emotionally attached to those thoughts, the more objective thinking disappears. 5. The Hidden Damage Most Traders Never Notice I honestly think many emotional mistakes begin from situations exactly like this. Not from massive losses. Not from terrible strategies. But from emotional frustration caused by unfinished outcomes. This frustration slowly creates: 1. Revenge trading 2. Impulsive entries 3. Overanalysis 4. Emotional attachment 5. Forced setups 6. Loss of discipline The original trade finishes, but emotionally, the trader never moved on. 6. What I Finally Learned Over time, I realized something important: “Almost” has no value in trading. The market does not reward close predictions, near-perfect trades, or emotional frustration. It only rewards disciplined execution repeated consistently over time. Now, whenever situations like this arise, I try to move on faster rather than mentally fighting the market for hours. Because usually the real damage does not come from the missed trade itself. It comes from the emotional decisions that happen afterward. We’ll come up with more topics like this. By @BrightRally_Research
Education
by BrightRally_Research
2
The Day Ananya Finally Followed Her Trading PlanWelcome, @TradingView members. We are back with the next part of our trading mistakes series, where we continue exploring the psychological habits and decisions that silently destroy traders. Before continuing further, make sure to visit the previous part of the article for a better understanding and context. 1. She stopped looking for the perfect strategy For months, Ananya believed her losses came from a weak strategy. Every bad week pushed her to search for new indicators, better entries, and different systems. But no matter how much she changed, the results stayed inconsistent. Eventually, she realized the issue was not the strategy itself, but her inability to follow it with discipline. 2. She waited instead of forcing trades One morning, Ananya opened her charts with a different mindset. Instead of trying to make money quickly, her only goal was to follow her trading plan exactly. Several trades looked tempting, but they did not fully match her setup. Normally, she would have entered anyway out of fear of missing out, but this time she waited patiently. 3. She learned that missing a trade is better than taking a bad one A setup almost met her conditions, and she felt the urge to enter early. However, one important confirmation was missing. She stayed out of the trade and watched the setup fail minutes later. For the first time, she understood that discipline is not just about entering good trades, but also about avoiding unnecessary ones. 4. She accepted the risk before entering Later, a clean setup finally appeared. The entry was valid, the stop loss was planned, and the risk was clear. Before entering, she accepted the possibility of losing the trade. This changed her mindset completely because she no longer felt the need to control every small market movement. 5. She respected her stop loss After entering the trade, the price started moving slightly against her. Usually, this was the moment she would move her stop loss out of fear. This time, she did nothing. She let the trade play out exactly as planned instead of reacting emotionally to every candle. 6. She took a loss without revenge trading The trade eventually hit her stop loss. In the past, this would have triggered frustration and emotional trading. She would immediately try to recover the money through random entries. But this time she stayed calm and accepted the loss as part of the process. 7. She trusted the process instead of her emotions Another setup was formed later in the session. She followed her rules again without hesitation. As the trade moved into profit, fear returned in a different form. She wanted to close early and secure small gains before the market could reverse. 8. She let the winning trade reach its target Instead of exiting early, Ananya trusted her plan and held the trade patiently. The setup eventually reached its full target. She realized that many of her past struggles came from cutting winners too early while allowing losses to grow too large. 9. She understood the difference between good losses and bad losses That day taught her something important. A losing trade is not automatically a mistake. If the setup followed her rules and risk was controlled, the loss was acceptable. The real mistakes came from emotional decisions, not from normal market outcomes. 10. She realized consistency comes from discipline By the end of the day, Ananya understood that consistency does not come from predicting the market perfectly. It comes from repeating the same disciplined process without letting fear, greed, or impatience take control. The strategy had not changed. The charts had not changed. She had. To be continued... By @BrightRally_Research
Education
by BrightRally_Research
3
#GBPUSD getting weaker dollar rises💷💵📈📉🔥 GBPUSD Zig‑Zag in Motion 🚀💹 From 17 April, GBPUSD entered a zig‑zag correction: 🔹 A wave: Formed on 20 April 📊 🔹 B wave: Rose but stayed below 61.8% retracement 📉 🔹 C wave: Now unfolding with its 5 sub‑waves 📈 👉 Currently, price is in the 3rd sub‑wave of C, showing strong momentum ⚡. 🎯 Projection: Possible drawdown toward 1.33700 💵📉. --- 💡 Trader’s Insight: C waves often deliver powerful moves — GBPUSD could extend lower before stabilizing 🧐📊.
Short
by sahildeshwal1997
EURUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARDEURUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
Short
by tradergyan01
2
Smart Money Exit on EURUSD – Bearish Move Loading### 📊 **Context** * Market was in a **strong uptrend** (clear ascending trendline). * Price tapped a **major resistance / supply zone** (~1.19–1.20). * Strong **bearish rejection candle** formed at the top. * Trendline **break + structure shift** already initiated. --- ## 🎯 **Trade Plan** ### 🔹 **Entry** * **Sell @ 1.1800 – 1.1820 zone** * Confluence: * Retest of broken trendline * Lower high formation * Supply rejection --- ### 🔴 **Stop Loss** * **1.2080** * Above: * Weekly swing high * Liquidity zone --- ### 🟢 **Targets** #### ✅ **TP1: 1.1575** * Previous support * First reaction zone (partial booking recommended) #### ✅ **TP2: 1.1060** * Weekly Order Block (W-OB) * Strong demand zone --- ## 📉 **Trade Logic (Why this works)** * **Trendline Break → Weakness signal** * **Liquidity grab at highs → Smart money exit** * **Lower high → Bearish structure confirmation** * **Imbalance fill + OB target → Natural draw on liquidity** --- ## ⚠️ **Risk Notes** * Weekly timeframe = **slow move (patience required)** * Avoid early entry → wait for **pullback confirmation** * If price reclaims **1.20 zone strongly → idea invalid**
Short
by OptimaltradeX
EUR/USD Testing the Psychological Level of 1.1600 Amid DiplomacyEUR/USD hit a one-week high on Wednesday, although its gains were held just below the 1.1600 round figure. The market is currently in a transitional phase, trying to balance optimism over the end of the Iran war with the lingering risk of energy inflation in the Eurozone. ✅ Fundamental Background: Optimism vs. Geopolitical Reality Current market-driving sentiments are contradictory: - ⚡Bullish Factors (Euro): President Donald Trump's statement regarding the potential end of military operations in Iran in 2-3 weeks has weakened the safe-haven US dollar, giving the euro some breathing room. - ⚡Bearish Factors (Dollar): Reports that the UAE is pushing for military action to open the Strait of Hormuz have kept oil prices high. This has fueled inflation concerns, forcing the Fed to remain hawkish, which automatically limits EUR/USD appreciation. - ⚡Data Focus: Investors now await the release of ADP, ISM Manufacturing, and US Retail Sales data tonight for clues on the direction of future monetary policy. ✅ Key Levels to Watch - ⚡Key Upside Target (1.1641): The most recent swing high. A breakout of this level would confirm a broader recovery. - ⚡Resistance (~1.1600): The immediate obstacle. A sustained candle close above this level is required before placing any new bullish bets. - ⚡Key Demand Zone (1.1520): This is a critical support area; as long as it holds, the short-term uptrend remains intact. - ⚡Last Support (1.1492): A break below this level would invalidate this week's recovery scenario.
Long
by NouzTrader
1
EUR/USD Under Strong Bearish PressureThe EUR/USD pair weakened 0.3% to 1.1535 during today's European session. The strengthening of the US dollar, driven by its safe-haven status due to the extreme escalation in the Middle East, was a major burden on the euro, which was also pressured by the threat of stagflation in the Eurozone. ✅ US Dollar (USD): Dominating the Psychological Level of the DXY 100 The Dollar Index (DXY) jumped 0.35%, approaching the critical level of 99.90. This strengthening was triggered by two main factors: - ⚡48-Hour Ultimatum: President Donald Trump's threat via Truth Social to destroy Tehran's energy infrastructure if the Strait of Hormuz is not opened has triggered a massive capital flight to safe assets (USD). - ⚡Iran's Response: Iran's promise to close the Strait of Hormuz indefinitely increases the risk of a permanent disruption to global energy supplies, which has historically benefited the greenback. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Euro (EUR): Threat of Declining Purchasing Power Despite tightening signals from the ECB, the euro continues to struggle to recover: - ⚡Cost of Living Crisis: The surge in energy prices due to the Iran conflict is predicted to hit household purchasing power in Europe drastically, increasing the risk of an economic slowdown. - ⚡Goldman Sachs Projection: Although the ECB kept interest rates steady last week, Goldman Sachs now predicts rate hikes in April and June 2026 to combat energy inflation. However, the current risk-off sentiment is much stronger than the support from the interest rate spread. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Key Levels to Watch Immediate Resistance (1.1550): The intraday ceiling. The euro needs to reclaim this level to stabilize the decline. - ⚡Strong Barrier (1.1580 - 1.1600): The area that must be broken to invalidate the daily bearish bias. - ⚡Key Bearish Target (1.1475 - 1.1450): If Trump's 48-hour ultimatum approaches its deadline without a diplomatic solution, this level becomes the next downside target. - ⚡DXY Psychology (100.00): If the Dollar Index breaks through this round number, EUR/USD risks a free fall towards 1.1400.
Short
by NouzTrader
1
EUR/USD Remains Trapped in ConsolidationEUR/USD is currently stuck in a wait-and-see phase around 1.1540. ✅ Key Catalysts: FOMC Tonight & ECB Tomorrow Markets are calculating the impact of "war inflation" on monetary policy: - ⚡The Fed (Thursday, 1:00 a.m. WIB): The main focus will be on how Jerome Powell balances the risk of energy inflation (due to the Strait of Hormuz crisis) with the threat of slowing economic growth. A hawkish signal will push EUR/USD back to the 1.1400 area. - ⚡ECB (Thursday Afternoon): The European Central Bank faces a more difficult dilemma due to Europe's high energy dependence. Comments on the impact of the Iran war on Eurozone economic growth will be a key driver. - ⚡Risk Sentiment: Concerns that high energy prices will hamper the global economic recovery are making investors hesitant to place large bets on the euro. ✅ Key Levels to Watch - ⚡61.8% Fibonacci Resistance (1.1569): A close above this level and the 100-period SMA (1.1580) is needed to neutralize negative sentiment. - ⚡50.0% Pivot Retracement Point (1.1539): The current critical intraday level. Rejection here keeps selling pressure active. - ⚡38.2% Fibonacci Support (1.1509): The first line of defense to keep this week's recovery alive. - ⚡Bullish Target (1.1612 - 1.1666): A key resistance zone if the Fed is surprisingly dovish.
by NouzTrader
EURUSD Weekly Outlook (SMC + HTF Resistance Confluence)📊 Market Structure Overview EURUSD is currently trading into a major weekly supply / resistance zone while respecting a long-term descending trendline connecting multiple swing highs. Price has approached this area several times historically and reacted with strong bearish momentum — making it a high-probability reaction zone on the HTF. 🔎 Key Technical Observations Price is testing a multi-year descending trendline → strong dynamic resistance. Presence of SMC concepts on chart: BOS / CHoCH and visible FVG zones below current price. Current rally looks like a liquidity grab into premium pricing within weekly structure. Equal / relative highs marked — potential buy-side liquidity before reversal. HTF structure overall remains bearish / corrective, not a confirmed bullish trend reversal. 📍 Trading Plan (Idea — Not Financial Advice) ➡️ Primary Bias: Bearish from weekly resistance. ➡️ Entry Concept: Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation such as: Bearish engulfing candle Pin bar rejection Market structure shift / CHoCH ➡️ Targets: First reaction → mid FVG / internal demand Major target → HTF demand zone around parity region (~1.00 area) Extended bearish scenario → deeper weekly demand near lower red zone ⚠️ Risk Factors / Invalidation Strong weekly close above trendline and resistance zone. Bullish continuation with sustained higher highs + higher lows on HTF. Macro catalysts (ECB/Fed policy shifts) could accelerate volatility. 🧠 Final Thoughts This setup aligns with a classic premium sell model — price rallies into HTF supply + trendline confluence before targeting imbalances below. Patience is key: confirmation matters more than prediction.
by KingProTrader
EUR/USD – Tactical Short EUR/USD – Tactical Short 1H Supply Repricing Within Established Bearish Order Flow Execution Timeframe: 5M | Risk Model: Intraday Tactical Allocation I. Market Context & Structural Bias EUR/USD remains in a clearly defined 1H bearish auction structure, characterized by sequential lower highs and lower lows. The latest expansion leg has printed a fresh 1H lower low, confirming downside initiative and continuation order flow. The current upward move is a corrective repricing phase into previously identified 1H supply. The retracement lacks impulsive breadth and displays overlapping structure — consistent with liquidity rebalance rather than structural reversal. From a flow perspective, the market is repricing to facilitate further distribution. Directional Bias: Bearish while below the most recent 1H lower high. No structural evidence currently supports higher-timeframe reversal. II. Trade Thesis This is a continuation trade within an established bearish regime. The working assumption: • The recent 1H impulse created inefficiency. • The current retracement is seeking resting liquidity within supply. • Upon liquidity completion, initiative sellers are expected to reassert control. • External sell-side liquidity below the 1H lower low remains magnetized. We are positioning for continuation, not calling a top. III. Execution Framework (Confirmation-Based Participation) Capital deployment is conditional, not anticipatory. We require the following on 5M: • Internal liquidity sweep into 1H supply • Inability to sustain trade higher (auction inefficiency) • Clear 5M bearish MSS • Displacement candle confirming initiative sell-side participation Without displacement, there is no confirmation of active distribution. This converts location into validated structural opportunity. IV. Trade Construction Entry: • Short exposure initiated only upon confirmed 5M bearish MSS post-liquidity sweep. Risk Definition: • Hard stop above the 5M structural high that defines the MSS. • Invalidation must remain structural and binary. Primary Objective: • Prior 1H lower low (external liquidity pool). Extended Objective: • Continuation through the 1H low toward resting liquidity aligned with 4H value reference (POC region). Asymmetry Requirement: • Minimum 3:1 R multiple to justify capital allocation. If projected R:R compresses below threshold, the trade is declined. V. Risk Allocation & Portfolio Considerations • Position sizing: 25–50 bps of total book (scaled based on realized volatility). • Correlation check against USD index and risk sentiment proxies before entry. • No pyramiding unless downside momentum confirms expansion. • Partial de-risking may occur near 2R if tape transitions to balance. Execution discipline supersedes conviction. VI. Failure Conditions The thesis is invalidated under any of the following: • Sustained acceptance above 1H supply. • Bullish 5M MSS within the zone. • Strong impulsive continuation through supply indicating active higher-timeframe accumulation. If supply fails, short exposure is mechanically unjustified. VII. Professional Assessment of Edge This setup offers structural alignment across timeframes: • Higher-timeframe directional control • Premium location entry • Defined structural invalidation • Clear external liquidity objective • Favorable asymmetry profile Edge is derived from alignment, confirmation, and disciplined risk deployment — not narrative bias. Executive Summary We are tactically positioning for continuation within an established 1H bearish order-flow regime. Participation is conditional upon 5M structural failure and downside displacement confirming active distribution. Risk is tightly defined. Reward is external liquidity below the 1H low. Execution is rules-based, not discretionary. This is a flow-aligned continuation framework appropriate for controlled intraday capital deployment.
Short
by alenrayen
EURUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD EURUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
Short
by tradergyan01
EURUSD Technical Overview (1H Timeframe)EURUSD remains positioned within a corrective market structure following a strong bearish displacement from the higher-timeframe supply zone. The sharp rejection from the 1.1830 to 1.1850 region highlights the validity of the identified bearish order block, indicating active institutional supply and reinforcing a short-term downside bias. Market Structure The broader structure suggests that the recent decline was impulsive, while the ongoing upside movement appears corrective in nature. Price action has transitioned into a consolidation range, reflecting temporary balance rather than a confirmed reversal. The absence of strong bullish displacement further supports the view that buyers currently lack sufficient momentum to shift order flow. Smart Money Perspective From a liquidity standpoint, the current upward movement is likely engineered to target buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs. A controlled push into the premium zone would allow larger participants to optimize short positioning and potentially establish a lower high. A rejection from the supply area would confirm continued institutional control and strengthen the probability of bearish continuation. Key Levels to Monitor Supply / Bearish Order Block: 1.1830 – 1.1850 Immediate Liquidity Target (Upside): Equal highs above the recent range Downside Objective: 1.1760 discount zone, where sell-side liquidity is expected to rest Trade Narrative Primary Scenario: A liquidity sweep into the order block followed by bearish confirmation could initiate the next leg lower, maintaining alignment with the prevailing order flow. Invalidation Scenario: A decisive break and sustained acceptance above the supply zone would weaken the bearish thesis and signal the potential for a deeper retracement, possibly shifting short-term structure toward bullish conditions. Directional Bias Short-Term Bias: Bearish while price remains below the order block. Expectation: Corrective rally into supply followed by continuation to the downside.
Short
by YCGH_Capital
EUR/USD Bullish Setup – Liquidity Sweep & Break of StructureI’m sharing a long trade setup on EUR/USD based on a liquidity sweep and bullish market structure shift. Price swept liquidity below the recent swing low and immediately showed strong bullish reaction, indicating absorption of sell-side liquidity. Following the sweep, price broke above short-term structure and retested the demand zone, confirming bullish intent. I entered long at the retest of the demand area, with my stop-loss placed just below the liquidity sweep low to protect against invalidation. The take-profit target aligns with the next major supply zone / equal highs. Trade Details: Entry: 1.16147 Stop-Loss: 1.16066 (below liquidity sweep area) Take-Profit: 1.16515 (major resistance/target zone) Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:4.5+ Why this trade? Liquidity sweep below previous lows (manipulation phase) Break of structure to the upside confirming bullish momentum Retest of demand zone with bullish candle confirmation Volume spike supporting buyers entering the market If price holds above the retest zone, I expect continuation to the upside toward the marked target area.
Long
by alenrayen
2
EURUSD - BEARS BACK IN CONTROL?Symbol - EURUSD EURUSD continues to extend its downward trajectory, maintaining a locally bearish market structure. A decisive breakdown of the nearest support level could accelerate the sell-off, paving the way for fresh lows. The US dollar remains firm, while the pair shifts its medium-term direction following a breakout from consolidation. The overall structure remains weak, and the decline may extend toward the 1.1400 region. The primary focus remains on the ongoing consolidation forming within the broader downtrend. Sustained trading below 1.1588 and a daily close beneath 1.1557 would reinforce bearish sentiment, potentially triggering a move toward the liquidity zone at 1.1460 – 1.1400 Resistance levels: 1.1588, 1.1630 Support levels: 1.1557, 1.1461 On the daily timeframe, the market has confirmed a reversal in trend, with a local bearish distribution phase developing. The area of liquidity that may attract price activity lies below 1.1400, suggesting that a medium-term decline remains probable if the price closes beneath 1.1557
Short
by akshit_official
2
Euro Dollar Analysis – Corrective Rebound or Bearish Setup?EUR/USD continues to operate within a controlled market cycle. The sharp decline earlier this week highlighted strong bearish momentum, followed by a corrective rebound that served as a liquidity reset. This rebound is less about trend reversal and more about rebalancing order flow after an aggressive selloff. The current structure suggests the market may still seek liquidity higher before resuming its dominant direction. A sweep toward the 1.1780 area could attract late buyers, providing larger players the opportunity to offload positions before driving price lower again. Overall, EUR/USD remains tilted toward the downside. The corrective phase is acting as a preparation stage, positioning the pair for another potential bearish leg once redistribution completes.
Short
by XAU_EMPIRE
Is EUR/USD Setting Up for a Massive Bullish Move?My EUR/USD analysis is a multi-timeframe forecast focusing on key institutional levels. The daily chart provides a long-term perspective, showing the pair in a consolidation phase after a significant downtrend. I've identified a very powerful sell zone from 2020 that represents a major historical resistance level. I expect sellers to enter the market if the price re-approaches this area. On the 4-hour chart, the focus shifts to the immediate price action. The pair is currently in a tight consolidating range. My strategy is to wait patiently for a clear breakout from this range. I have identified a Green Order Block (OB) and a Buyer Liquidity zone below the current price. My primary thesis is that the price may drop to these levels to grab liquidity before a larger move upwards. I've outlined two potential bullish scenarios, both of which target the major sell zone. The first (blue arrow) involves a drop to the buyer liquidity zone before the rally, while the second (white arrow) predicts a more direct breakout. A key part of my plan is to look for confirmation on a lower timeframe, such as a change of character, before entering a long position. In essence, my analysis is a road map for a potential long trade, but it emphasizes patience, confirmation, and a rule-based approach. The core idea is to follow institutional footprints by targeting liquidity zones and trading with the expected direction of smart money. I will not enter a trade until my specific breakout criteria are met, ensuring a high-probability setup.
by dsbmdilip
EURUSD(20250912) Today's AnalysisMarket News: U.S. initial jobless claims surged to 263,000 in the week ending September 6, reaching a near four-year high. Traders are fully pricing in three Federal Reserve interest rate cuts by the end of 2025. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 1.1712 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.1798 1.1766 1.1745 1.1679 1.1658 1.1626 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 1.1745, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price at 1.1766. If the price breaks below 1.1712, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price at 1.1679
Short
by BullMarketKing
EURUSD(20250909) Today's AnalysisMarket News: New York Fed Survey: Consumers expect unemployment and job losses to rise, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates next week. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 1.1743 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.1804 1.1781 1.1766 1.1719 1.1704 1.1681 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 1.1766, consider buying, with the first target price at 1.1781. If the price breaks below 1.1743, consider selling, with the first target price at 1.1719
by BullMarketKing