NIFTY PREDICTIONS.... BEARISH OUTLOOK FOR DECEMBER 2024. I'll try explaining my Nifty chart analysis through Elliot waves.
Nifty, again, is likely correcting in a 5-wave pattern. After reaching an ATH of 24274, Nifty's downside waves/correction started towards the end of September.
Wave (1) moved in a 5-wave pattern and ended around 24700, as marked in the chart.
Wave (2) had a zig-zag pattern and ended around 25200.
Wave (3) also had a 5-wave pattern, falling 1.23 times wave 1 to end around 23300 levels.
Wave (4)- Nifty is currently in this wave, which is probably in a zig-zag pattern. Wave (4), as usual, notoriously has violent moves on either side, giving challenges to traders.
Probable levels of termination of wave (4) are 24800 {0.5 of waves (1-3)}and 25150 {0.618 of waves (1-3).
Wave (5) - Assuming wave (4) termination around 25150, we can expect a big correction in Nifty to 22700 levels. This wave (5) alone can cause approximately 10% fall in Nifty.
Remember,
THE MARKET IS ALWAYS RIGHT.
Trade with appropriate stoploss.
Fibonnacci
BLUEDART - A must watch long term portfolio stock!MONTHLY TF VIEW:
Price Observations:
1. Good Volume support
2. Price structure is bullish
3. Reclaiming 9 years BO level
4. Bouncing from Monthly swing 50% fib level.
5. Bouncing from the Weekly Demand zone
6. Earnings are showing good growth as well.
Trade Plan:
1. Entry can be planned above 7900 with 15% Sl
2. Targets can be huge 14000 I'm expecting not immediately but eventually will reach there. Since it is a portfolio pick. For swing trade 9000 & 10000 can be considered as the TP levels
- Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely!
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
PI INDUSTRIES good to buy?The daily chart of PI INDUSTRIES shows that the stock is in wave 4 of an impulse.
Wave 3 is a terminal impulse in this case as it is less than 161.8% (see fib extension in green).
And as per the rule, wave 4 of any terminal impulse can overlap with wave 1. Also, wave 4 can retrace to 50%.
We have done detailed counting, and we can see that the price is near 50% of the fib retracement of the impulse.
At this level, we can see wave C of wave 4 is standing at 127% extension. It is possible that the price can fall a little further up to 161.8% extension. (See fib extension in blue).
The conclusion is that an aggressive trader can enter between the zone of 50% (see in black) fib retracement and 161.8% (see in blue) fib extension.
For conservative entry, one can wait for the price to break and sustain above 38.2% (see in black).
The stoploss for both entries will be below 61.8% (see in red). This is quite logical because wave 4 will never close below 61.8%
Meaning, the 61.8% level is an invalidation point for all this counting and the price will fall further if it breaks 61.8%
This analysis is based on Elliott wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
This is not any buying recommendation. Please always do your research before taking any trade.
COCHIN SHIPYARD analysisCOCHIN SHIPYARD is forming wave of Zig-zag pattern.
We can see the previous fall has 5 waves within it forming wave of Zig-zag.
According to the rule, wave will go a minimum 23.6% and a maximum of 50%.
Anyone in the buying side in COCHIN SHIPYARD, should exit at these levels, as the price will fall again to form wave of Zig-zag.
Trend changes above 61.8% level.
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
This not buying recommendations. Please always do your research before you take any trade.
Classic Double Correction PatternThis is a classic example of Double correction (Double three) in HDFCLIFE.
Marked in the first box, we can see Flat Correction where wave B is retraced to the 81% level. We are fulfilling the minimum requirement (61.8%) of wave B. Here in wave C, we see three waves. This is the first hint of an upcoming complex correction. The whole wave is marked as W here.
In the second box, there is a perfect Zig-zag pattern. Wave B is retraced to 50% here. Also, we can see three waves in wave C, which gives us wave Y.
These two waves are connected by wave X which is retraced to 111%.
This is the best example of Double correction.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci analysis.
What's happening in ITC?ITC daily chart: After completion of Normal or Trending Impulse, the price falls.
We can see clearly that the first leg of this fall looks like an impulse (shown by red 1-2-3-4-5), which is wave A of Zig-zag.
Then price retraced to 38.2% forming wave B.
Currently, wave C is developing in ITC. The minimum fall for this is 61.8% extension, which is near the 459 level.
Remember that this is a minimum fall for any Zig-zag pattern.
If the price breaks 459 and starts trading below it, the target of 100%, which is near 438.85, will be achieved. (This also fulfills the Rule of Equality).
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
BTC looks BullishBitcoin is back in the uptrend crossing multiple Fib resistance. Latest $63,200 is a support now. RSI shows price cooling off, hence, there is ahuge chance we going to cross the FWB:65K in the next attempt in the nect 24-48 hours. Not just the 20 Moving Average but the trend line is also a support now. However MACD is showing a bit of bear movement but that is also fading off. With a little bit of jump MACD will come to support the price rise.
Where is Nifty 50 Headed Next? Is the journey coming to an end? Date: 3rd July 2024
Nifty Elliot Wave Analysis - Daily Time Frame
General Trend:
Since March 2023, Nifty 50 has surged in a remarkable uptrend, skyrocketing from around 17,000 to an impressive 24,300—a spectacular leap of 7,300 points. So, has Nifty 50 reached its limit? Is the journey coming to an end?
Here is our previous analysis, which we posted on June 18th, and we are still using the same wave count.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Applying the Ichimoku cloud to the chart, we see that Nifty 50 is trending above the Monthly, Weekly, Daily, and Hourly clouds. This suggests that Nifty 50 still has more ground to cover. No sign of reversal yet in Ichimoku and Price action.
Elliott Wave Analysis:
Applying Elliott wave analysis to the entire leg of Nifty 50’s journey from March 2023 suggests that we are currently in subwave 3 of Wave 5.
The Wave 5th has already completed its minimum target at 127% (23,898) and is now looking to hit 161.8% (24,600). If this is surpassed, we could see 25,000+ which corresponds to the 200% Fibonacci ratio.
The Nifty trend will change only if the daily candle closes below 23,898.
Disclaimer:
We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
HFCL - Minimum 20% quick momentum can be expected!HFCL - A Tech sector stock pick
Observations:
1. Price structure is bullish
2. Support from fib zone
3. Good Volume build-up
4. EMAs & RSI are indicating strength and momentum on the upside
5. Prices are rejecting on the downside (rejection candle on WTF) depicts buyers are dominant.
- Stay updated for further insights and trade safely!-
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
The Big Correction in Bank Nifty? Short at 52575 with 53100 SLTime: 10:22 AM, 26th June 2024
Bank Nifty Current Market Price: 52,585
Stop Loss 53100
Targets: 47843, 44,897, 44,444 and 40135
We shared our view on Bank Nifty (BN) in yesterday's post. A few people asked us to share the complete wave count in BN in detail with trendlines.
Bank Nifty has completed its degree (2020-2024 wave). It has to go down for Degree 2, which can be a time-wise correction or a price-wise correction. There is a high chance of a time-wise correction, which might take a lot of time. Therefore, option selling with an edge is the safest option, or shorting futures with a call option hedge.
1. It has hit the Fibonacci levels we predicted a few days ago at 52,500 and made a high of 52,734.
2. The price has hit trendlines and given a fake breakout of a few previous trendlines.
3. Proper Selling Angle with few breakouts in weekly and monthly time frame.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions
GUJARAT GAS - Strong bullish BO: Expecting 30% ROI!Overview & Observations :
1. Moving up from the 50% Fibonacci support level.
2. Volume Confirmation: Good volume on the breakout candle.
3. Price structure indicating upward momentum. Forminh HL-HH
4. Good rejection candle in W tf means, buyers are strong and dominant.
5. The RRR (Risk:Reward Ratio) is favourable.
6. Steady earnings growth, with good quarterly results potentially triggering a strong move.
Trade Plan:
- Entry: At CMP around 600
- Stop Loss: 10-15% below the entry on closing basis.
- Target: Aiming for a 50% upside potential and TP
- Stay updated for further insights and trade safely!
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 14.05.2024BankNifty found substantial support within the second support zone highlighted in the previous post, triggering a remarkable rally of over 800 points from the day's low. The near support zone remains unchanged, spanning from 46870 to 47015, with a further support level observed at 46547, a significant Fibonacci level at 61.8%. On the resistance front, the nearest zone for BankNifty is expected between 48051 and 48146, while a more distant resistance zone lies at 48222 to 48457.
Kotak: Short term reversal (6 May onwards)On this Daily Chart, we can see that Kotak has made a recent swing low of 1546 on Friday after losing support from its 1650 level. The results were out yesterday and Kotak has announced 26% increase in profits beating the market estimates. This should potentially cause a reversal in price going forward. In the short term, price is likely to touch the 200D SMA (purple line) which also coincides with a trend line (in blue) creating an upside of about 15% from current levels.
Indicators:
1. The EPS chart shows solid growth while the P/E is almost at a decadal low of 16.9
2. The RSI has bottomed out both in the Daily and Weekly
3. The price hit the lower threshold band of Fibonacci Bollinger Band (solid green line) indicating a possible bottoming out of price
4. The price is currently below both the 50D and 200D SMA, indicating short term bearish territory
Risks: The current downtrend can also continue in the next week and the next visible support is at 1450 implying a downside of 6%
Strategy: Given the growth drivers and a ridiculous valuation of the bank, the price is sure to make a reversal in coming days. Watch for the price action on Monday, and based on lower time frame price action, take entry. If the price comes down, towards 1450 levels, it should be used as an opportunity to build more positions instead of thinking about Stop loss and exiting.
Happy Trading!
APTECH LTD : A good Buy for Long Term CMP: 254.70The stock has retraced to 0.618 of the Fib series from its all time high of 418.35 which it reached on 30th May 2023 and has been falling continuously to touch a low of 243.90 on 9th Nov 2023. Thats a drop of over 41% from its all time high.
The stock is finding support at the current levels which happens to be the Monthly and Weekly Instutional Buy Zone and also the 0.618 Fib Retracement level.. this level is a good area for institutional investors to come in.
The average 30 day Volume is around 311 K whereas the last few days the volumes has been in the range of over 750K. This means good buying is coming in these levels.
The monthly Institutional buy zone is between 207/- and 250/-
The stock is still trading below the falling trend line and the ideal buy would be after a confirmed close above the trend line with better than average daily volumes, however since this is a good stock and it is in the important support levels, one can start buying partly ( as per your risk appetite) at these levels and accumulate if it comes lower and within the buy zone mentioned above.
Target: We are looking at a long term target (1.50 to 2 years) of Rs.525/-
ELECTCAST LONGLets analyse a stock with wyckoffian 3rd law ..... ..........Volume is the EFFORT and Spread (Price) is the RESULT ............. someone just looking at only price and ignoring ........VOLUME ............ HALF the data thats available for analysis
Wyckoffian 3rd Law also gives importance to HARMONY ( small spread and small volume) .................. ANAMOLY ( small spread with large volume or large spread with small volume ) ...... both are important when we analyse the chart and activity of the COMPOSITE MAN
candle 1 and 5 is harmony and candle 2,3 ,4 are ANAMOLY
candle 1 ... large volume high range candle with breakout , candle 2 was low range but high volume ....... price had a pause for few days ... , candle 3 high range and low volume candle ... manipulation by composite man to shake out weak hands candle 4 ..... high range candle with low volume ....candle 5 ..... again the smart money checking the easy of movement and could get a high range candle with less volume(Less EFFORT ) compared to the breakout volume ....... stock is ready to be marked up
once we understand this Target 1 reached .. calculated by fibonacci extension tool
target 2 can also be calculated