Gold Moves Sideways – Correction Risk if 5,090 Support Breaks📊 Market Overview:
Gold prices are trading around $5,110 per ounce during the Asian session on March 13 as traders wait for new signals from U.S. economic data and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and rising oil prices have reduced expectations for Fed rate cuts, creating short-term downside pressure on gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance Levels:
• 5,130 – 5,140
• 5,170 – 5,200
• Nearest Support Levels:
• 5,090 – 5,080
• 5,050 – 5,030
• EMA:
Price is currently trading around and slightly below the EMA9 on the M15–M30 timeframe, indicating short-term bearish momentum.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
• The market is forming a sideways consolidation structure after the decline from the 5,190 area.
• Declining volume suggests weak breakout momentum during the Asian session.
• If strong rejection candles appear near 5,130–5,140, gold may drop toward 5,080 or lower.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may decline in the short term if price continues to face rejection at 5,130–5,140, while holding above 5,080 could keep the market ranging ahead of the European and U.S. sessions.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 5,190 – 5,195
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips
❌ SL: 5,199
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 5,050 – 5,047
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips
❌ SL: 5,043
Goldtechnicalanalysis
Gold Moves Sideways After Decline – Possible Retest of 5,120 📊 Market Update:
Global gold prices (XAU/USD) are currently trading near 5,140 USD/ounce after dropping from the 5,180 level due to pressure from a stronger USD and cautious sentiment ahead of upcoming U.S. economic data.
Safe-haven demand continues to support gold, but short-term buying momentum has weakened, pushing the market into a sideways consolidation phase.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: 5,155 – 5,160
• Strong resistance: 5,170 – 5,175
• Nearest support: 5,130 – 5,125
• Strong support: 5,120 – 5,115
• EMA: Price is currently trading below the EMA 09 on the H1 timeframe, indicating a slightly bearish short-term bias.
• Candlestick / volume / momentum:
• Recent candles show long upper wicks, indicating selling pressure on rebounds.
• Volume is gradually decreasing, suggesting accumulation before a breakout.
• Momentum is weakening slightly, indicating a possible retest of lower support.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue its short-term correction if it fails to break 5,155 – 5,160, potentially retesting the 5,125 – 5,120 support area.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 5,170 – 5,175
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips
❌ SL: 5,178
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 5,120 – 5,115
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips
❌ SL: 5,113
Gold Moving Sideways – Possible Correction Without Breakout📊 Market developments:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) recently rallied to the 5,180–5,190 USD per ounce zone. However, selling pressure emerged at this resistance area, pushing the price slightly down to around 5,160, where it is now moving sideways in consolidation. The market is waiting for further signals from U.S. economic data and expectations regarding monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. A stable U.S. dollar has also slowed the bullish momentum in gold.
📉 Technical analysis:
• Key resistance: 5,190 and 5,220
• Immediate support: 5,140 and 5,110
• EMA: Price remains above the EMA 09, indicating the short-term trend is still bullish but currently undergoing a correction.
• Candlestick / volume / momentum: Recent candles show long upper wicks near 5,180–5,190, reflecting short-term selling pressure. Volume is decreasing, indicating market consolidation.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue consolidating in the short term. A break above 5,190 could push prices towards 5,220, while a drop below 5,140 may trigger a deeper correction.
💡 Suggested trading strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 5,185 – 5,190
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips
❌ SL: 5,194
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 5,135 – 5,140
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips
❌ SL: 5,132
Gold Rebounds – May Test the 5,150 Level📊 Market Movement:
Global gold prices (XAU/USD) have rebounded strongly from the 5,040 – 5,050 region to around 5,120 USD per ounce as dip buyers entered the market. A temporary weakening of the US dollar along with technical buying supported the rebound. Traders are also watching policy signals from the Federal Reserve, which could cause strong volatility during the US trading session.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 5,120 – 5,130 and 5,145 – 5,155
• Nearest Support: 5,080 – 5,090 and 5,040 – 5,050
• EMA: Price is moving back close to the EMA 09, suggesting short-term bullish momentum is building.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: After forming a bottom near 5,040, the market produced several strong bullish candles, indicating strong dip-buying interest. However, the 5,120 – 5,150 area may still face profit-taking pressure.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue its short-term recovery if it holds above 5,080, with a potential test of the 5,140 – 5,150 resistance zone.
💡 Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 5,150 – 5,153
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips
❌ SL: 5,157
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 5,043 – 5,040
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips
❌ SL: 5,036
Pullback Into Resistance, Sell-the-Rally Setup
Market Structure
Overall structure is bearish-to-range after a strong selloff.
Price made a rounded bottom from the Feb lows, then transitioned into a corrective rally.
The rally is retracing into a prior supply / resistance zone, not breaking structure yet.
Key Zones
Major Resistance / Supply: ~5,100 – 5,213
Marked clearly on your chart.
Previous breakdown zone → now acting as resistance.
Minor Resistance (Entry Zone): ~5,050 – 5,105
Price is currently reacting here.
Prior support turned resistance (classic S/R flip).
Support: ~4,650 – 4,700
Strong demand zone.
Previous reaction + liquidity pool.
Intermediate Support: ~4,905
Likely first pause or bounce area if rejection starts.
Price Action Story
The white path shows a corrective ABC-style move into resistance.
Momentum on the way up is weaker compared to the selloff (bearish sign).
No clean bullish break-and-hold above the resistance zone yet.
This favors a rejection rather than continuation.
Trade Idea (As Illustrated)
Bias: Short
Entry: Into 5,050 – 5,100 resistance
Invalidation: Clean 1H close and acceptance above ~5,213
Targets:
~4,905 (partial / scale-out)
~4,650 (main target / demand zone)
What Would Flip This Bullish?
Strong impulsive break above 5,213
Followed by a successful retest and hold
Until then → rallies are suspect.
Summary
This is a sell-the-rally setup into a well-defined resistance zone, aiming for a move back into demand. The chart is structured, levels are respected, and the risk is clearly defined — exactly how you want it.
XAUUSD | Expected Swing Movement 07/07/2025Hi,
I am sharing my view on XAUUSD swing movement. After series of consolidation at current level. If gold breaks 3315 and retest the 3306 to 3308 with pullback, it can show sharp upside move upto 3336 to 3338 level where major we can see major supply.
Disclaimer: This is only for educational purpose.
Thanks
MCX Gold Price Limited Downside, Big UpsideMCX gold has started falling since 1st June, and it's moving under a parallel channel. But this time, it can break out this channel. Why? I will explain it through Elliott wave projection in the next update.
In the last trading session, it made a Doji candlestick. And that's a sign of trend change. If gold does not break the crucial level, then it can drop up to 0.382 to 0.236 .
In simple words, short-term targets: 46200 - 45960 - 45765
And for long-term traders: 45600 - 45060
But, the uptrend isn't far away. If gold does breakout of 46860 level, then we may see 47276 - 47600 - 47960+ .
Don't get confused! You have to watch out the level 46860 for an uptrend, and the closing price below the Doji candle indicated a bearish trend signal.
This week we may see higher fluctuations due to upcoming economic events. Watch the following significant releases or events that may affect the movement of gold, silver, crude oil, & natural gas:
Monday, Oct 04, 2021
15:30 OPEC Meeting - Medium Impact
Tuesday, Oct 05, 2021
19:30 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Sep) - High Impact
Wednesday, Oct 06, 2021
02:00 API Weekly Crude Oil Stock - Medium Impact
17:45 ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Sep) - High Impact
18:30 FOMC Member Bostic Speaks - Medium Impact
20:00 Crude Oil Inventories - High Impact
21:00 FOMC Member Bostic Speaks - Medium Impact
Thursday, Oct 07, 2021
18:00 Initial Jobless Claims - High Impact
20:00 Natural Gas Storage - Low Impact
Friday, Oct 08, 2021
18:00 Nonfarm Payrolls & Unemployment Rate - High Impact
Gold is going to retest 1840 and then 2100-2200Gold is showing some reversal pattern for retesting 1840. As per the chart, we can see that gold was following a perfect uptrend and now its reversal shows that it will retest 1840 and go for the long target (day time frame).
It took reversal by two very powerful chart reversal patterns named shooting star with confirmation & Bearish Engulfing pattern for retesting 1840.
trade is not recommended
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