Is PSB The Right Bank To Invest Into?During the first half of 2024, NSE:PSB hit its peak levels near Rs. 80 and afterwards, it started falling down. However, when seen on the weekly chart, it was an expected down move and can be classified as a clean retracement. On April 1, 2025, marking the start of this financial year, the bank retraced to 78.6% fib level. It was also the same time when RSI hit 30 level on the weekly chart. Since then, it has been going up again.
The current situation is that the bank is already up from Rs. 25 to Rs. 33. However, it is today the price has crossed the 50 EMA on the daily chart. The RSI is also below 70, which shows a potential for up moves, which is further supported by the resistance line, which seems to be at Rs. 37 based on the current trajectory of the price movement. This is a 10%+ upside at minimum.
The Price to book is roughly 1.7x, which is not bad for a bank however, the Price to earnings is about 22, which is a bit concerning.
The bank is profitable for the last 4 years and has made about Rs. 1000 crores in the last 12 months, But it doesn't seems to be enough to justify the current valuation. However, the Plant/Property/Equipment of Rs. 1800 crores, which when revalued on current market estimates, might do the trick.
Overall, this trade is a bit late. The best time was two months ago. Currently, the risk:reward on the daily timeframe is not ideal; however it might be acceptable on a longer weekly time-frame, which might be suitable for investment purposes.
I am buying some shares for 1-2 year investment and keeping enough cash in reserves to average at Rs. 25 and then at Rs. 22.
~ Trading Idea by Dr. Sagar Bansal via @jyotibansalanalysis
