Gold - XAUUSD is Possibily forming an Ending Diagonal in a Wave c of a-b-c correction which will also potentially complete Wave B or 2 of larger Wave Count completing the correction of over all rally from 1150 to 1375. Gold has corrected in a 3 wave decline and is not around 61.8 fib retracement levels. MACD is giving Divergence on smaller timeframes 240/60 giving...
Not much to add to Last Weeks Analysis, except that i have also added Open Interest to the chart.
You can well see that Open Interest is at Record High for Last 7 Years.
In fact it is at all time record high for last 25 Years.
So be Careful. With Bearish COT Commercials and record high OI,
My Bearish call has a solid backing and reasoning
Bullish COT. Diverging but still Weak Momentum trying to turn positive.
The green technical area barely trying to hold itself.
SILVER (posted) looking much stronger.
Huge selling behind the present down move.
With these conflicting, confusing and diverging signals, perhaps Silver will provide a much clearer future direction for precious Metals Complex.
Silver Interestingly Poised ? Nicely Holding the Green Area ?
Bullish COT Report, Momentum Diverging on W, D & 240 min Charts.
With that in the background if the 4 Hour start closing above 16.250, the momentum can take it to 18.350.
Again 18.150 is Crucial area, if it is able to SOLIDLY sustain the up-move above 18.250-18.300 area, then medium term Silver is in...
The Critical Price Zone support holding till now.
But the price action is not very encouraging for LONGS.
Start thinking about going LONG Gold, only when it trades above 1200 Level DECISIVELY.
BUT IN THAT CASE DO WITH VERY STRICT STOP LOSS as there is still very large selling in the background.
With Positive Divergences and Buying by Commercials (Last weeks data, this weeks awaited), I am Expecting the Current Price Area to Hold and Arrest The Downtrend. If that happens, I had Given The Upward Projection Target.
But if the current zone does not hold and give up, i have given the further Support Areas (H&S targets).
But that will invalidate the upward...