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Nifty-trading

Technical Class 1 #SMC1In finance, technical analysis is an analysis methodology for analysing and forecasting the direction of prices through the study of past market data, primarily price and volume. Technical analysis is a means of examining and predicting price movements in the financial markets, by using historical price charts and market statistics. It is based on the idea that if a trader can identify previous market patterns, they can form a fairly accurate prediction of future price trajectories.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Nifty closed at the same levels for 5th time in 20 years - studyNifty traded within prev day's range, it erased the intraday gains after taking rejection from trendline Nifty needs to move outside the prev day's range to show Directional Movement on Expiry day The Wednesday session HIgh & low can work as Resistance & support zone, For Gap up/ Gap Down, track for Price action confirmation at imp levels Resistance / support zones can work same as last session *For Educational purpose
NSE:NIFTY
by Himanu_HATradeTalk1
Rain Industry will give Returns like Rain if you will invest nowHello Everyone, i have brought a stock of carbon cement producer which has given neat and clean breakout of Bullish Triangle Pattern on weekly Timeframe. Cement sectors giants like acc and ultratech has given best qtr this time, seems this could be a game changer for cements stocks. if we talk about Rain industry it is trading now on high discounts from all time high. Technical analysis:- Price is above 200-DEMA Stock has given breakout of Triangle pattern Volumes are high in last 2 and half years. MACD has given bullish crossover( I have not placed MACD indicator on chart) About Company:- Rain Industries Limited (RAIN) is a leading vertically integrated producer of carbon, cement and Advanced materials products. Headquartered in India, RAIN has manufacturing facilities in eight countries across three continents. KEY POINTS About Rain is into transforming by-products of oil and steel industries into high-value carbon-based materials essential to numerous manufacturing applications and end products. The company is making a strategical shift from low-margin products to favourable product mix. Manufacturing Capabilities The company owns and operates a total of 17 manufacturing facilities which manufactures products for its 3 business segments. These facilities are established across North America, Europe and Asia. Its current manufacturing capacities are - Calcined petroleum coke - 2.4 MTPA. Coal tar distillation - 1.3 MTPA Advances materials production - 0.6 MTPA Cement production - 3.5 MTPA Co-Gen Power Capacities It presently has a co-gen power capacity of ~175 MW from its 5 waste heat recovery plants & WHR steam plants. It also owns 4 flue-gas desulphurisation plants for co-gen power. Carbon Products Segment (66% of revenues) The company is the world's largest producer of coal tar pitch (CTP) and the second-largest manufacturer of calcined petroleum coke (CPC). It manufactures CTP and CPC through its wholly owned subsidiary Rain Carbon Inc. CPC accounts for 39% of revenues of the segment, followed by CTP (36%) and other carbon products (22%) Advanced Materials Segment (26% of revenues) The company leverages technology for the downstream transformation of a portion of its carbon output, petrochemicals and other raw materials into high-value materials that are critical to the specialty chemicals, coatings, construction, automotive & other industries. It operates manufacturing facilities in Belgium, Canada, Germany and Netherlands. Resins accounts for 40% of revenues of the segment, followed by petrochemical intermediaries (25%), naphthalene derivatives (18%) & engineered products (17%). Cement Segment (8% of revenues) The company produces cement through its wholly owned subsidiary Rain Cements Ltd in the region of South India. It manufactures and markets high-quality ordinary portland cement (OPC) and portland pozzolana cement (PPC) under its own 'Priya' Cement brand. It owns one manufacturing unit in Andhra Pradesh and Telangana each, and a packing facility in Karnataka. It has a base of 2,000+ registered dealers for distribution of its cement. Market Cap ₹ 5,906 Cr. Current Price ₹ 176 High / Low ₹ 184 / 140 Stock P/E 20.0 Book Value ₹ 253 (Very positive) Dividend Yield 0.57 % ROCE 17.1 % ROE 19.8 % Face Value ₹ 2.00 Industry PE 41.9 Debt ₹ 9,372 Cr. (Negative) EPS ₹ 8.04 Promoter holding 41.1 % Intrinsic Value ₹ 330 (Very positive) Pledged percentage 0.00 % EVEBITDA 5.60 Change in Prom Hold 0.00 % Profit Var 5Yrs 10.7 % Sales growth 5Years 13.2 % Return over 5years 9.31 % Debt to equity 1.10 (Negative) Net profit ₹ 409 Cr. ROE 5Yr 12.9 % Profit growth -76.9 % (Negative) Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades. Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's. Thankyou.
NSE:RAINLong
by TraderRahulPal
I'm sure this Railway stock can be best stock for your PortfolioHello Guy's, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and in your Trading as well. Today i have brought stock from one of the top performing sector in recent time, which is Railways. All Railways stocks like RVNL/IRFC/IRCTC etc, has given multibagger returns in just very short of time, but if i talk about RITES, still has not participated much in recent Rallies. So i am expecting an ongoing momentum can be continue in this stock in coming day's. Company has reduced debt. Company is almost debt free. Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 80.8%. All this parameters are positive for this PSU stock. Price is above 200-DEMA Stock is forming Higher highs and Higher lows Pattern on daily timeframe Stock has given breakout of earlier Highs and sitting at all time highs Highest Volumes seen on daily timeframes, which is 30.504 Million, this is huge since inception. About Company:- Established in 1974, RITES Limited is a public sector enterprise and a leading player in the transport consultancy and engineering sector in India, having diversified services and geographical reach. The company is the only export arm of Indian Railways for providing rolling stock overseas (other than Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia). KEY POINTS:- Services The major business engagements of the company are consultants, engineers, and project managers in railways, highways, airports, ports, ropeways, urban transport, and inland waterways in India and abroad. The company also provides services of third-party inspection, quality assurance, construction supervision & project management, operations & maintenance, leasing, export of rolling stock and modernization of railway workshop projects, doubling, and electrification on a turnkey basis. Revenue Split Consultancy Services: 41% in FY22 vs 55% in FY21 vs 68% in FY18 Leasing: 5% in FY22 vs 6% in FY21 vs 6% in FY18 Turnkey Projects: 6% in FY22 vs 33% in FY21 vs 10% in FY18 Export Sale: 36.28% in FY22 vs 5% in FY21 vs 15% in FY18 Power Generation: 0.8% in FY22 vs 1% in FY21 vs 1% in FY18. Geographical Split The company has undertaken projects in over 55 countries across Asia, Africa, Latin America, South America, and the Middle East region. India (domestic): 90% in FY21 vs 79% in FY18 Africa (exports): 7% in FY21 vs 6% in FY18 Asia (exports): 3% in FY21 vs 15% in FY18. Clientele IIM-Rohtak, JNU, Delhi University, Central University of Karnataka, AIIMS, BPCL, SAIL, NTPC, SCCL, CONCOR, Visakhapatnam Port Trust (VPT), Paradip Port Trust (PPT), Subarnarekha Port, Tata Steel, L&T, GMR, Dilip Buildcon among others. Order Book The company had a total order book worth 6435 crores as of September 2021. Turnkey order book does not include approx 4000 crores of new Railway Line projects secured in Q2FY22. The contributions of the business segments to the order book (Q2FY22): Consultancy: 39% Turnkey Solutions: 43% Lease: 2% Exports: 15% Market Cap ₹ 16,455 Cr. Current Price ₹ 685 High / Low ₹ 694 / 311 Stock P/E 34.2 Book Value ₹ 107 Dividend Yield 2.99 % ROCE 29.7 % ROE 21.3 % Face Value ₹ 10.0 Industry PE 40.5 Debt ₹ 4.79 Cr. EPS ₹ 20.0 Promoter holding 72.2 % Intrinsic Value ₹ 494 Pledged percentage 0.00 % EVEBITDA 17.0 Change in Prom Hold 0.00 % Profit Var 5Yrs 9.60 % Sales growth 5Years 11.9 % Return over 5years 29.6 % Debt to equity 0.00 Net profit ₹ 516 Cr. ROE 5Yr 20.8 % Profit growth -11.8 % Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades. Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's. Thankyou.
NSE:RITESLong
by TraderRahulPal
2
7th Dec ’23 - Should I change my Nifty stance to neutral?Nifty Today’s Analysis Recap from yesterday: “As an analyst, it is very difficult to predict when the trend will end, but we need to keep looking. For tomorrow, I prefer to continue with the long bias unless we give up the 20853 in the morning session.” 4mts chart link - click here The opening candle was explosive, in line opening with a strong fall. See the depth in RED - you will understand from the chart. I was eagerly waiting for it to cross that 20850 level today but that did not happen. Let us try to analyze why we had such a bold opening candle move. Both BankNifty and NiftyIT had a similar opening, so it was not an isolated issue. Some players might have sold off their winners to go light into tomorrow’s RBI meet or it could be a long unwinding out of fear that the markets will fall today due to the US market handout. From there Nifty climbed back to the 20920 level by 11.03 and then the trade was in a small range till the close. From 14.31 to 14.59. At 13.19, 20850 PE was trading at Rs1.95 when the spot was at 20911 - for me, it appeared damn cheap. Nifty made one more attempt - but it went nowhere. 63mts chart link - click here The last 4 candles of today had perfect “open = close” values. 3 of them were perfect Dojis - look up the textbook for Doji candles, maybe the example quoted there won't match with the real ones of today. Tomorrow’s RBI’s meet @ 10.00 AM is going to be a decider - no level of technical analysis can predict when there is a news flow expected. I wish to maintain my long stance as of now although it's itching to go neutral.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
16th Nov ’23 Nifty Postmortem - Almost breaks 19776 resistanceNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis Between the last expiry and today, Nifty50 has gained 359pts ~ 1.85% and broken 2 important resistance levels. We almost took out the 19776 resistance today but for a strong red candle @ 14.15. Nifty Today Analysis Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr chart, the next target to break will be 19776 which is just 100pts away. Something that is easily possible if SPX holds its ground today. Since most of the market participants are long-only, any upsurge will sweep in more market participants.” Nifty opened inline and then was steaming ahead, As we discussed yesterday it took out the 19776 with so much ease. The 3 5mts candles between 11.00 to 11.10 showed how the momentum picked up right before the resistance zone which kind of indicated that the rally was not going to slow down. By 13.55 we picked up more pace, quite visible by the FII participation on the BUY side. We hit an intraday high of 19875 by 14.45 and then something unplanned happened. We dropped 153pts in the 25 minutes, we will explain that in detail during the BankNifty Analysis below. On the 1hr chart, we closed slightly below 19776, the 14.15 hourly candle is well-lit like a beacon. I am still continuing my bullish stance in the hopes that 19776 will get taken out during the forenoon session tomorrow. If not, I will be changing my stance to neutral and will update it via tradingview minds.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
8th Nov ’23 - Nifty hits the resistance, Going Neutral nowNifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow, I wish to change my stance to neutral if 19446 is not getting broken in the opening 2 hours. I would love to go bearish if 19310 support is broken” The encircled areas on the chart represent the period when 19446 resistance was in play. The open was right at that zone, then we spent 09.55 to 10.25 around those levels. We took a minor dip, but nothing impressive to retest the 19310 levels. Then we picked up some momentum and went past the 19446 resistance by 13.10 only to be pulled back by 14.15. Then we hovered around those levels again in the last 30mts only to close marginally below. There are 2 ways to look at things now. Either the retracement from 26th Oct has stalled and a lower high is getting formed, wherein further moves will be downside Nifty is just taking a pause to catch its breath and further propel upside. Unfortunately, I am unable to comment with confidence on the direction right away. In line with yesterday’s research, I have changed my stance from bullish to neutral. To go long not only Nifty has to break through the 19446 barrier but trade above 19561 levels. Whereas to go short, a break below 19310 would be enough.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
HUL: Channel trade PotentialHUL Chart set up - we are looking at weekly chart of HUL - Stock is trading in a channel since July 2022 - currently at lower end of the channel View - Range bound movement Trading Strategy - Consider to accumulate at current levels and on dips for a target potential of 2730 odd levels - If weekly closing is below 2393 then pattern gets invalidated Understanding Risk :: Reward and Risk Management Reward potential for the set up approx 250 points from current levels Have provisions to accumulate further on dips in such a way that RIsk is of around 60 points giving us a Risk::Reward ratio of 1::4 plus Take care and safe trading...!!! If you find the analysis useful do Like and Follow
NSE:HINDUNILVRLong
by indiamarketoutlook
13 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - Cautiously BullishNifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “I wish to just wait and watch for tomorrow and not get into an aggressive long position until Nifty50 has consolidated at the current levels. I wish to modify my stance to neutral from bullish. If we break the 19870 levels tomorrow — I wish to go short (bearish).” . I did not get into any new long position in Nifty, in fact I rolled up the PE to 19900 from 19800. The rally momentum is not lost, its just that we had a blip yesterday. Seems like Moneycontrol got the reason for the huge cut on Midcaps and Small caps yesterday - Talk of basket selling by European financial services firm fuels meltdown in mid, small-caps Nifty50 rallied 0.7% ~ 139pts vs Midcap +0.12% & SmallCap +1.02%. Has some money rotated and re-entered the large caps? The reason I did not go long today - The swing high of 20110 still not taken out. Meanwhile its still a win for the bulls as the final close is above 20000 levels. On the 1hr chart Nifty50 is looking all the more positive and raring to go. I too wish to go long with downside protection via PUTS. The swings in options prices were crazy and the volume of put writing was intense suggesting more traders are betting on the bullish side. I expect the expiry to be above 19989 if we still have the bullish sentiment. I wish to stay 50% neutral and 50% bullish for tomorrow and would like to go 100% bullish once the swing high of 20110 is taken out.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
12 Jul '23 Post Mortem on Nifty | Will the bulls be We had 2 downward selling momentum, the first one mainly due to the gap up opening - which saw a loss of 106pts by 12.00 and then the 2nd one between 14.40 to close which erased 99pts. Technically Nifty has fallen only 55pts today, the gap-up messed up the numbers. So we had a dip below the yesterday's swing low and retraced all the way to the close of 10th July. The 19504 level is proving to be quite a resistance, rightly so because its the ATH levels. To break free Nifty needs more momentum & the only way to do that is reverse from a sharp fall. Well it made a try on 11th but failed. The 1hr TF has still not turned bearish, for that to happen we should fall below 19301 within the opening hour tomorrow or close the day below 19338. There will be 3 things to watch out tomorrow. 1. India's MoM CPI comes in higher at 4.81% 2. US CPI comes in lower at 3.0% 3. HDFC gets delisted on 13th July Trades Taken & Rationale I was quite surprised to see the gap up open today and the 19300/19400 CE bullish debit spread was trading profitably. I almost had complete belief that N50 will not fall that much. Even when we hit an intraday low by 12.03 my position was deep in losses & did not square off. You wont believe I got panicked by seeing the 13.35 candle, somehow it did not feel right & eventually I closed the position at loss by around 13.42. The prices were 19300 @149.7 & 19400 @72.25. By around 13.50 I started feeling guilty to have over reacted and thought of entering into another bullish spread in the 20th July series. But seeing the 15.00 and 15.05 candles, my guilt turned into relief. Had I held onto those trades the losses would have been 3 times more.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
Nifty Support and Resistance LinesUse volume. Place stop losses. Use other technical analysis tools. Buy at support. This is a bullish strategy that involves buying an asset when it reaches a support level. The trader is betting that the price will bounce back up from the support level and continue to rise. Sell at resistance. This is a bearish strategy that involves selling an asset when it reaches a resistance level. The trader is betting that the price will fall back down from the resistance level and continue to decline.
NSE:NIFTY
by piyushbafna000
Nifty intraday Trade setup for monday 2nd december 2023 1. If market open gap up near resistance area (18160 to 18180 ) watch for reversal and if price consolidate near resistance and gives breakout go for the target of 18257 and 18313 2. Best Condition is if market opens flat ( 18132 to 18080 ) after consolidating for 5 min market goes in whichever direction sit in the trade breakout targets are 18165, 18204 , 18257 breakdown targets are 18025 , 18000 , 17962. 3. If market opens gap down near 18000 wait for price action or reversal patter because 18000 to 17962 is a major support
NSE:NIFTY
by Tushar1801