Market Analysis: Nifty 50 Price ActionThe NSE:NIFTY is currently exhibiting a tug-of-war between key levels, retracing from a previous selloff zone that acted as resistance. Notably, it found support at a previous supply turned demand zone. These zones have defined the market's boundaries in today's session, with price movements constrained within them.
For the past three sessions, the index has shown signs of consolidation, reflecting indecision among market participants. A breakout above the resistance zone could signal a continuation of the uptrend in NSE:NIFTY , while a breakdown below the demand zone may suggest a reversal or further bearish sentiment.
Key Scenarios for Tomorrow:
Breakout Scenario: A sustained move above the selloff zone could trigger bullish momentum, attracting fresh buying interest and potentially setting higher targets.
Breakdown Scenario: If the demand zone is broken, it may open doors for further downside, with the next support levels coming into focus.
Continued Consolidation: The market may remain range-bound as it digests prior moves, awaiting clearer cues from global or domestic events.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Market conditions are subject to change, and you should consult with a certified financial advisor or conduct your research before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly.
Niftyoutlook
NIFTY50: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 13/12/2024Overview
This trading system combines simplicity with powerful insights for accurate entries and exits. It is structured for active traders using the 5-minute timeframe who want to make clear, confident trading decisions in fast-moving markets.
Key Strategy Guidelines
Retest Entries : Aim to enter trades on retests rather than breakouts, offering better positioning.
Multiple Confirmations : Use more than one confirmation to validate each trade, helping avoid impulsive decisions.
ATM Options Focus : Stick to at-the-money (ATM) options or above for optimal liquidity and manageable risk.
System Explanation
This setup leverages volume, historical price action, and price ranges to pinpoint high-probability entry and exit points. This methodology is designed to reduce guesswork, allowing traders to manage trades with a consistent approach.
How It Works: Entry/Exit Signals
Blue Line : Signals potential long entry.
Red Line : Indicates potential short entry.
Tip : Align these signals with additional confirmations from your trading strategy for optimal performance.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels
Stop Loss:
Long Trades : Set your stop loss at the nearest red line below the entry point, or adjust based on whether the 5-minute candle crosses the red line.
Short Trades : Use the blue line above as the stop loss.
Take Profit:
Long Entries :Target the next red line above or exit if other indicators suggest a prudent exit.
Short Entries :Target the next blue line below following similar guidelines.
Timeframe Recommendation
This system is specifically optimized for the 5-minute timeframe, making it suitable for those trading shorter intervals with precision.
Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves high risk, and rapid price changes can lead to unexpected losses. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose, and carefully assess your financial situation and risk tolerance.
Join the Community Discussion
Engage with other traders to discuss strategies, share insights, and enhance your understanding of the markets. Let’s grow together as a community of traders.
Original Content
This trading system is the product of my own expertise and rigorous testing. It’s a unique approach developed through real market experience to offer a clear edge in trading.
NIFTY getting ready for Bulls (Buy on Dip)As we discussed in the last analysis, nifty is accumulating. It is expected to be bullish in upcoming sessions.
Impoartant support and resistance levels are on the chart.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is in the accumulation phase, and it can be bullish soon. The market is trading at 200 EMA (15 min TF), which is expected to provide support here. 24521 - 24830 is the mother candle zone and is expected to be a sideways or high volatility zone of accumulation.
The price is trading lower than EMA(13,50) and above EMA(200), which can be a good point of support.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.90 shows a bullish structure of the market. The market has good PE writing at 24500, which is going to provide good support. Also, it has more CE writing on the upper side at 24600 and 24700, which is going to provide good resistance on the higher side.
I am expecting
Case 1: Sideways in the range 24521 - 24830.
Case 2: if the market breaks 24521 to the downside - Bearish
Reason:
RSI < 40 shows a weak bull structure. (Bearish)
EMA(13, 50) > Price >= EMA(200), which indicates an indecisive or rather sideways market. The market might receive support at 200 EMA.
The market has given a good volume spike that shows this level is good support.
PCR = 0.8 indicates an upcoming bullish market.
Price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish market.
Verdict: Bearish or Sideways.
Plan of action:
Buy on dips for Bullish let the setup be formed.
12th Dec 2024 - An calm week after a violent expiry on 5thNifty Nifty Stance Neutral ➡
After last week's rout, I had gone long on the index. Now when I look back, it was a poor decision to make. The reasons for going long was mostly because of the price action on the 5th of December when we had that humungous rally.
This week we had an unusual flat price action with no real movement whatsoever. I read somewhere that the regulators are really concerned and may investigate the previous week's expiry.
Coming back to business, this week we dropped 163pts ~ 0.66%. The week's low was hit on the 10th of Dec, and I sincerely hoped we may get a fall yesterday and today. On the 11th we rose a bit and today we fell a bit and overall the week was flattish.
Looking at the options premiums for the next week, I do not see any major directional movements and hence I am going into a neutral stance. The moment a directional bias appears, I will notify you via the TradingView minds section. I will also publish my directional option strategy as well.
NIFTY analysis for tomorrow 14 Dec || BullishAs we discussed NIFTY in the last analysis, nifty is accumulating. It gave a sharp momentum to the downside and then gave a V-shaped recovery and closed at +219 Point.
If we look at the chart now:
The market took support at 200 EMA and gave V shape recovery, which indicates a good bullish setup in the market. The price is trading higher than that of EMA, showing a good bullish structure in the market. Market importance levels are as follows:
Support levels: 50 EMA, 24522, 24339, 200 EMA
Resistance levels: 24800, 25140
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.0, which has increased from 0.9, shows bulls are adding the position in the market. The market has good PE writing at 24500 and 24400. Other levels, 24600, 24700, and 24800, have a moderate amount of writing, showing it can be volatile in that zone. If 24800 breaks to the upside, the next good resistance level is 25000, where good CE writing has been done.
I am expecting
Case 1: Sideways in the range 24521 - 24800.
Case 2: if the market breaks 24800 to the upside, the direct target will be 25000.
Reason:
RSI > 60 shows a good bullish structure. (Bullish)
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a good bullish structure. (Bullish)
The market has given a good volume of buyers. (Bullish)
PCR = 1.0 indicates a bullish market.
Price > VWAP shows a good bullish structure in the market.
Verdict: Bullish or Sideways
Plan of action:
above 24800 Bullish go CE buying.
in the range 24522 - 24800 Sideways. go with Iron condor
NIFTY 50 is ready for a trending moveNIFTY has been consolidating this whole week. And now that the weekly Expiry is over today, it is ready for a trending move either side - to resume it's upward March towards 25000 OR to retest it's recent swing lows. Although it seems to be trading within a clearly defined Regression channel for now.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 12 Dec 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 12 Dec 2024
Buy- Above 24700
Invalid-Below 24650
T- 24850
Bearish-Below 24490
Invalid-Above 24540
T- 24250
NIFTY has closed almost on a flat note with 0.13% gain today. We discussed in the weekend that index will be sideways between 24850 and 24500. Its been three sessions and index is just consolidating between this range. For any directional move we need breakout of this range or else we will still maintain non- directional approach. However 24700 and 24490 can be tomorrow's levels to watch out.
Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24700 then we will long for the target of 24850.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 24490. T- 24250.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY looks interesting. Ready for a Blast?-CnH in DTF.
-Candles are getting narrow.
A breakout from this small base can take it to 25k soon. On the other hand, a breakdown from this base can bring some weakness.
This is not a buy/sell recommendation. The chart shared is just for educational purposes.
Nifty analysis for 11/12/2024.
Nifty is in a range bound cycle after the bullish move from the recent low. 50% Fibonacci levels is acting as a crucial resistance level for the market.
Overall market seems bullish but still the market can take the resistance form fib levels and revert to continue the bearish trend.
The moving averages on the hourly charts are near to the trading price and it can move either way.
Major support levels :- 24500, 24330, 24170
Resistance levels :- 246660, 24770
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 10th December 2024Nifty Analysis
Key Levels:
Buy Above: 24,660
Sell Below: 24,580
Scalping Strategy:
Buy Signal : Enter a buy position above the high of the candle which closes above 24,660.
Sell Signal: Enter a sell position below the low of the candle which closes below 24,580.
Time Frames:
Preferred Time Frame: 15-minute chart for better clarity and precision.
Scalping Time Frames: 3-minute or 5-minute intervals for quick trades.
Steps for Scalping:
Monitor the 15-minute chart: Look for candles closing above 24,660 to initiate a buy position.
Set Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just below the low of the candle that closes above 24,660.
Monitor the 15-minute chart: Look for candles closing below 24,580 to initiate a sell position.
Set Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just above the high of the candle that closes below 24,580.
Scalping: Use 3-minute or 5-minute charts to enter and exit trades quickly based on the signals from the 15-minute chart.
Additional Tips:
Stay Updated: Keep an eye on market news and events that might impact Nifty.
Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to manage risk and protect your capital.
Practice Patience: Wait for clear signals before entering a trade to avoid false moves.
Disclaimer:
I am not SEBI registered. This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY50: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 09/12/2024Overview
This trading system combines simplicity with powerful insights for accurate entries and exits. It is structured for active traders using the 5-minute timeframe who want to make clear, confident trading decisions in fast-moving markets.
Key Strategy Guidelines
Retest Entries : Aim to enter trades on retests rather than breakouts, offering better positioning.
Multiple Confirmations : Use more than one confirmation to validate each trade, helping avoid impulsive decisions.
ATM Options Focus : Stick to at-the-money (ATM) options or above for optimal liquidity and manageable risk.
System Explanation
This setup leverages volume, historical price action, and price ranges to pinpoint high-probability entry and exit points. This methodology is designed to reduce guesswork, allowing traders to manage trades with a consistent approach.
How It Works: Entry/Exit Signals
Blue Line : Signals potential long entry.
Red Line : Indicates potential short entry.
Tip : Align these signals with additional confirmations from your trading strategy for optimal performance.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels
Stop Loss:
Long Trades : Set your stop loss at the nearest red line below the entry point, or adjust based on whether the 5-minute candle crosses the red line.
Short Trades : Use the blue line above as the stop loss.
Take Profit:
Long Entries :Target the next red line above or exit if other indicators suggest a prudent exit.
Short Entries :Target the next blue line below following similar guidelines.
Timeframe Recommendation
This system is specifically optimized for the 5-minute timeframe, making it suitable for those trading shorter intervals with precision.
Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves high risk, and rapid price changes can lead to unexpected losses. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose, and carefully assess your financial situation and risk tolerance.
Join the Community Discussion
Engage with other traders to discuss strategies, share insights, and enhance your understanding of the markets. Let’s grow together as a community of traders.
Original Content
This trading system is the product of my own expertise and rigorous testing. It’s a unique approach developed through real market experience to offer a clear edge in trading.
Nifty Trading Levels for 09th December 2024Nifty Trading Levels
Buy Setup
Entry: If the 15-minute candle closes above 24,730, place a buy order above the high of the candle.
Targets:
24,850
24,950
25,030
Stop Loss: Below the low of the breakout candle.
Sell Setup
Entry: If the 15-minute candle closes below 24,570, place a sell order below the low of the candle.
Target: 24,268
Stop Loss: Above the high of the breakdown candle.
Disclaimer
The above levels are shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice.
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please consult a certified financial advisor or conduct your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Trading in the stock market involves risk; trade responsibly.
NIFTY Market Structure is looking positive for next weekNifty is looking good for next week with a positive market structure. But it may undercut 24600 and test 24500 before resuming the rally. Immediate resistance is placed in the Zone of 24900-25000. But be careful trading the breakout of the high of the long legged Doji formed on Thrusday.
NIFTY50: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 06/12/2024Overview
This trading system combines simplicity with powerful insights for accurate entries and exits. It is structured for active traders using the 5-minute timeframe who want to make clear, confident trading decisions in fast-moving markets.
Key Strategy Guidelines
Retest Entries : Aim to enter trades on retests rather than breakouts, offering better positioning.
Multiple Confirmations : Use more than one confirmation to validate each trade, helping avoid impulsive decisions.
ATM Options Focus : Stick to at-the-money (ATM) options or above for optimal liquidity and manageable risk.
System Explanation
This setup leverages volume, historical price action, and price ranges to pinpoint high-probability entry and exit points. This methodology is designed to reduce guesswork, allowing traders to manage trades with a consistent approach.
How It Works: Entry/Exit Signals
Blue Line : Signals potential long entry.
Red Line : Indicates potential short entry.
Tip : Align these signals with additional confirmations from your trading strategy for optimal performance.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels
Stop Loss:
Long Trades : Set your stop loss at the nearest red line below the entry point, or adjust based on whether the 5-minute candle crosses the red line.
Short Trades : Use the blue line above as the stop loss.
Take Profit:
Long Entries :Target the next red line above or exit if other indicators suggest a prudent exit.
Short Entries :Target the next blue line below following similar guidelines.
Timeframe Recommendation
This system is specifically optimized for the 5-minute timeframe, making it suitable for those trading shorter intervals with precision.
Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves high risk, and rapid price changes can lead to unexpected losses. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose, and carefully assess your financial situation and risk tolerance.
Join the Community Discussion
Engage with other traders to discuss strategies, share insights, and enhance your understanding of the markets. Let’s grow together as a community of traders.
Original Content
This trading system is the product of my own expertise and rigorous testing. It’s a unique approach developed through real market experience to offer a clear edge in trading.
5th Dec 2024 Crazy stoploss hunting & Injections - Nifty50Nifty Stance Bullish ⬆
This week Nifty is up 577pts ~ 2.4% which means our stance has changed from neutral to bullish. The price actions on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday were well received and there was sanity in the markets. What happened on the 5th, Thursday is sure to give you shivers.
We saw a 560pts ~ 2.31% intraday rally from LOD to HOD and then a fall of 362pts ~ 1.46% back to the 24500 levels. To put that in perspective, 24600 was the expected closing levels for Today's expiry as per the OI chart, so the violent upmove would have created a lot of MTM loss pressure for the institutions. My guess is that they had to manipulate and bring back the markets below 24600 after 14.30 so they could square off their positions in profits.
Anyway, today's volatility is a massive learning experience for all option traders. Chances are, their stop losses would have gone off both ways, first on the long side and then on the short side. The only people who might have escaped would be the hedged traders - either a debit/credit spread or a iron condor/fly. The worst nightmare would have been for long/short naked positions.
If we fall below 24525, I will change my stance back to neutral-until then, I will stick with a long bias. The MPC meeting on the 6th will definitely have an impact, as it is a make-or-break event for Mr. Shaktikanta Das.
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 6th DecemberNifty opened with a gap-up and faced rejection near our buy level 24540 in morning, broke sell level 24410 and gave good downfall towards 24295. Both targets were done for sell trade.
After consolidation at lower levels, Nifty gave a sharp up-move and gave 500 points rally from lower levels, made a high at 24857. From day high we again saw 300 points fall in just few mins, today was highly volatile session because of RBI Policy meeting decision tomorrow.
For tomorrow the range the big, trade very cautiously and be alert at higher levels in Nifty. We will look for the sell on rise opportunity.
Expectations: Highly Volatile movement.
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 24850
Sell Below - 24550
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
NIFTY OUTLOOK....Ready For All Time High Again ?NSE:NIFTY
Current Market Price 24700
Below chart was made on 21/11/2024 regarding BOTTOMING OUT of NSE:NIFTY from correction phase of more than 3000 points from All Time High (-11.47% from ATH) !
Before that on 20/09/2024 when NSE:NIFTY was continuously making Life Highs we stated that it will be TOPPED near 26200 levels, And from there we saw a decent and healthy correction of more than 10%....
================================================================
ALL UPDATED CHART OF NSE:NIFTY FROM TOP TO BOTTOM
CHART 1
CHART 2
================================================================
Beautiful Rally Captured both the sides in NSE:NIFTY !!💕💕
26200-------->23265+ (2935+ points)
23265-------->24850+(1585+ points)
================================================================
CURRENT SCENARIO of NSE:NIFTY
LTP 24700
Any dip till 24000 can be bought with a Weekly Closing Basis Stoploss of 23743
Targets🎯24905 / 25025 / 25111 / 25275 / 25490 / 25800++++
Will revisit the situation when all mentioned targets will be achieved !!
================================================================
Thanks !
Harm⭕nics4Life
05/12/2024
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies shared here are for educational purposes .. Do Consult Your Financial advisor Before Taking any Trade.
Technical Analysis of Nifty 50: Key Levels and Trend OutlookThe chart appears to be an hourly candlestick chart of the Nifty 50 index with key technical levels and zones annotated. Here's an analysis of the chart pattern:
1. **Seller’s Zone (Resistance):**
- The zone around 24,500 to 24,600 is marked as a resistance level.
- Price is currently testing this zone and has faced rejection, as indicated by the red candles forming near this area.
- If the price closes above 24,600, bullish activity could increase, as the resistance will have been broken.
2. **Nearest Support:**
- The support level is around 24,350. This level is critical for the price to maintain upward momentum.
- If this support is broken, the price might retrace further toward lower levels.
3. **Buyer’s Zone (Demand Zone):**
- The area around 23,900 has been marked as a buyer's zone, where strong buying interest was previously observed.
- Price bounced strongly from this zone, confirming its validity as a significant demand area.
4. **Key Support Levels:**
- S: Around 23,907 (Buyer’s Zone).
- S1: Around 23,335, which is likely a strong historical support level.
5. **RSI Analysis:**
- The RSI (14) is at 70.14, indicating that the index is near overbought territory.
- A reversal or consolidation might occur if the RSI crosses above 70 and begins to decline.
6. **Trend Observation:**
- The index appears to be in a recovery phase after a downtrend, as evidenced by higher highs and higher lows forming since the bounce from 23,907.
- A breakout above the seller’s zone could confirm a continuation of the upward trend.
### Conclusion:
- **Bullish Scenario:** If the price breaks and sustains above 24,600, the next target could be higher resistance zones.
- **Bearish Scenario:** If the price fails to hold the 24,350 support, it might retest the buyer’s zone around 23,907 or even lower to 23,335.
Further decisions should be made based on upcoming candlestick patterns and volume confirmations. Let me know if you'd like a more detailed breakdown!
Nifty weekly expiry intraday levels for 25/12/2024Nifty has given a nice closing around the resistance zone and a good support on 20 EMA is there on 30 minutes.
Tomorrow is weekly expiry and a volatile trading day will be there as all the volume will be in this only index tomorrow.
Support levels :- 24460,24345
Resistance :- 24570, 24670
If market consolidate in the first half and gives a break out, trending move can be capture either side.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
NIFTY: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 04/12/2024Overview
This trading system combines simplicity with powerful insights for accurate entries and exits. It is structured for active traders using the 5-minute timeframe who want to make clear, confident trading decisions in fast-moving markets.
Key Strategy Guidelines
Retest Entries : Aim to enter trades on retests rather than breakouts, offering better positioning.
Multiple Confirmations : Use more than one confirmation to validate each trade, helping avoid impulsive decisions.
ATM Options Focus : Stick to at-the-money (ATM) options or above for optimal liquidity and manageable risk.
System Explanation
This setup leverages volume, historical price action, and price ranges to pinpoint high-probability entry and exit points. This methodology is designed to reduce guesswork, allowing traders to manage trades with a consistent approach.
How It Works: Entry/Exit Signals
Blue Line : Signals potential long entry.
Red Line : Indicates potential short entry.
Tip : Align these signals with additional confirmations from your trading strategy for optimal performance.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels
Stop Loss:
Long Trades : Set your stop loss at the nearest red line below the entry point, or adjust based on whether the 5-minute candle crosses the red line.
Short Trades : Use the blue line above as the stop loss.
Take Profit:
Long Entries :Target the next red line above or exit if other indicators suggest a prudent exit.
Short Entries :Target the next blue line below following similar guidelines.
Timeframe Recommendation
This system is specifically optimized for the 5-minute timeframe, making it suitable for those trading shorter intervals with precision.
Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves high risk, and rapid price changes can lead to unexpected losses. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose, and carefully assess your financial situation and risk tolerance.
Join the Community Discussion
Engage with other traders to discuss strategies, share insights, and enhance your understanding of the markets. Let’s grow together as a community of traders.
Original Content
This trading system is the product of my own expertise and rigorous testing. It’s a unique approach developed through real market experience to offer a clear edge in trading.