31/05/2026 NQ AnalysisCME_MINI:NQ1!
This is my NQ analysis for Monday.
My expectation is for NQ to retrace into its 4H FVG, engineer a liquidity sweep, and then continue higher into the buy-side liquidity.
However, if Sunday’s 6:30 PM ET open creates either a significant gap up or gap down, the scenario will be different. In that case, I’ll reassess the market conditions and adapt to the price action accordingly rather than sticking to a fixed bias.
NASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURES
Bearish Continuation After Resistance RejectionHi Everyone,
NQ is trading within a well-defined downtrend. Price retraced into a key resistance zone and printed a strong rejection, indicating sellers are still in control. As long as price remains below resistance, further downside is expected.
Ibrouri Abdessamad
NAS-M15 BearishUS100 (Nasdaq) has just completed a **buyside liquidity sweep** above the prior intraday highs, followed immediately by **sharp rejection and bearish displacement**, signaling classic ICT-style distribution at premium.
The move above the highs was not acceptance but **engineered inducement**. Price briefly traded into premium to trigger breakout participation and stop orders before reallocating inventory aggressively to the downside. The lack of sustained continuation above the highs confirms **failed buyside delivery**.
Key orderflow observations:
• **Liquidity Event:** External buyside liquidity was efficiently taken above the range high, with no meaningful follow-through.
• **Displacement:** The impulsive bearish candle off the highs confirms institutional intent to reprice lower.
• **PD Array Context:** Rejection occurred at premium, aligning with prior intraday supply and equilibrium imbalance.
• **Narrative Shift:** Buyside objectives are now satisfied, increasing probability of a draw on sellside liquidity below.
From an ICT framework, this price action reflects **distribution after accumulation**, not trend continuation. The market is now poised to seek sellside liquidity resting beneath the recent range, with downside delivery favored as long as price remains below the swept highs.
**Execution Framework:**
Short-side bias remains valid on retracements into premium or any partial rebalancing of the bearish displacement.
**Invalidation:** Sustained acceptance above the swept highs would negate the bearish premise and imply higher buyside objectives.
Until proven otherwise, expect algorithmic delivery to favor **sellside liquidity below 25,000**, where inefficiencies and resting stops remain exposed.
This is not weakness.
This is **intent**.
NASDAQThe NASDAQ appears to be following Elliott Wave Theory, where it's currently situated in what's projected to be Wave 5 of Primary Degree. Within this wave, it's believed to be in Wave 3, which typically signifies a strong upward movement in prices we are seeing now.
This suggests that we may see a bit more upward momentum in the NASDAQ before a correction phase begins. The expected correction is anticipated to be quite substantial, potentially leading to a range of 13,000 to 12,500. This correction would encompass the entire Primary Degree, marking a significant and extended market trend reversal.













