EXIDEIND: EV Hype Meets Q4 Earnings Beat!Technical Phase: Re-Accumulation
Events:
Spring: sharp flush into 345 area with reclaim
SOS: impulsive recovery candle after sweep
LPS: consolidation around 360–362 holding higher lows
CO Intent:
Absorb panic selling → continue markup
Effort vs Result:
Strong bullish effort produced sustained recovery ✔️
Cause vs Effect:
Base around 345–355 generating continuation toward 366 supply
Structure:
Bullish HH/HL on LTF
Bullish reclaim after liquidity flush
BOS / CHoCH:
Bullish BOS above 358–360 ✔️
Liquidity:
Sell-side swept below 350 ✔️
Buy-side liquidity above 366–370
Reaction:
Strong displacement from discount ✔️
Location:
Current price = premium / supply zone
Fresh longs here less efficient
Decisive Zone: 361.05 - 366.25
if breaks 366.25 then target 382.50
if breaks below 361.05 then 343.30
if we go by sweep of intraday lows then a seperate trade is formed of buy at 360 SL 357 target 366, 376
Narrative is:
Smart money swept sell-side liquidity below 350 and aggressively reclaimed value.
Late shorts trapped from the flush; next liquidity objective sits above 366–370 highs.
So in shorts below decisive zone, extra precaution needed.
Passiontrader
crude rally lifts OIL: will 501 ceiling finally shatter?The chart shows a decisive recovery from the April lows, with the stock now hovering near the 501.2 resistance level. This level has historically acted as a "supply ceiling," and a clean breach here would signal a shift in market structure.
Scenario A: Bullish Breakout (Buy Above 501)
If the price sustains above 501, it confirms a breakout from the recent consolidation phase.
Trigger: 501.20
Target: 522.00 (Previous 52-week swing high area)
Scenario B: Bearish Rejection (Sell Below 492.50)
Failure to hold the current momentum could see the stock retreat into the previous value area. A breach of the support line at 492.50 would invalidate the recent rally.
Trigger: 492.50
Target: 478.50 (Structural support/EMA zone)
KAYNES: Semi-Conductor Fuel for the Next Leg?STEP 1: Wyckoff Structure
Phase: Distribution → Markdown
Events: UTAD (clear), LPSY, SOW
CO Intent: Distribution → aggressive selloff
Effort vs Result: Strong downside expansion
Cause vs Effect: Wide range → strong markdown
STEP 1.5: Quality
HIGH (clean UTAD + displacement)
STEP 2: SMC
Structure: LH/LL (bearish)
BOS/CHoCH: Strong bearish BOS
Liquidity: Buy-side taken → sell-side actively targeted
Reaction: Sharp rejection from supply, its very sharp so holes remain
STEP 2.5: Score
Wyckoff: 24/25
SMC: 23/25
Liquidity: 22/25
Reaction: 22/25
Total: 91 → A
STEP 3: Confluence
✅ HIGH CONFLUENCE
STEP 4: Trade Plan
Buy above: 4198
Target : 4332
Sell below: 4171
Target : 4055
STEP 5: Narrative
CO distributed via UTAD then initiated markdown
Late breakout buyers trapped, price targeting lower liquidity
so can continue or may reverse, good decisive zone.
OFSS Bulls Eyeing 10K After Crushing Q4 EstimatesOFSS has been in a sustained uptrend, characterized by step-like consolidations and breakouts. The current price action shows a sharp vertical move approaching a significant psychological and technical resistance zone marked in red.
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (Continuity)
If the price manages to trade decisively above the 9,100 level with high volume, it signals a continuation of the momentum.
Entry: Above 9070.
Target 1: 9,274 (Short-term extension).
Stop Loss: 8,920 (Below the decisive zone).
Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection (Mean Reversion)
The "decisive zone" has historically acted as a ceiling. If we see a reversal pattern on the 15m within this red box, a pullback to the mean is likely.
Entry: Below 8,926 after a confirmed rejection.
Target 1: 8,745 (Previous consolidation peak).
Stop Loss: 9,075 (Just above the zone).
Massive OI Surge: Is LICHSGFIN Ready to Blast Past 566?LICHSGFIN is showing strong momentum, gaining 5.47% in the most recent session (April 21, 2026). This surge is backed by a massive 12.25% spike in Open Interest, suggesting that institutional players are building fresh long positions ahead of the Q4 FY26 earnings expected in mid-May. Fundamental sentiment is improving, with the company recently launching a major recruitment drive and analysts forecasting a steady rise in Net Interest Margins (NIM) toward 2.75–2.90%.
Scenario A: Bullish Breakout (Trend Continuation)
If the price sustains above 566.50, it confirms that the historical resistance has flipped into support.
Entry: Above 566.50 (Wait for a 15-min candle close for confirmation).
Target: 587.50 (Aligns with the next major liquidity pocket).
Scenario B: Bearish Rejection (Mean Reversion)
If the price fails to clear the zone and drops below 563.00, the historical constraint remains valid.
Entry: Below 563.00.
Target: 548.50 (Prior swing support).
NATIONALUM: Middle East Supply Cracks vs 412.50 BreakoutThe "Decisive Zone" between 389.95 (Support) and 412.60 (Resistance) will determine the next macro trend for the stock.
Bullish Scenario (The Breakout): A sustained trade above 412.60 on strong volume invalidates the recent consolidation and opens the gates toward the psychological and technical target of 449. This move would represent a fresh 52-week high, supported by the recent "Strong Buy" upgrades from major research houses.
Bearish Scenario (The Breakdown): Failure to hold the 390 level could trigger a correction. If the price slides below this support, the next major liquidity pocket sits at 356.
UNIONBANK: FY26 Closing CrisisThe price has plummeted from its recent high of 184 and is now entering the Decisive Zone: 161.30 – 162.30. This area represents a critical structural floor that has held previous rallies.
Bullish Scenario (The Bounce): If the bank finds buyers at this level and manages to trade above 162.30, we could see a relief rally. The primary objective for a recovery move would be 173.75, filling the recent bearish gap.
Bearish Scenario (The Capitulation): If the stock fails to hold 161.30, the technical damage becomes severe. A break below this support confirms a lower-low structure on the 15M timeframe, exposing the stock to a deeper correction target of 151.60.
Institutional Eyes on FRACTAL :825-835FRACTAL is currently trading near a critical historical inflection point. We are observing a Decisive Zone between 825.65 and 835.50. This range has acted as a significant "bounce zone" in the past, suggesting strong institutional interest at these levels.
The stock has recently shown resilience, closing at 821.05 (up ~2.5% today), positioned just below the lower boundary of our marked zone.
Bullish Breakout (Primary Target: 890):
If the price sustains above the upper limit (835.50), it confirms the zone as solid support once again.
Logic: A breakout above this level clears recent overhead resistance and aligns with the positive momentum from the recent LLM Studio launch.
Target: 890 (Previous swing high/supply zone).
Bearish Breakdown (Primary Target: 776):
If the price fails to reclaim the zone and trades consistently below the lower level (825.65), the historical bounce thesis is invalidated.
Logic: A drop below this floor may trigger stop-losses, leading to a retest of the next major liquidity pocket.
Target: 776 (Major support floor).
SARDAEN : Defying the 'Sell' Downgrade?SARDAEN is currently hovering around a high-conviction Decider Level of 516.50–520.00. This narrow range is serving as the ultimate "line in the sand" for the stock's next major trend. After a period of underperformance (-10% over the last year), the price is testing this threshold to determine if a reversal is in play.
As of today, the stock closed at 512.70 (up 5.5%), showing a strong intraday recovery and putting it within striking distance of the decider zone.
Bullish Continuation (Target: 538):
Trigger: A sustained trade above 520.
Logic: Reclaiming 520 would invalidate the recent bearish trend and likely trigger a short-covering rally toward the next resistance pocket.
Target: 538 (Previous swing high/pivot point).
Bearish Rejection (Target: 497):
Trigger: Failure to clear 520 and a subsequent trade below 516.50.
Logic: If the decider zone acts as supply, the stock is likely to fall back to its recent consolidation floor.
Target: 497 (Testing the 52-week low support zone).
RADICO: Record Profits vs. Technical DowngradeRADICO is currently testing a high-stakes technical corridor. After reaching a 52-week high of 3695.00, the stock has seen a significant correction and is now coiling just below its major resistance pivot.
As of today, the price is up 1.18%, closing at 2637.30. This recovery follows a recent period of downward momentum where the stock fell approximately 21% year-to-date.
Bullish Case (Above 2701.70): Trigger: A strong trade above the 2701.70 ceiling.
Target: 2810 (Previous support-turned-resistance).
Rationale: Reclaiming this level would signify a breakout from the current downtrend, supported by a strong average analyst consensus that currently holds a "Buy" or "Strong Buy" rating.
Bearish Case (Below 2672.35):
Trigger: Failure to sustain current gains, leading to a slip below the 2672.35 floor.
Target: 2585 (Testing recent local lows).
Rationale: Continued rejection at the 2700-level could lead the stock toward its 52-week low support region of 2132.05.
Decision Day for MFSL: 1684-1701 ZoneMax Financial Services ( MFSL ) is currently striking a decisive pivot zone between 1684 and 1701. After a period of time based absorption, the price action is showing signs of momentum build-up. A sustained move above 1701 would confirm a bullish breakout, clearing the path toward a primary target of 1752. Conversely, if the price fails to hold the 1684 level, expect a rotation back into the previous range with a downside target of 1646. Traders should watch for volume expansion to confirm the direction of the break, as the widening Bollinger Bands suggest an explosive move is imminent.
Starch Giant GAEL Tests Critical ResistanceGujarat Ambuja Exports Ltd ( GAEL ) is currently hovering within a high stakes Trend Decider Zone between 136.90 and 138.20. Fundamental tailwinds from stabilizing raw material costs and increased ethanol capacity are providing a solid backdrop, but the technicals are at a tipping point. A decisive move above 138.20 on strong volume would signal a trend reversal, opening the doors for a rally toward 145.20. However, if the stock fails to clear this hurdle and slips below 136.90, we likely see a retracement back to the 128.70 support level. Watch for a high volume trade outside this range to confirm the next leg of the journey.
Coforge: $2.5B Powerhouse or Bull Trap?COFORGE is currently a "tale of two narratives" that has led to a massive 27% drop in the last 30 days, pushing the stock into a deep Oversold Zone (RSI ~17).
The stock is currently testing Decisive Zone (1147.50 – 1159). This area is more than just a price range; it’s the battleground between fundamental value-seekers and momentum sellers.
Zone Breakdown: 1147.50 – 1159.00
The "Relief Bounce" Trigger: If the stock consolidates and trades for some time above 1159, the extreme oversold condition will likely trigger a short-covering rally.
Target 1: 1189 (Immediate technical resistance).
Target 2: 1210+ .
The "Capitulation" Trigger: If the price breaks and stays below 1147.50, it confirms the downward momentum is too strong to catch.
Target: 1111.50 (Near 52-week lows).
Safety Note: With a ₹4 dividend record date recently passed and a high PE (~96 based on some metrics), volatility will be high. Keep a tight Stop Loss (SL) at the opposite end of the zone.
HCLTech at the Brink: Value or Trap?HCLTECH is testing the resolve of its long-term consolidators. Despite a record $3B deal win this quarter and high-profile AI partnerships, margin pressures have kept the stock in a tight range.
My decisive zone is 1356-1376.
A breakout above 1376 opens the doors to 1407,
while a break below 1356 could see us testing the recent 52-week lows near 1326.
High dividend yield (4.4%) provides a safety net, but the trend remains neutral-to-bearish until 1376 is cleared.
Study valid for 1-4 trading days.
SWIGGY at a technical tipping point 324.25SWIGGY has faced significant downward pressure recently, sliding nearly 15% year-to-date and hitting a daily low of ₹322.15 on February 20, 2026. Despite this "troublesome" period where net losses widened to ₹1,065 crore in Q3 FY26, the underlying business is showing aggressive topline strength. Revenue jumped 54% year-on-year to ₹6,148 crore, largely driven by the Instamart quick-commerce boom.
Historically, the current price zone has served as a critical floor. My analysis suggests that if the stock can maintain its footing above ₹324.50, it will likely signal a technical exhaustion of the recent sell-off. A successful defense of this level could trigger a relief rally toward the immediate target of ₹336 .
To manage risk against continued volatility—such as the recent news of Swiggy shuttering its "Snacc" 15-minute delivery app to preserve margins—a strategic Stop Loss (SL) should be placed around ₹321 .
Gold :Is the party over? Think again.GOLD recently suffered a sharp correction from its peaks near $5,300–$5,500, triggered by a "Black Friday" liquidation event on January 30. This was driven by a margin hike in futures and the nomination of Kevin Warsh (a hawk) for the Fed, rather than a change in the long-term bullish story.
Is the gold rally over? Absolutely not. While the recent spooked the retail crowd, I feel we are witnessing a liquidation event, not a trend reversal. Here is the roadmap for the next leg up:
📍 Key Support Zones (The "Line in the Sand"):
Zone A ($4,257 - $4,264): This is our immediate defensive line. If we hold here, the recovery starts sooner.
Zone B ($4,026 - $4,126): The ultimate structural floor. Historically, $4,000 has shifted from a psychological ceiling to a massive support base.
🔄 The "Sideways" Phase: Expect consolidation in the near term. The market needs to digest the recent volatility and wait for the Fed’s next move. Don't be fooled by the chop—this is where smart money accumulates.
🚀 The Target: $5,300+ The path of least resistance remains UP. With central banks still buying record amounts and global trade tensions rising, a return to the $5,300 level isn't just possible—it's expected by year-end.
Summary: Don't panic during the dip. Use the consolidation to position for the next breakout.
UPL Demerger Drama, Bulls Eyeing the 641 PivotUPL recently unveiled a massive group reorganization to create a pure-play global crop protection platform (UPL Global). While management aims to unlock value and simplify the group structure, the market reacted with "Leverage Anxiety." Concerns over the remaining ₹22,200 crore net debt and potential equity dilution led to a sharp sell-off, pushing the price directly into a high-stakes support area.
Technical Setup
Historical Demand Zone: The stock has plummeted into the crucial 623–630 zone . This is a "do-or-die" area where historical buyers have stepped in previously.
Sentimental Pivot: Post-fall, a sentimental level by Buyers has formed at 641. The stock closed near this level (around 641–644), indicating a fierce battle between bears and bottom-fishers.
Bearish Pressure: UPL is currently trading below all major moving averages (5, 20, 50, 100, and 200-day), suggesting the macro trend is heavily bearish unless this demand zone holds.
📈 Bullish Case: The "Value Unlock" Recovery
Condition: Price must stabilize and stay above 630 .
Confirmation: A strong breakout and sustain above the 641 sentimental level. This would signal that the "bad news" is priced in and buyers are gaining confidence.
Target: 671 (Immediate resistance/gap-fill area).
Logic: If 630 holds , it confirms the historical demand zone's strength despite the restructuring noise.
📉 Bearish Case: The "Debt Overhang" Slide
Condition: A breakdown and stay below 623.
Target: 600 (Psychological round figure and next support).
Logic: Breaking 623 would mean the historical demand has failed, likely triggered by further brokerage downgrades (like Nuvama’s recent shift to 'Hold') or persistent concerns over the 12-15 month execution timeline of the demerger.
TRAVELFOOD : The "Airport Breakout" SetupTRAVELFOOD is currently consolidating within a narrow range after a strong quarterly performance. A decisive move above the 1228 level on a lower timeframe (5-10 mins) indicates that the immediate supply has been absorbed, opening the path for a momentum trade toward the previous swing high.
Entry Trigger: Price must sustain for 5–10 minutes above 1,228. (This filters out "fake-outs" or momentary spikes).
Primary Target: 1,271 (Approx. 3.5% upside), then 1295
Stop Loss (SL): 1,214 (Placed just below recent minor support to maintain a healthy Risk-Reward ratio of ~3:1).
Valid for 1-4 days
STYLEBAAZA: Breakout Above ₹342?Analysis: Baazar Style Retail is currently hovering near its immediate resistance of ₹342. On the daily chart, the stock is holding well above its 200-DMA and has recovered strongly from the ₹323 support zone.
We are looking for a clean breakout and sustainability above ₹342. A 5-10 minute candle close above this level confirms buyer strength.
Targets & Risks:
Our primary target is ₹355, which aligns with recent resistance clusters. We are placing a tight Stop Loss at ₹333 to manage risk, especially given the current market volatility.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.
JSWENERGY testing Key ₹500 Zone after KSK integrationJSWENERGY has shown impressive resilience, bouncing from the 428 support level. It is currently testing a "Make or Break" zone between 496.50 and 500.50.
The Bull Case : A sustained trade above the 500.50 mark is highly bullish. This would confirm a breakout from its recent horizontal trend. Technical indicators are currently supportive; as of February 20, 2026, the stock has triggered multiple Moving Average Crossovers (5-day, 10-day, and 50-day), signaling strong upward momentum. Target being 519
The Bear Case : Failure to cross the 500.50 barrier, followed by a slip below 496.50, would suggest the rally is losing steam. A break below this support suggests a retracement back toward the 478 level, where buyers have historically stepped in.
IKS: Breakout Momentum Post-EarningsThe 1666 Breakout: The trigger level of 1666 is critical. If the price sustains this level for 5–10 minutes, it confirms that the post-earnings "profit booking" has ended and buyers are ready for the next leg up.
Target 1732: This target aligns with a retest of recent swing highs and major resistance pivots seen after the Q3 rally.
Stop Loss (SL) 1635: This level provides a tight safety net just below the current 5-day and 10-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of approx 1658–1662.
Validity: This trade setup is valid for a short-term window of 4–5 days.
Intellect: Don't Miss the 714 TriggerResistance Breakout: Stock has identified ₹714 as the critical resistance. This level is reinforced by historical intraday supply zones seen in the past week.
Trend Confirmation: The price is currently respecting an ascending trendline (purple) that began on February 16.
Momentum Indicators: Indicators such as the RSI (currently around 43-45) suggest that while the stock has been technically weak, it is emerging from oversold territory and has room to run toward your targets.
Entry Trigger: Sustain for 5–10 minutes above 714. (A clean 15-min candle close above this level is ideal to avoid "fake-outs").
Primary Target (T1): 745.
Secondary Target (T2): 759.
Stop Loss (SL): 702 (Just below the current price cluster and the last 15-min swing low).






















