AUDUSD teases bears ahead of RBA’s rate hikeAfter failing to cross the 200-day EMA, AUDUSD broke a three-week-old support line and the 50-day EMA as traders await the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) second rate hike of 2022. Given the steady RSI and recently bullish MACD signals, the quote is likely to rebound towards the 200-day EMA hurdle surrounding 0.7270. However, a clear run-up beyond the previous support line, near 0.7240 by the press time, becomes necessary to recall the pair buyers. The follow-on advances past 0.7270 could aim for a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of April-May, around 0.7345. Should the pair manage to stay firmer past 0.7345, the odds of witnessing a rally towards late April swing high near 0.7460 can’t be ruled out.
Alternatively, a clear downside break of the 50-day EMA level surrounding 0.7170 won’t hesitate to break the 0.7100 threshold while seeking a retest of the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.7025. Following that, 0.6945 could act as the last defense for buyers before directing the sellers towards the yearly low near 0.6830.
Overall, AUDUSD bulls appear to run out of steam as traders await the RBA’s rate increase. Given the widely priced-in move, bears could search for any hints of no more rate lifts to retake control.
Risk
EURUSD bulls need validation from 21-DMA to retake controlsEURUSD’s corrective pullback remains below 21-DMA, as well as a two-week-old ascending trend line, suggesting a further downside towards the lower end of the latest range between 1.1120 and 1.0900. However, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of February-March downside acts as an intermediate halt around 1.0980. While the bearish MACD and downward sloping RSI favor the bears of late, the prices have little room on the downside before the RSI turns oversold. As a result, the 1.0900 support is likely acting as a trigger for fresh buying, if not then the quote’s south-run towards the monthly low near 1.0800 can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, the 21-DMA level surrounding 1.1035 guards the quote’s short-term rebound ahead of the previous support line from early March, near 1.1045-50 at the latest. In a case where the EURUSD prices rally beyond 1.1050, the upper end of the aforementioned trading range, close to 1.1120, will lure the bulls. It should be noted, however, that the pair’s successful break of 1.1120 will enable the buyers to challenge the 50-DMA level surrounding 1.1200.
Overall, EURUSD is likely to decline further but the south-run has a limited horizon to cover.
AUDUSD bulls running out of steam at five-month-old hurdleAUDUSD extends pullback from the 0.7430-40 horizontal area comprising multiple tops marked since October 2021. Given the recently steady RSI and the volatile MACD signals, not to forget Ukraine-led risk aversion and downbeat comments from RBA Governor Lowe, the upside momentum is likely to fade again. Even if the quote manages to cross the 0.7440 hurdle, the late October swing low surrounding 0.7455 will act as another hurdle to probe the buyers. It should be noted, however, that a successful rise past 0.7455 enables the quote to challenge the 2021 peak of 0.7554.
Meanwhile, pullback moves may initially aim for the March 10 peak of 0.7366 before retesting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of October 2021 to February 2022, close to 0.7325. Should the AUDUSD bears dominate past 0.7325, the 200-DMA surrounding the 0.7300 may challenge the further downside, a break of which will make the quote vulnerable to declines towards 0.7215-10 support confluence, including 100-DMA and ascending trend line from late January.
To sum up, AUDUSD approaches a crucial hurdle to the north with fewer supportive catalysts.
EURUSD bulls are at test inside fortnight-old triangleEURUSD braces for the first positive week in six, despite recently drop back to a two-week-long symmetrical triangle during early Friday. Given the bullish MACD signals and firmer RSI, the major currency pair is up for crossing the aforementioned triangle’s resistance line, near 1.1105. Even so, the 200-SMA and a seven-week-old horizontal area, respectively around 1.1200 and 1.1265-75, become tough nuts to crack for the bulls.
Alternatively, pullback moves remain elusive beyond the 1.0960 level comprising the lower line of the aforementioned triangle and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of February-March downside. Following that, the 1.0900 and the monthly bottom surrounding 1.0800 will challenge the EURUSD bears. It’s worth noting that the pair’s downside past 1.0800 will make it vulnerable to test the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of January-March moves, close to 1.0700.
To sum up, EURUSD prices do gain upside momentum of late but the bulls have a long road to travel before taking control.
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After much correction, stocks seem moving now Uptrend; also volumes coming now
Now again Stock testing its resistance zone of 220, seems will breakout this time
Setup for only Risky players with tight SL
Can buy above 220-230 levels for targets of 250/260/280 levels
Keep SL of 200 on a closing basis.
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Note:
Above levels are for education purposes only
Do your own analysis before taking any trade
Gold refreshes multi-month high above $1,900 on Russia invasion Despite reversing from an eight-month high, gold prices recently crossed the stated key resistance, also rallied beyond June 2021 peak. Additionally, favoring gold buyers is the metal’s ability to stay above the previous double-tops, as well as a three-week-old support line, amid bullish MACD signals. However, the RSI pullback from the overbought territory may test the immediate rising trend line near $1,866, a break of which will highlight the $1879-77 region as the short-term buyer’s last defense. In a case where gold prices drop below $1,877, January’s peak of $1,853 will return to the chart but a convergence of the 100 and 200-DMA near $1,810 will be a tough nut to crack for the sellers afterward.
Alternatively, tops marked in January 2021 and November 2020, respectively around $1,960 and $1,965, can lure the gold buyers before directing them to the $2,000 psychological magnet.
Fundamentally, concerns of an imminent war between Russia and Ukraine join inflation woes to keep supporting the gold bulls. Though, firmer US Q4 GDP, second estimate, will propel 0.50% Fed-rate-hike concerns, which in turn can trigger short-term pullback of the precious metal.
AUDUSD eyes further gains on upbeat sentiment, Aussie employmentAUDUSD justifies its risk-barometer status, also backed by an upbeat Aussie jobs report for January, during Thursday. The Aussie pair stays above the 50-DMA amid upbeat RSI and MACD conditions, suggesting further advances. However, the 100-DMA and a downward sloping trend line from mid-November 2021, around 0.7240-45, becomes a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers. Should the quote manage to cross the 0.7245 hurdle, January’s peak of 0.7313 will test the upside momentum before confirming the bullish trend towards the late 2021 high surrounding 0.7555.
Meanwhile, the 50-DMA level of 0.7170, the 0.7100 round figure and the weekly bottom of 0.7085 restrict the short-term downside of the AUDUSD pair. Following that, 0.7050 and December 2021 low near 0.6990 will question the bears before directing them to the last month’s trough close to 0.6965. It’s worth noting that the RSI conditions may turn oversold and trigger the pair’s bounce off 0.6965, failing to do so will make the quote vulnerable to drop towards June 2020 swing low close to 0.6775.
EURUSD bulls approach key hurdles as ECB loomsEURUSD extends bounce off a 19-month low, also comprising 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of late September 2021 to early January 2022 moves, as traders await European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy decision. With the recently high inflation and record low Unemployment Rate in Eurozone, the policy hawks are likely to dominate, which in turn could propel the major currency pair towards breaking immediate resistance, namely the 50-day EMA level surrounding 1.1340. However, a convergence of the 100-day EMA and a 14-week-old resistance line, around 1.1430-35, will be the key hurdle to cross for the confirmation of a short-term bullish trend.
On the contrary, a surprise dovish ECB statement wouldn’t hesitate to pour cold water on the face of EURUSD bulls by dragging the quote back to November 2021 low near 1.1185. During the fall, the 1.1300 and the 1.1230 levels may act as buffers before dragging prices towards the 61.8% FE retest, around 1.1125. If the pair bears keep reins past 1.1125, the early May 2020 peak surrounding 1.1020 will pause the south-run targeting the 1.1000 psychological magnet.
It should be noted that the ECB is widely anticipated to keep the benchmark policy rate unchanged at 0.0% and the monthly Asset Purchase Programme (APP) to €20 billion. In the last meeting, the ECB announced readiness to end the Pandemic Purchase Emergency Programme (PEPP) in March. For a smooth transition, the bloc’s central bank also unveiled an increase in the Q2 and Q3 APP to €40 billion and €30 billion respectively.
AUDUSD bulls eye 0.7370 on inverse head-and-shouldersUpbeat Aussie jobs report and hawkish moves of the Fed, as well as the BOE, pushes RBA towards a rate hike, favoring AUDUSD prices to consolidate losses posted since late October. To convince the buyers, the Aussie pair recently confirmed an inverse head-and-shoulders bullish chart pattern with a clear upside break of 0.7180. As per the theory, the breakout directs the run-up towards the mid-November peak surrounding 0.7370. However, 200-SMA and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of November-December moves, respectively near 0.7240 and 0.7290, will precede the 0.7300 threshold to offer intermediate halts during the quote’s further advances.
Alternatively, pullback moves remain elusive beyond 0.7170, a break of which will dash the bullish formation. However, AUDUSD sellers will wait for a clear downside past the shoulder 2, around 0.7100, for fresh entries. Following that, 0.7060 and the yearly low near 0.6990 may entertain the bears before highlighting the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) level of 0.6945. Overall, AUDUSD is up for further advances during the rest of 2021, unless no surprises pop up.
UPSIDE POTENTIAL IN UPL(FALLING CHANNEL)A descending channel is a chart pattern formed from two downward trendlines drawn above and below a price representing resistance and support levels. The descending channel pattern is also known as a “falling channel” or “channel down“. The more such reversals occur, the more reliable the pattern.
There are three scenarios the price rises after breakout,
the price retests the trendline and that trendline now becomes support in both situations there is a good buy opportunity.
the third scenario is the breakout is fake and our stop loss hits.
this is not investment advice and I am not sebi registered this is just for my own educational reference.
Zensar Technologies Analysisafter a continuous rally there was a pull back for past 1 month and now it has tried to break the resistance of 520.
and MACD is at good level. hence can enter after it gives a breakout at 520 above and book some profits at your respective R:R ratio.
Earnings results on Oct 26 will play a major role in the returns.
be cautious on result day.
Good RR setup for watch in nocil stockstock is in uptrend from last few day's. for now expecting a pull back till last structure high level then have to watch for rejection's near that level. after that only enter don't enter direct or u can also watch small timeframe action near this zone for watch.
Coal India flag pattern , can longA flag chart pattern is formed when the market consolidates in a narrow range after a sharp move. Usually a breakout from the flag is in the form of continuation of the prior trend. Flags give very high risk reward ratio which means relatively small risk and high and quick profits. Remember there is always a risk.
Here breakdown can happen in up side to continue the uptrend.
It is in one day (1D) chart so , there is highrisk
Any suggession......
State Bank Of India swingSBI swing trade idea, my predictions are that it will make a new 52 weeks high but if you are a risk-averse trader exit on resistance ie target price mentioned in the chart, and if you are willing to take more risk wait for 200 days ema to cross above 50 days ema/50 days ema to close below 200 days Ema. I have shared this idea for learning purposes only take the trade at your own risk.
THEMISMED (MONTHLY)Risky scrip, but if Volume continues to support might hit T1.
If you like my thoughts considering following, I'll be posting more.
This is only for Educational Purpose, I myself am a learner
This post contains my thoughts to particular (TATAMOTORS) and will be no responsible for any kind of losses.






















