TIME CYCLE AND FIBONACCI SPIRAL" GOD MUST BE A MATHEMATICIAN " If we look at the construction of universe and movements of the planets & other celestial objects movements, flowering & fruiting cycles in trees etc. everything has a pattern and they are cyclical in nature. That very same assumption is applied and works well in stock market, commodities and forex as well.
Identifying the time zones of a stocks is a pure trial and error method where one needs to find the high and low making cycle of a particular stock manually. Here NLC INDIA LTD has been taken as an example and a Price and Time analysis has been done on monthly chart using Time Zones & Fibonacci Spiral for future support and hypothetical path identification.
The lows of the trend labelled as W, X,Y in rectangular spots. Point "X" has been formed 79 Months after the point "W". But magically Point "Y" has been formed after 79 months after Point "X"
The highs of the trend are labelled as A & B in circular spot. Point "B" has been formed 79 Months after Point "A". Looking at the cycle of 79 Months in the Lows and Highs Formation we can make an assumption that the next high ( Point "C" ) would be after 79 Months from Point "B" ie. Dec 2023.
Fibonacci Spiral is a natural pattern that can be seen everywhere in nature including flowers, pinecones, hurricanes and even huge spiral galaxies in space. This is rarely used but useful pattern in charts for finding expected supports and resistance. In this chart we can see that after the formation of low at Point "Y", with the help of Fibonacci Spiral we have a continuous expected support. Till now after 2.5 Years the monthly closing of a single candle has never been below the Fibonacci Spiral(try to adjust the X axis of the chart incase you don't see a perfect fit) .So the fact if Fibonacci Spiral used wisely can be a useful pattern for finding support and resistance levels cannot be denied.
Currently NLC INDIA LTD is at resistance of the trendline drawn from the previous 2 highs ie. Point "A" & "B". Hopefully it will breakout because stock increases at a increasing near its high, which hasn't happened yet with this stock. Till now NLC_INDIA is far away from its expected high according to the time cycle and Trend based fibonacci retracement level. The gann level of 1.33 is at 136.55 by Trend based fibonacci retracement and the expected time is Dec 2023 time cycle. Thus this is how a hypothetical conclusion can be drawn that NLC INDIA LTD will attain a price level of 136.55 by DEC 2023.
Recently a study was done on NIFTY, predicting perfectly the low making day and the target date for NIFTY proving that time cycles works very well with indices and stocks.Link has been given below.
STUDY & ANALYSIS
ADARSH KUMAR DEY
Timezone
WAVE STUDY AND INDICATOR CONFIRMATIONCRISIL seems to have completed the correction at least for a shorter term. Wave counting is clearly mentioned on the chart. I request you not to get confused with Wave 2 as it is lower than the initiation point of Wave 1 but visible in Candlestick Chart. As the correction of Wave 2 have been really sharp ie. It was completed in 8 Days with 609 Points of Up move, that is why the Wave 4 is Sideways ie. It was completed in 64 Days with 438 Points of up move.
Wave 1 , 3 & 5 are in Fibonacci Time zone sequence. Wave 1 has taken approximately 13 days for completion, where as Wave 3 has taken 32 days and Wave 5 has taken 105 days. If the mathematics is done the ratio stands to be at 1:2:3 Approximately. Hence it is a well structured wave. Wave 5 for downside seems completed now. It comprises of 5 minor waves and the end is a Truncated Wave. Where the bottom of Wave (iii) & Wave (V) of Wave 5th are same .Explaining the reasons for the truncation will take longer, so let’s skip the theory.
Few key indicators that we should focus on are ROC, RSI & Candlestick Pattern .
ROC: ROC (21 Days, Close) has breached the EMA ( 21 Days, ROC) during the formation of the bottom of Wave (iii) of Wave 5th but has taken a good support over EMA ( 21 Days, ROC) during the formation of the bottom of Wave (V) of Wave 5th. This is a sign of bullishness that cannot be ignored.
RSI: RSI (14 Days, Close) on 9th Nov at the bottom of Wave (iii) of Wave 5th was 28.25 and on 7th Dec at the bottom of Wave (V) of Wave 5th the RSI (14 Days, Close) was 31. Hence such pattern is called Exaggerated Divergence as the bottom of Wave (iii) & Wave (V) of Wave 5th are same but in RSI a higher low is formed.
Candlestick Pattern: An upside reversal is better marked with a close above previous day high and a low above previous day low. Of course this happened on 8th Dec and last time when the same happened was on 10th Nov during initiation of Wave (iv) of Wave 5th .
If we take a conservative approach the first expected target should be 3138 as per Fibonacci Retracement basis. SL should be below 2800 on closing basis.
CHART & ANALYSIS
ADARSH DEY
#Nifty possible time zone to breach the triangle Nifty price is trading in a triangle and the probability is very high that the price may breach this symmetrical triangle between 14 April to 24 April time zone. Disclaimer: This forecast is based on Time theory and the probability of going right is 63